A mug punter's attempt to turn things around - watch and learn (or maybe just point and laugh) as I have a crack at moving from being - the not so professional punter - through - the semi professional punter and finally to - the professional punter - Well hopefully :)
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Day 15 - back to work tomorrow :(
Not a good day on the horses but 2 winners with the sports bets, short but sweet.
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 87 Canberra Race 6 - 8 Ready to Lift - Unp
Bet 88 Canberra Race 7 - 1 Strong Choice - 2nd
Loss $10 Overall Loss $74.30 (31 from 88 - 35%)
Bank 2
Bet 45 NBA Cavs vs Bucks @ $1.33 - Won
Bet 46 NBA Mavs vs Kings @ $1.53 - Won
Profit $5.48 Overall $39.46 (27 from 46 - 58%)
Bank 3
Bet 41 Canberra 5,6,8 / 2,3,5,8,10 / 1 / 1,4,5,9,11,13 - 5.56% - Lost
Bet 42 Swan Hill 4,10,11 / 2,3,4,6,10 / 3,4,8 / 2,6,8 - 3.70%- Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $49.89 (5 from 42 - 11%)
Some good games tonight in the EPL so here's a couple of overnight sports bets
Bank 2
Bet 47 Soccer Chelsea vs Arsenal @ $1.93
Bet 48 Soccer Portsmouth vs Blackburn @ $2.18
Hoping to wake up in the morning with a couple more winners :)
Have a great night All
Day 15 - Canberra Cup Day
A nice night of rugby union - I'm not a fan of the game but when I win on it I can't complain and I love it when a plan comes together :)
Wallabies have had a great tour but Wales were always going to be the hardest to beat so the $2.82 was very nice.
Here's the results
Bank 2
Bet 43 Union New Zealand - 19.5 vs England @ $2 - Won
Bet 44 Union Wales vs Australia @ $2.82 - Won
Profit $15.82 Overall Profit $33.98 (25 from 44 - 56%)
And today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 87 Canberra Race 6 - 8 Ready to Lift
Bet 88 Canberra Race 7 - 1 Strong Choice
Bank 2
Bet 45 NBA Cavs vs Bucks @ $1.33
Bet 46 NBA Mavs vs Kings @ $1.53
They are a bit shorter but probably around the mark I should usually be betting at to grow the bank - as long as they win!!!
Bank 3
Bet 41 Canberra 5,6,8 / 2,3,5,8,10 / 1 / 1,4,5,9,11,13 - 5.56%
Bet 42 Swan Hill 4,10,11 / 2,3,4,6,10 / 3,4,8 / 2,6,8 - 3.70%
I'd normally head off to the races for something like the Canberra Cup but to be honest there's a few things stopping me -
1 It's a Sunday and I'm not a big fan of Sunday racing
2 I can't really afford to go, drinks are like $9 - $10 a pop now for a non beer drinker like me, it's crazy stuff, sure the winners would hopefully pay for them but there's no guarantees
3 I'm off to a BBQ instead
I will miss the perv though - there's nothing like a big race day for a good perv :)
Have a good one All
Saturday, November 29, 2008
Day 14 - it's just keeps going
Back again, an ordinary evening session with lots of losses - Tigers rolling the Wildcats limited the damage on the sports bank though.
Only reason I'm back is that I wanted a crack at the Union tonight.
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 85 Wentworth Park Greys 10 - 4 Diorissimo - 2nd
Bet 86 The Meadows Greys 11 - 2 Keep Cool - Unp
Lost $10 Overall Loss $64.30 (31 from 86 - 36%)
Bank 2
Bet 41 Soccer Mariners vs Glory @ $2.24 - Lost
Bet 42 NBL Tigers vs Wildcats @ $1.73 - Won
Loss $1.83 Overall Profit $18.16 (23 from 42 - 54%)
Bank 3
Bet 39 The Meadows 2,7 / 1,6,8 / 4,7 / 2,4,6 - 13.89% - Lost
Bet 40 Wentworth Park 1,4 / 6 / 4,6 / 3,4,8 - 41.67% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $39.89
And the union bets that I cam back for tonight
Bank 2
Bet 43 Union New Zealand - 19.5 vs England @ $2
Bet 44 Union Wales vs Australia @ $2.82
I haven't got the Wallabies right once so far so let's see if I can get them another win :)
Sweet dreams All
Day 14 - 2 Bank 3 Survives :)
Well that was a much better day with wins on 2 banks and a small loss on the 3rd :)
I only got a small percentage of the Moonee Valley quaddie but when the pay $2200 a small percentage does the trick :)
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 83 Moonee Valley Race 4 - 5 Arclace - Won $2.80
Bet 84 Ascot Race 7 - 1 Takeover Target - Won $3.50 (welcome back Champ!!!)
Profit $21.50 Overall Loss $54.30 (31 from 84 - 36%)
Bank 2
Bet 39 NBA Cavaliers, Lakers, Jazz (all to win) @ $1.50 - Won
Bet 40 NBA Celtics, Cavaliers, Lakers, Suns, Jazz (all to win) @ $2.36 - Lost
Loss $3.07 Overall Profit $19.99 (22 from 40 - 55%)
Bank 3
Bet 37 Randwick 4,7,8 / 4 / 1,4,5 / 3,7,8 - 22.22% - Lost
Bet 38 Moonee Valley 2,4,8 / 1,8,9,10 / 4,6,7,8 / 4,5,13,14 - 3.13% - Won
Profit $61.56 Overall Loss $24.89 (5 from 38 - 13%)
WAHOO - alive and kicking :)
And tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 85 Wentworth Park Greys 10 - 4 Diorissimo
Bet 86 The Meadows Greys 11 - 2 Keep Cool
Bank 2
Bet 41 Soccer Mariners vs Glory @ $2.24
Bet 42 NBL Tigers vs Wildcats @ $1.73
Bank 3
Bet 39 The Meadows 2,7 / 1,6,8 / 4,7 / 2,4,6 - 13.89%
Bet 40 Wentworth Park 1,4 / 6 / 4,6 / 3,4,8 - 41.67%
All going to plan I'll be back with some bets on tonight's rugby.
Cheers
Day 14 - D day for Bank 3
Gambled last night on the sports betting bank and luckily it paid off with the 1 all draw coming through. It was a bit dumb though, I had 2 bets and only one of them could win - there should be no more of those.
In other news, I finally hit a winner on bank 1 - WAHOO - but still copped a loss :( - and today is it for bank 3 - my last 2 quaddies, fingers crossed for a result.
Here's last nights results
Bank 1
Bet 81 Harold Park Trots 5 - 1 Panorama Swing - Won
Bet 82 Harold Park Trots 6 - 2 Blacks a Fake @ $1.98 - Unp
Loss $0.50 Overall Loss $75.80 (29 from 82 - 35%)
Bank 2
Bet 37 Soccer Sydney FC vs Roar 0 - 0 @ $11.50 - Lost
Bet 38 Soccer Sydney FC vs Roar 1 - 1 @ $9.20 - Won
Profit $29.03 Overall Profit $23.06 (21 from 38 - 55%)
Bank 3
Bet 35 Richmond 2,3,4,7 / 1,4 / 4,8 / 4,6,8 - 10.42% - Lost
Bet 36 Geelong 4,5,8 / 1,5 / 1 / 3,4 - 41.67% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $84.45 (4 from 36 - 11%)
And today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 83 Moonee Valley Race 4 - 5 Arclace
Bet 84 Ascot Race 7 - 1 Takeover Target
Bank 2
Bet 39 NBA Cavaliers, Lakers, Jazz (all to win) @ $1.50
Bet 40 NBA Celtics, Cavaliers, Lakers, Suns, Jazz (all to win) @ $2.36
Bank 3
Bet 37 Randwick 4,7,8 / 4 / 1,4,5 / 3,7,8 - 22.22%
Bet 38 Moonee Valley 2,4,8 / 1,8,9,10 / 4,6,7,8 / 4,5,13,14 - 3.13%
Let's hope I still have 3 banks after today.
Good luck on the punt :)
Friday, November 28, 2008
Day 13 - 2 - will it turn???
Wipe out so far - can I get something back tonight? let's see :)
Results
Bank 1
Bet 79 Wagga Race 7 - 1 Sheezvalue - 2nd
Bet 80 Hamilton Race 8 - 5 Davo's Now - Unp
Loss $10 Overall Loss $75.30 (28 from 80 - 35%)
Bank 2
Bet 35 NBA Hornets vs Nuggets Under 196.5 points @ $2.08 - Lost
Bet 36 Soccer Victory vs Phoenix @ $2.02 - Lost
Loss $10.42 Overall Loss $6.18 (20 from 36 - 55%)
Bank 3
Bet 33 Hamilton 1,5,9 / 2,6,7 / 1,4,5,13 / 1,3,4,5,15 - 2.78% - Lost
Bet 34 Wagga 2,6,12 / 1,6 / 3,4,7 / 2,4,5 - 9.26% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $74.45 (4 from 34 - 11%)
Not good
Tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 81 Harold Park Trots 5 - 1 Panorama Swing
Bet 82 Harold Park Trots 6 - 2 Blacks a Fake @ $1.98
Bank 2
Bad bets here, chasing - not good
Bet 37 Soccer Sydney FC vs Roar 0 - 0 @ $11.50
Bet 38 Soccer Sydney FC vs Roar 1 - 1 @ $9.20
Bank 3
Bet 35 Richmond 2,3,4,7 / 1,4 / 4,8 / 4,6,8 - 10.42%
Bet 36 Geelong 4,5,8 / 1,5 / 1 / 3,4 - 41.67%
Have a great night All, I don't think I can even stop Blacks a Fake tonight, go you good thing!!!
Lucky Day 13 - let's hope so
Sick day today, off to the doctor shortly to grab some drugs - should be back up and at em sometime over the weekend. Worst part is I'll miss Friday drinks :(
Wipe out last night, absolute shocker :(
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 77 Sandown Greys 8 - 2 Made to Size - Unp
Bet 78 Hobart Greys 9 - 4 Buck Lee - 2nd
Loss $10 Overall Loss $65.30 (28 from 78 - 35%)
Bank 2
Bet 33 Soccer Schalke vs Man City @ $2.06 - Lost
Bet 34 Soccer AC Milan vs Portsmouth @ $2.32 - Lost
Loss $11.58 Overall Profit $4.24 (20 from 34 - 58%)
Bank 3
Bet 31 Sandown 2,8 / 1,6,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,2 - 13.89% - Lost
Bet 32 Dapto 1,6 / 1,5 / 1,2 / 1,2,8 - 20.83% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $59.45 (4 from 32 - 12%)
Disgraceful isn't it - just awful, 2 weeks down and only one bank a tiny bit in profit. I really need to find some winners and get on a roll.
Here's today's bets
Bank 1 - backing a couple I've backed previously
Bet 79 Wagga Race 7 - 1 Sheezvalue
Bet 80 Hamilton Race 8 - 5 Davo's Now
Bank 2
Bet 35 NBA Hornets vs Nuggets Under 196.5 points @ $2.08
Bet 36 Soccer Victory vs Phoenix @ $2.02
Bank 3
Bet 33 Hamilton 1,5,9 / 2,6,7 / 1,4,5,13 / 1,3,4,5,15 - 2.78%
Bet 34 Wagga 2,6,12 / 1,6 / 3,4,7 / 2,4,5 - 9.26%
Has to be a winner or two there somewhere
Cheers
Thursday, November 27, 2008
Day 12??? - someything like that
Did I say no bets till Friday - I forgot tonight, Melbourne Cup Greyhounds - Gotta have a crack at that :)
So here's tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 77 Sandown Greys 8 - 2 Made to Size
Bet 78 Hobart Greys 9 - 4 Buck Lee
Bank 2
Bet 33 Soccer Schalke vs Man City @ $2.06
Bet 34 Soccer AC Milan vs Portsmouth @ $2.32
Bank 3
Bet 31 Sandown 2,8 / 1,6,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,2 - 13.89%
Bet 32 Dapto 1,6 / 1,5 / 1,2 / 1,2,8 - 20.83%
Well there they are, fingers crossed.
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Day 11 - results - just a quiet drink - yeah right :)
Sorry I didn't make it back this evening, one of my mates from work suggested a quiet drink after work - 5 hours later...
Oh well, not too worry - worst thing though, I'm away the next couple of days for work so there won't be any new bets till Friday. Sorry about that.
Here's the results update though
Bank 1
Bet 75 Cranbourne Greys 3 - 7 Fastidious - Unp
Bet 76 Launceston Greys 3 - 1 Hilton Sage - Unp
Loss $10 Overall Loss $55.30 (28 from 76 - 36%)
Bank 2
Bet 31 H Rostock vs 1860 Munich @ $2.08 - Lost
Bet 32 Wigan vs Everton Under 2.5 goals @ $1.88 (that's total goals)- Won
Loss $1.40 Overall Profit $15.82 (20 from 32 - 62%)
Bank 3
Bet 29 Wentworth Park - 3,8 / 2 / 1,3,4,6 / 1,2,3,4,6 - 12.50% - Lost
Bet 30 Cranbourne - Field / 1,5,6 / 2,6 / 2,5 - 5.21% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $44.45 (4 from 30 - 13%)
So I'll be back Friday morning - sorry again for missing so many days but while I'm losing work has to come first
Cheers
Day 11 cont.
Running a little late - sports bets are still going, 1860 Munich is winning 1-0 :( but it's 0 - 0 Wigan vs Everton so could be ok there unless they score 3 goals in the 2nd half.
Either way, I've got to get to work so will do an update and post a few bets tonight.
Have a great day
Monday, November 24, 2008
Day 11 - 1 or is it 2???
Either or, I'm back - AC Milan didn't hold on so copped a small loss on the only bank that was running. Such is life, at least I made it to work on time :)
Here's the results
Bank 2
Bet 29 Soccer Tottenham vs Blackburn @ $1.76 - Won
Bet 30 Soccer AC Milan vs Torino @ 1.79 - Lost
Loss $1.65 Overall Profit $17.22 (19 from 30 - 63%)
And tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 75 Cranbourne Greys 3 - 7 Fastidious
Bet 76 Launceston Greys 3 - 1 Hilton Sage
Bank 2
Bet 31 H Rostock vs 1860 Munich @ $2.08
Bet 32 Wigan vs Everton Under 2.5 goals @ $1.88 (that's total goals)
Bank 3
Bet 29 Wentworth Park - 3,8 / 2 / 1,3,4,6 / 1,2,3,4,6 - 12.50%
Bet 30 Cranbourne - Field / 1,5,6 / 2,6 / 2,5 - 5.21%
First time I've taken the field in a leg, I just couldn't decide which ones to leave out.
Back tomorrow :)
Hit the pause button
It's only half time in the AC Milan vs Torino game with the AC Milan up 2-1 at the moment, hopefully they'll hold on.
I'll need to get better organised but no bets until tonight, start the new job today - well it's mostly the same job just a bit different and in a different office for a little while - either way, have to be on time so can't hang around to see what the result will be.
Catchya later
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Day 10 - 2
A win on the sports and a wipe out on the races - so a little change of plan again tomorrow. Just a couple of sports bets no races till tomorrow night, saves me stuffing about too much in the morning.
Here's today's results
Bank 1
Bet 73 Strathalbyn Race 3 - 3 Flying Phoenix - 2nd
Bet 74 Sunshine Coast 7 - 5 Key Bar Nights - Unp
Loss $10 Overall Loss $45.30 (28 from 74 strike rate 37%)
Bank 2
Bet 27 Soccer Roar vs Glory @ $1.72 - Won
Bet 28 Soccer Phoenix Vs Jets @ $2.32 - Won
Profit $10.51 Profit $18.87 (18 from 28 - 64%)
Bank 3
Bet 27 Benalla 3,5,11 / 2,4,9,10 / 2,7,8,10 / 4,7 - 3.47% - Lost
Bet 28 Goulburn 4,7,8 / 1 / 1,2,7,8 / 4,5,11 - 13.89% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $34.45 (4 from 28 - 14%)
Tonight's bets
Bank 1
No Bet
Bank 2
Bet 29 Soccer Tottenham vs Blackburn @ $1.76
Bet 30 Soccer AC Milan vs Torino @ 1.79
Bank 3
No Bets
Have a great night All
Day 10 - 1
Wow, it's later then I thought. Saturday night party, most enjoyable - back to bed after writing this up.
2 winning banks one losing - well done Wallabies, breaking several droughts on this tour. Kangaroos did much worse than I expected, I was confident with the 16.5 start on the Kiwi's but I didn't think they'd actually win. They were VERY good. Picked up a share of the Wenthworth Park quaddie so that boosts bank 3 up a little :)
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 71 Wentworth Park Greys 1 - 2 Shelby One - Unp
Bet 72 Moonee Valley Trots 4 - 2 Village in Vesa - Won
Loss $2.50 Overall Loss $35.30 (28 from 72 - strike rate 38%)
Bank 2
Bet 25 League New Zealand + 16.5 vs Australia @ $2.18 - Won
Bet 26 Union France vs Australia @ $2.18 - Lost
Profit $0.71 Profit $8.36 (16 from 26 - strike rate 61%)
Bank 3
Bet 25 Meadows 2,5 / 1,4,7 / 1,2 / 1,2,3 - 13.89% - Lost
Bet 26 Wentworth Park 2,5,6,8 / 1,3,5 / 1,4,5,6,8 / 8 - 8.33% - Won
Profit $26.32 Overall Loss $19.45 (4 from 26 - strike rate 15%)
And here's today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 73 Strathalbyn Race 3 - 3 Flying Phoenix
Bet 74 Sunshine Coast 7 - 5 Key Bar Nights
Bank 2
Bet 27 Soccer Roar vs Glory @ $1.72
Bet 28 Soccer Phoenix Vs Jets @ $2.32
Bank 3
Bet 27 Benalla 3,5,11 / 2,4,9,10 / 2,7,8,10 / 4,7 - 3.47%
Bet 28 Goulburn 4,7,8 / 1 / 1,2,7,8 / 4,5,11 - 13.89%
Well there they are, hopefully lots of winners amongst them
Need more sleep
Have a great day All
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Day 9 - 2
Patchy sort of a day - back on track with the sports bets but the gallops were no good. Soul Diva looked to struggle on the track and at the class - will be interesting to see where they go next.
Here's the results
Bank 1
Bet 69 Betfair Park 4 - 5 Sensational Toy @ $2.14 - 3rd
Bet 70 Betfair Park 6 - 6 Soul Diva @ 10 - Unp
Loss $10 Overall Loss $32.80 (27 from 70 - 38%)
Bank 2
Bet 23 NBA Celtics vs Timberwolves @ $1.40 - Won
Bet 24 NBA Spurs vs Jazz @ $1.59 - Won
Profit $4.84 Overall Profit $7.65 (15 from 24 - 62%)
Bank 3
Bet 23 Betfair Park 1,7,8,9 / 3,5,6,7 / 4,5,9 / 1,4,9 - 3.47% - Lost
Bet 24 Randwick 1,2,4 / 1,3,5,6 / 1,4,9 / 7,8 - 6.94% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $44.77
Tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 71 Wentworth Park Greys 1 - 2 Shelby One
Bet 72 Moonee Valley Trots 4 - 2 Village in Vesa
Bank 2
Bet 25 League New Zealand + 16.5 vs Australia @ $2.18
Bet 26 Union France vs Australia @ $2.18
Yep, rules are made to be broken - couldn't resist these ones, I'm feeling a little unpatriotic, won't be too upset if we win both though. Just less than 16.5 in the league would be nice :)
Bank 3
Bet 25 Meadows 2,5 / 1,4,7 / 1,2 / 1,2,3 - 13.89%
Bet 26 Wentworth Park 2,5,6,8 / 1,3,5 / 1,4,5,6,8 / 8 - 8.33%
Have a great night All
Day 9 - 1 A new approach
It was good having the day off, gave me a chance to think things through. I've decided to make a couple of changes - one small, one a bit bigger - let's hope it helps.
With Bank 1 I'm going to change from 5 * 2% to 2 * 5% (with a $5 minimum) - so fewer but bigger bets. Main driver for this is actually work related - I'm changing jobs on Monday and I won't be able to stuff about for an hour each morning on here. It also lets me take the fixed odds on Betfair where possible e.g. today. Finally,I'd rather the bigger bets and additional pressure that's goes with that, hopefully it'll lead to better results.
With bank 3 I'm going to tighten it up a bit. Picking teams against big starts is stupid especially when I can get ok odds with straight win bets with no margins. The prices will be shorter but the strike rate should lift. That's the plan anyway.
Here's today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 69 Betfair Park 4 - 5 Sensational Toy @ $2.14
Bet 70 Betfair Park 6 - 6 Soul Diva @ 10
You'll probably think Soul Diva is a strange bet, it's a little more heart then head as I have a small interest in the horse. She's been great fun winning 9 races including back to back wins in both Brisbane and Melbourne. They aimed high with her this spring and she hasn't quite measured up. The track today is a worry but she's classy and game so still a chance - GO YOU GOOD THING!!!
Bank 2
Bet 23 NBA Celtics vs Timberwolves @ $1.40
Bet 24 NBA Spurs vs Jazz @ $1.59
Bank 3
Bet 23 Betfair Park 1,7,8,9 / 3,5,6,7 / 4,5,9 / 1,4,9 - 3.47%
Bet 24 Randwick 1,2,4 / 1,3,5,6 / 1,4,9 / 7,8 - 6.94%
Well there they are, let's hope the new approaches see the banks grow.
Good luck on the punt :)
Friday, November 21, 2008
Rest day
Having a day off today, not a day off work unfortunately but a day off the punt.
Three reasons
1 - I need to get to work a bit earlier today
2 - Wet tracks all over
3 - I need to clear my head and work out where I'm at
I'll be back tomorrow
Here's last night's results before I go for the day
Bank 1
Bet 62 Sandown Greys 2 (7.24pm) - 6 Lilley Criminal - 2nd
Bet 64 Penrith Trots 4 (7.43pm) - 1 Snukered - 2nd
Bet 66 Canterbury Race 3 (8.00pm) - 2 Monterey Road - 2nd
Bet 67 Sandown Race 4 (8.07pm) - 6 El Galo - 2nd
Bet 68 Sandown Race 9 (9.54pm) - 3 Fallen Zorro - Won
1 / 5 (strike rate 20%) Overall 27 / 68 (strike rate 39%)
Loss $5.80 Overall Loss $22.80
Bank 2
No bets - Overall Profit $2.81
Bank 3
Bet 20 Canterbury 1,4,9 / 6,7,10 / 3,4,5,6 / 1 - 13.89% - Lost
Bet 21 Sandown 2,4,5 / 2,7,8 / 1,3,5 / 5,7,8 - 6.17% - Lost
Bet 22 Dapto 1,2,8 / 1,4 / 1,8 / 2,5 - 20.83% - Lost
0 / 3 (strike rate 0%) Overall 3 / 22 (strike rate 13%)
Loss $15 Overall Loss $34.77
So going into my day off I'm down on all but the sports bank and it's well down on it's peak. Some thinking to be done over the next 24 hours or so to see what I'll do. One point I'd like to make is that normally the $300 I deposited to start this off last week would be gone by now. I might have grown it to $700 - $800 but most likely would've got carried away and lost it all by now. It's dumb, but that's how I was betting. At least now I still have $245 or so left, that's a negative figure but for me - a positive and something to work on.
Anyways, gotta get to work - have a great day All
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Day 8 - 2
What a shocker of a day :(
Sports bank wipes out again - 6 losers in a row and enough for me to have a night off. I got way too cocky on this one, will get it back together though - I'm confident.
Rockhampton was abandoned so 2 bets on bank 1 are money back as well as the quaddie. I'll have 7 bets on Saturday to get back up to brackets of 5 for bank 1 and will take a quaddie on Canterbury tonight along with the greyhounds to get bank 3 back on evens.
Bet numbers probably won't make sense to you but I know what they mean so it's all good.
Hoping for a winning night tonight, I need a lift
Here's the results from today
Bank 1
Bet 61 Seymour Race 1 (1pm) - 5 Mount Everest - Won
Bet 62 Rockhampton Race 4 (3.10pm) - 7 Kanetoshi Millions - Abandoned
Bet 63 Seymour Race 5 - (3.20pm) - 3 Splicer - Unp
Bet 64 Rockhampton Race 5 (3.45pm) - 5 Aunty Flo - Abandoned
Bet 65 Seymour Race 7 (4.37pm) - 2 Naadji - 3rd
1 / 3 (strike rate 33%) Overall 26 / 63 (strike rate 41%)
Loss $1.80 Overall Loss $17
Bank 2
Bet 21 NBA 76ers - 3.5 vs Timberwolves @ $1.93 - Lost
Bet 22 NBA Hornets - 13.5 vs Kings @ $1.97 - Lost
0 / 0 (strike rate 0%) Overall 13 / 22 (strike rate 59%)
Loss $11.42 Overall Profit $2.81
Bank 3
Bet 19 Seymour 3,5 / 4,5,11 / 2,5 / 2,3,6 - 13.89% - Lost
Bet 20 Rockhampton 3,5 / 2,4,5,6,7 / 1,7 / 3,6,11 - 8.33% - Abandoned
0 / 1 (strike rate 0%) Overall 3 / 19 (strike rate 15%)
Loss $5 Overall Loss $19.77
Some shocking figures up there :(
Tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 62 Sandown Greys 2 (7.24pm) - 6 Lilley Criminal - 2nd
Bet 64 Penrith Trots 4 (7.43pm) - 1 Snukered
Bet 66 Canterbury Race 3 (8.00pm) - 2 Monterey Road
Bet 67 Sandown Race 4 (8.07pm) - 6 El Galo
Bet 68 Sandown Race 9 (9.54pm) - 3 Fallen Zorro
Bank 2
No bets
Bank 3
Bet 20 Canterbury 1,4,9 / 6,7,10 / 3,4,5,6 / 1 - 13.89%
Bet 21 Sandown 2,4,5 / 2,7,8 / 1,3,5 / 5,7,8 - 6.17%
Bet 22 Dapto 1,2,8 / 1,4 / 1,8 / 2,5 - 20.83%
Sorry I'm running a bit late, bets were on and I got a phone call. First bet ran 2nd.
Have a great night All
Day 8 - 1
Well a week down now and it's frustrating as - I started really well on the sports bank but have had 4 straight losses to finish the week, at least it's still in front!!!
The Quaddie bank is still alive so that's good
The main bank is down but at least it seems to be hovering a bit now.
Punting, it's not easy - but hey, while there's life - there's hope.
Here's last nights results
Bank 1
Bet 56 The Gardens Greys 6 (8.45pm) - 2 Over and Over - Unp
Bet 57 Shepparton Greys 7 (8.58pm) - 7 Vee Man Vane - Won
Bet 58 The Gardens Greys 7 (9.05pm) - 4 Miss Elly Mint - Won
Bet 59 Shepparton Greys 8 (9.18pm) - 1 Anstey Close - Won
Bet 60 Bathurst Trots 8 (9.40pm) - 4 Anna Shannon - Unp
3 / 5 (strike rate 60%) Overall 25 / 60 (strike rate 41%)
Won $0.20 Overall Loss $15.20
Bank 2
Bet 19 NBL Tigers - 13.5 vs Taipans @ $1.87 - Lost
Bet 20 Soccer Iran vs UAE @ $2 - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 13 / 20 (strike rate 65%)
Loss 12.68 Overall Profit $14.23
Bank 3
Bet 17 Newcastle 1,4 / 2,3,9 / 4 / 1,2,3,7 - 20.83% - Lost
Bet 18 Shepparton 3,5,6 / 1,2,5,6 / 2,7 / 1 - 20.83% - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 3 / 18 (strike rate 16%)
Loss $10 Overall Loss $14.77
Today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 61 Seymour Race 1 (1pm) - 5 Mount Everest
Bet 62 Rockhampton Race 4 (3.10pm) - 7 Kanetoshi Millions
Bet 63 Seymour Race 5 - (3.20pm) - 3 Splicer
Bet 64 Rockhampton Race 5 (3.45pm) - 5 Aunty Flo
Bet 65 Seymour Race 7 (4.37pm) - 2 Naadji
Bank 2
Bet 21 NBA 76ers - 3.5 vs Timberwolves @ $1.93
Bet 22 NBA Hornets - 13.5 vs Kings @ $1.97
Bank 3
Seymour 3,5 / 4,5,11 / 2,5 / 2,3,6 - 13.89%
Rockhampton 3,5 / 2,4,5,6,7 / 1,7 / 3,6,11 - 8.33%
Let's hope week 2 is better then week 1 :)
Have a great day
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Day 7 - 2
Running late again, had to sort some stuff out before I started.
Lost on my 2 banks that were in profit and won on the one that was down - strange old game at times.
The punting Gods heard me get a little carried away with my sports bank and sent me crashing back to earth, still in front though but for the first time I lost on both bets in the session.
The headline I didn't want to see was - "Zidlicky, Wild end Pens' six-game winning streak"
Life goes on though, hopefully it will turn around tonight.
Results
Bank 1 :)
Bet 51 Hawkesbury Race 1 (1.15pm) - 3 The Hawker - 3rd
Bet 52 Ballarat Race 4 (1.35pm) - 1 Alexandra Gardens - Won
Bet 53 Ballarat Race 5 (2.10pm) - 1 Flip - 3rd
Bet 54 Balaklava Race 3 (2.18pm) - Wendy Ellen - Won
Bet 55 Balaklava Race 5 (3.28pm) - Hentschke - Won
3 / 5 (strike rate 60%) Overall 22 / 55 (strike rate 40%)
Won $6 Overall Loss $15.40
Bank 2 :(
NHL - Penguins vs Wild @ 1.66 - Lost
Soccer - Scotland U21 vs Ireland U21 @ 1.76 - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 13 / 18 (strike rate 72%)
Lost $14.08 Overall Profit $26.91
Bank 3 :(
Ballarat 5,6,8 / 1,5,9,16,18 / 7,9,14 / 2,10,11,14 - 2.78% - Lost
Hawkesbury 4,6 / 1,4 / 2,4,6 / 1,2,3 - 13.89% - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 3 / 16 (strike rate 18%)
Loss $10 Overall Loss $4.77
And tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 56 The Gardens Greys 6 (8.45pm) - 2 Over and Over
Bet 57 Shepparton Greys 7 (8.58pm) - 7 Vee Man Vane
Bet 58 The Gardens Greys 7 (9.05pm) - 4 Miss Elly Mint
Bet 59 Shepparton Greys 8 (9.18pm) - 1 Anstey Close
Bet 60 Bathurst Trots 8 (9.40pm) - 4 Anna Shannon
Bank 2
Bet 19 NBL Tigers - 13.5 vs Taipans @ $1.87
Bet 20 Soccer Iran vs UAE @ $2
Bank 3
Bet 17 Newcastle 1,4 / 2,3,9 / 4 / 1,2,3,7 - 20.83%
Bet 18 Shepparton 3,5,6 / 1,2,5,6 / 2,7 / 1 - 20.83%
And there they are - fingers crossed :)
Day 7 -1
Running a bit late again after going back to sleep for an extra hour, patchy nights sleep - maybe I was having nightmares about my Under 21's soccer pick :(
Sports wise - I've misjudged the times again so no sports bets today as the NHL match hasn't started yet - GO PENGUINS
Here's today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 51 Hawkesbury Race 1 (1.15pm) - 3 The Hawker
Bet 52 Ballarat Race 4 (1.35pm) - 1 Alexandra Gardens
Bet 53 Ballarat Race 5 (2.10pm) - 1 Flip
Bet 54 Balaklava Race 3 (2.18pm) - Wendy Ellen
Bet 55 Balaklava Race 5 (3.28pm) - Hentschke
Bank 3
Ballarat 5,6,8 / 1,5,9,16,18 / 7,9,14 / 2,10,11,14 - 2.78%
Hawkesbury 4,6 / 1,4 / 2,4,6 / 1,2,3 - 13.89%
Gotta run, good luck if you're having a punt Ballarat Cup day.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Day 6 - 2
Not too bad a day overall - wins on 2 of the 3 banks + on the poker table, I'm a happy chap :)
Here's the results
Bank 1 - :)
Bet 46 Townsville Race 1 (1.43pm) - 2 Line By Line - 2nd
Bet 47 Warwick Farm Race 1 (2.10pm) - 3 I've Got Talent - Won
Bet 48 Moe 5 (3.40pm) - 1 Happy Glen - Won
Bet 49 Townsville 6 (4.38pm) - 2 Captain Wheland - Won
Bet 50 Townsville 7 (5.13pm) - 5 Endangered - Unp
3 / 5 winners (strike rate 60%) Overall 19 / 50 (strike rate 38%)
Profit 3.80 Overall Loss $21.40
Hopefully I can turn that loss around by the time I get to 100 bets - strike rate needs to lift a bit as well.
Bank 2 - :)
Bet 15 NBA Jazz vs Suns @ $1.96 - Won
Bet 16 NBA Rockets - 8.5 vs Thunder @ $1.93 - Won
2 / 2 (strike rate 100%) Overall 13 / 16 (strike rate 81%)
Profit $11.62 Overall Profit $40.99
This is easily my highlight so far - would be very happy if these kind of figures hold up :)
Bank 3 - :(
Bet 13 Moe 1,2,5 / 2,3,6,13 / 5,6,7 / 1,3,12 - 5.09% - Lost
Bet 14 Warwick Farm 1,2,4 / 1,4,6,13 / 3,4 / 1,13 - 11.46% - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 3 / 14 (strike rate 21%)
Loss $11 Overall Profit $5.23
Hey it's in front so can't complain too much - more would be nice though :)
I missed this evenings bets but have come up with a couple of sports bets for tonight
Bank 2
NHL - Penguins vs Wild @ 1.66
Soccer - Scotland U21 vs Ireland U21 @ 1.76
I think I'll have an early night - catchya tomorrow :)
Day 6 - 1
Staying in bed an extra 30 minutes wasn't a good idea, running a little late - oh well, such is life :)
Patchy night last night - backwards on 2 banks but the quaddie bank moves into profit with a $50 odd collect - WAHOO
Bank 1 - results :(
Bet 41 Echuca Trots 2 (7.22pm) - 4 Mister Tigerman - Unp
Bet 42 Wenthworth Park 1 (7.32pm) - 7 Hallucinating - Unp
Bet 43 Albion Park 3 (8.25pm) - 3 Quarter Time - 2nd DH
Bet 44 Wentworth Park 4 (8.32pm) - 2 Seditious - Unp
Bet 45 Launceston 6 (9.21pm) - 4 Agent Rusty - Won
1 / 5 (strike rate 20%) Overall 16 / 45 (strike rate 35%)
Loss $6.60 Overall Loss $25.20
Bank 2 - results :(
Soccer - Gloria Britrita vs Gaz Melan Medias @ $1.70 - Lost
Soccer - Chernomorets B vs Minyor Pernik @ $1.57 - Won
1 / 2 (strike rate 50%) Overall 11 / 14 (strike rate 78%)
Loss $2.19 Overall Profit $29.37
Bank 3 - results :)
Wentworth Park - 2,5,6 / 2,7,8 / 1,5,7 / 1,5 - 9.26% - Won
Horsham - 1,3,5 / 2,3,6 / 1,8 / 2,5,7 - 9.26% - Lost
1 / 2 (strike rate 50%) Overall 3 / 12 (strike rate 25%)
Profit $42.24 Overall Profit $16.23
That's the big thing with quaddies, you don't hit many but they can pay ok when you do. Even for a small percentage they can kick the bank along when you do - I'm very happy about this one!!!
Today's bets
Bank 1
Bet 46 Townsville Race 1 (1.43pm) - 2 Line By Line
Bet 47 Warwick Farm Race 1 (2.10pm) - 3 I've Got Talent
Bet 48 Moe 5 (3.40pm) - 1 Happy Glen
Bet 49 Townsville 6 (4.38pm) - 2 Captain Wheland
Bet 50 Townsville 7 (5.13pm) - 5 Endangered
Bank 2
Bet 15 NBA Jazz vs Suns @ $1.96
Bet 16 NBA Rockets - 8.5 vs Thunder @ $1.93
Bank 3
Bet 13 Moe 1,2,5 / 2,3,6,13 / 5,6,7 / 1,3,12 - 5.09%
Bet 14 Warwick Farm 1,2,4 / 1,4,6,13 / 3,4 / 1,13 - 11.46%
No bets tonight, I play a fortnighty home game of poker and tonight's the night. Will come back and post some overnight sports bets when I get home though so look out for those.
Have a great day All
Monday, November 17, 2008
Day 5 - 2
Another losing day on the horses but winning one on the sports - wonder what tonight will bring???
Bank 1 - results :(
Bet 36 Tamworth Race 3 (2.30pm) - 2 Opalomine - Unp
Bet 37 Tamworth Race 4 (3.06pm) - 1 Escudos - 2nd
Bet 38 Warrnambool Race 5 (3.24pm) - 4 Absolute Star - Won
Bet 39 Warrnambool Race 7 (4.40pm) - 4 Davo's Star - Unp
Bet 40 Tamworth Race 7 (5.00pm) - 5 Dance Arena - Unp
1 / 5 (strike rate 20%) Overall 15 / 40 (strike rate 37%)
Loss $7.20 Overall Loss $18.60
Bank 3 - results :(
Warrnambool - 1,4,5 / 3 / 3,4,5,10 / 1,11 - 20.83% - Lost
Tamworth - 1,3,6,7 / 1,2,6,8 / 1,5,6,9 / 1,4,6 - 2.60% - Lost
0 / 2 (strike rate 0%) Overall 2 / 10 (strike rate 20%)
Loss $10 Overall Loss $16.01
Bank 2 - results :)
NFL Cardinals vs Seahawks @ $1.73 - Won
NFL 49ers - 6.5 vs Rams @ $1.86 - Won
2 / 2 (strike rate 100%) Overall 10 / 12 (strike rate 83%)
Profit $9.25 Overall $31.56
Sports are the only highlight at the moment, I'm hoping the other banks will come good but if they don't at least I have the sports one to hang my hat on :)
Tonight's bets
Bank 1
Bet 41 Echuca Trots 2 (7.22pm) - 4 Mister Tigerman
Bet 42 Wenthworth Park 1 (7.32pm) - 7 Hallucinating
Bet 43 Albion Park 3 (8.25pm) - 3 Quarter Time
Bet 44 Wentworth Park 4 (8.32pm) - 2 Seditious
Bet 45 Launceston 6 (9.21pm) - 4 Agent Rusty
Bank 3
Wentworth Park - 2,5,6 / 2,7,8 / 1,5,7 / 1,5 - 9.26%
Horsham - 1,3,5 / 2,3,6 / 1,8 / 2,5,7 - 9.26%
Bank 2
Soccer - Gloria Britrita vs Gaz Melan Medias @ $1.70
Soccer - Chernomorets B vs Minyor Pernik @ $1.57
That's Romanian and Bulgarian soccer - I'll go anywhere ;)
About to jump at Echuca - fingers crossed for a winning evening.
Cheers
p.s. Happy B'day to my Mum - you're the best :)
Day 5 - 1
Swings and roundabouts - after wiping out yesterday I had wins on all 3 banks last night to turn what started out being an ordinary day into a not too bad one :)
Bank 1 results
Bet 31 - Stawell Trots 2 (5.47pm) - 2 Model Talk - Won
Bet 32 - Gawler Greys 2 (6.24pm) - 4 Quinton Bale - Won
Bet 33 - Sale Greys 3 (6.32pm) - 5 Secret Skulls - Won
Bet 34 - Gawler Greys 4 (7.09pm) - 1 Le Grand Bale - Won
Bet 35 - Sale Greys 9 (8.32pm) - 3 Spence's Shadow - Unp
4 / 5 (strike rate 80%) Overall 14 / 35 (strike rate 40%)
Profit $5 Overall Loss $11.40
Today's bets
Bet 36 Tamworth Race 3 (2.30pm) - 2 Opalomine
Bet 37 Tamworth Race 4 (3.06pm) - 1 Escudos
Bet 38 Warrnambool Race 5 (3.24pm) - 4 Absolute Star
Bet 39 Warrnambool Race 7 (4.40pm) - 4 Davo's Star
Bet 40 Tamworth Race 7 (5.00pm) - 5 Dance Arena
Bank 3 Results
Gawler - 1,6,8 / 3,4,6 / 4 / 1,2,3,4,6 - 11.11% - Lost
Sale - 2,8 / 2,3,6 / 6,8 / 1,2,3,4,5 - 8.33% - Won
1 / 2 (strike rate 50%) Overall 2 / 8 (strike rate 25%)
Profit $12.32 Overall Loss $16.01
Today's quaddies
Warrnambool - 1,4,5 / 3 / 3,4,5,10 / 1,11 - 20.83%
Tamworth - 1,3,6,7 / 1,2,6,8 / 1,5,6,9 / 1,4,6 - 2.60%
Bank 2 Results :)
League - Australia - 46.5 vs Fiji @ 1.91 - Won
Cricket - Pakistan vs West Indies @ 1.62 - Won
2 / 2 (strike rate 100%) Overall 8 / 10 (strike rate 80%)
Profit $7.97 Overall Profit $22.31
Today's sports bets
NFL Cardinals vs Seahawks @ $1.73
NFL 49ers - 6.5 vs Rams @ $1.86
Sorry both those games have just started - I'll have work out my time zones so that I can post early enough next time + have more games to choose from.
Ok, gotta get to work
Have a great day All
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Day 4 - 2
Had to happen eventually but I was hoping it would be a bit further away - wipe out :(
Sunday racing grrrrrr - but hey, while there's life there's hope.
Here's the racing results
Bet 26 - Geelong Race 2 (1.35pm) - 2 High Intensity - Unp
Bet 27 - Penola Race 3 (2.50pm) - 1 Bokolo - Unp
Bet 28 - Geelong Race 6 (3.57pm) - 2 New Years Eve - Unp
Bet 29 - Newcastle Race 6 (4.08pm) - 2 Moonlight Music - 2nd
Bet 30 - Donald Race 9 (5.27pm) - 5 Fall of Rome - 3rd
0 / 5 (strike rate 0%) Overall 10 / 30 (33% strike rate)
Loss $10 Overall Loss $16.40
Here's tonight's bets
Bet 31 - Stawell Trots 2 (5.47pm) - 2 Model Talk
Bet 32 - Gawler Greys 2 (6.24pm) - 4 Quinton Bale
Bet 33 - Sale Greys 3 (6.32pm) - 5 Secret Skulls
Bet 34 - Gawler Greys 4 (7.09pm) - 1 Le Grand Bale
Bet 35 - Sale Greys 9 (8.32pm) - 3 Spence's Shadow
Quaddies - wipe out here as well :(
Geelong - 1,2,5 / 2,8 / 4,5,7,9,10 / 1,6,9 - 5.56% - Lost
Newcastle - 2,6,8,9 / 2,5,6,7 / 3,4,6,7,8 / 5,9 - 3.13% - Lost
Loss $10 Overall Loss $28.33
Tonight's quaddies are
Gawler - 1,6,8 / 3,4,6 / 4 / 1,2,3,4,6 - 11.11%
Sale - 2,8 / 2,3,6 / 6,8 / 1,2,3,4,5 - 8.33%
Sports - at least I got one winner here, an Aussie messed me up again with Bogut scoring 20 for the Bucks. I could have got around $1.20 for each of the picks straight out. Something to think about
Basketball - Celtics -9.5 vs Bucks @ $2.16 - Lost
Basketball - Cavaliers -10.5 vs Jazz @ $1.99 - Won
1 / 2 (strike rate 50%) Overall 6 / 8 (strike rate 75%)
Lost $0.33 Overall Profit $14.01
Tonight's bets
League - Australia - 46.5 vs Fiji @ 1.91
Cricket - Pakistan vs West Indies @ 1.62
Bets are $5.70
I'm pretty confident the Aussies can get them by 50 but wasn't confident to go 58.5 start.
Well that's that, fingers crossed for better results tonight then I had today.
Cheers
p.s. just made it before they jump at Stawell :)
Day 4 - 1
All good things have to come to an end eventually and so it was for my run on the sports betting - well done Wallabies, good win - it cost me but hey, at least I got stopped by a team beating the Poms :)
Here's today's racing bets
Bet 26 - Geelong Race 2 (1.35pm) - 2 High Intensity
Bet 27 - Penola Race 3 (2.50pm) - 1 Bokolo
Bet 28 - Geelong Race 6 (3.57pm) - 2 New Years Eve
Bet 29 - Newcastle Race 6 (4.08pm) - 2 Moonlight Music
Bet 30 - Donald Race 9 (5.27pm) - 5 Fall of Rome
I'm hoping to continue yesterday's form, Sundays are always a little tougher though.
Quaddies look tricky today but let's see how we go
Geelong - 1,2,5 / 2,8 / 4,5,7,9,10 / 1,6,9 - 5.56%
Newcastle - 2,6,8,9 / 2,5,6,7 / 3,4,6,7,8 / 5,9 - 3.13%
And finally the sports bets
Last nights results
Bet 5 - Soccer - Liverpool vs Bolton @ $1.70 - Won
Bet 6 - Rugby - England vs Australia @ $1.98 - Lost
1 / 2 (strike rate 50%) Overall 5 / 6 (strike rate 83%)
Loss $1.94 Overall Profit $14.34
Today's bets
Basketball - Celtics -9.5 vs Bucks @ $2.16
Basketball - Cavaliers -10.5 vs Jazz @ $1.99
Bets are $5.71
I was tempted to take the shorts but went with the value around the starts, I'll find out if that's a mistake or not in a few hours.
I promised to give a little more detail on how I make my picks - so here it is, but just a little - I'll throw more out there down the track if I'm still doing ok
Races - I look at the racing and sports website for the pre-post favourites. If there is a short one I'll look at the race further. The decision then becomes, back the favourite or find something to beat it. Once my bank starts getting a bit bigger I'll probably look at laying some of the favourites if I think they will get rolled. It's pretty annoying when you find a favourite that'll get beat, especially a really short one, but pick the wrong one to beat it.
Trots and Greys - I use Sky Ratings, they are free, a little patchy - but if you pick and choose they can find a winner or two. The worry is that when you do find one they can be pretty short, e.g. last night.
Sports - I'll check what's on, surf the net for a bit to find some more information and then go on gut feel. I'm really looking forward to the league and AFL next year, there's money to be made if I manage my bank properly.
So there it is, a little on how I pick them - I'll reveal a bit more in the coming months, if I'm still here!!!
Have a great day All,
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Day 3 - 2 cont
That's a little more like it, moving in the right direction again :)
Well not counting the quaddies but that's ok - I won't hit many of them but I hope to hit enough to keep me going for a while.
Here's the results
Bet 21 - Wentworth Park Greys 4 (8.27pm) - 2 Freckles - 2nd
Bet 22 - The Meadows Greys 7 (9.20pm) - 3 Tizz Magic - Won $2.50
Bet 23 - Globe Derby Trots 7 (9.22pm) - 4 Ohoka Dakota - Won $1.40
Bet 24 - Albion Park Trots 9 (10.07pm) - 2 Destreos - Won $1.40
Bet 25 - Moonee Valley Trots 9 (10.30pm) - 1 Ball Dancer - Won $1.70
4 / 5 (80% strike rate) Overall 10 / 25 (40% strike rate)
Profit $4 Overall Loss $6.40
Lots of short ones there - short but sweet :)
Quaddies both lost - so I'm 1 / 4 (25% strike rate) now and a loss of $18.33
Sports :)
Bet 3 - NBA - Pistons + 9.5 vs Lakers @ $2.02 Won
Bet 4 - League - New Zealand vs England @ $1.53 Won
2 / 2 (100% strike rate) Overall 4 / 4 (100% strike rate)
Profit $7.38 Overall Profit $16.28
Let's hope I can keep this one rolling along for a while
Tonight's bets are
Bet 5 - Soccer - Liverpool vs Bolton @ $1.70
Bet 6 - Rugby - England vs Australia @ $1.98
Bets have increased to $5.81
That's about it for today, I'm a bit tired so probably won't stay up and watch those two go around, cheer them on for me :)
Night All
Day 3 - 2
Interesting sort of a day - a small win on bank 1, another winner on the sports bank and a loss to start off the quaddie bank. Overall, can't be too upset - things are mostly going in the right direction.
Here's the results
Bet 16 - Betfair (Sandown) Park 4 (2.10pm) - 7 Melpomene - 3rd
Bet 17 - Rosehill 5 (3.50pm) - 5 Shaketheground - 3rd
Bet 18 - Eagle Farm 5 (4.00pm) - 7 Another Takeover - Unp
Bet 19 - Cheltenham 6 (4.20pm) - 2 Terango - Won $3.40
Bet 20 - Eagle Farm 6 (4.38pm) - 2 Alverta - Won $2.10
2 / 5 winners (strike rate 40%) Overall 6 /20 (strike rate 30%)
Profit $1 Overall Loss $10.40
The quaddies
Rosehill - 1,5,10 / 1,2,5,7,9,10 / 4,6,10,11,14 / 2,7,10 - 1.85% - Lost
Betfair (Sandown) Park - 1,2,3,5,10,11 / 1,6,8,9 / 1,4,6,9 / 3,4,6,14,15 - 1.04% - Lost $3.33
Overall 1 / 2 (Strike rate 50%)
Loss $8.67
You'll notice I said I lost on the Betfair Park quaddie even though I got it - the reason being I only got back $1.67 from a $5 bet. Sure it's a return, but it's a loss so needs to be shown that way. It's not like the poker machines that say you win when you bet 100 credits and get back 20 credits - you lost 80 credits, tell it how it is!!!
You might also notice that I got 3 of the 4 legs at Rosehill - that'll happen pretty often - although hopefully not too often, close but no cigar.
I'll update the sports bets later but the Pistons have done the right thing and got the win, almost took them straight out but played it safe with the 9 and 1/2 start :)
Ok, here's tonight's bets
Bet 21 - Wentworth Park Greys 4 (8.27pm) - 2 Freckles
Bet 22 - The Meadows Greys 7 (9.20pm) - 3 Tizz Magic
Bet 23 - Globe Derby Trots 7 (9.22pm) - 4 Ohoka Dakota
Bet 24 - Albion Park Trots 9 (10.07pm) - 2 Destreos
Bet 25 - Moonee Valley Trots 9 (10.30pm) - 1 Ball Dancer
And the quaddies (they start at race 5 for the greyhounds)
Wentworth Park - 5,6,8,10 / 4,8 / 2,5,8 / 1,6,8 - 6.94%
The Meadows - 1,6,8 / 1,3,8 / 3 / 6,7,8 - 18.52%
Fingers crossed the profits roll :)
I'll take the chance to give Tajodds a plug here - there's a link over there --->
For a free site they do very well, especially the Ace Tip which is well in front over the last couple of years. It's just 1 bet each Saturday but well worth following if you are patient enough. Today's Ace Tip was Bernicia in the last at Betfair Park - it won at around $6. I almost included it as one of my picks but decided to go with my own ones instead, I did put in my quaddie though and will continue to do that down the track - cheers Taj
Ok, time to do some stuff - I'll be back later on to put up a couple of overnight sports bets, hopefully the Kiwis roll the Poms to get me to 4 from 4, GO YOU GOOD THINGS!!!
Day 3 - 1
Running a little late after having a bit of a sleep in, slightly hungover but not too bad.
A frustrating day yesterday with just the 1 winner and everything else running a place, one more would've had me going in the right direction. Oh well, let's hope it turns around today :)
Here's yesterdays results
Bet 11 - Wangaratta 4 (2.10pm) - 13 The Noelsta - Won $3.70
Bet 12 - Wangaratta 6 (3.20pm) - 2 Tan Tat Jet - 2nd
Bet 13 - Gundagai 5 (3.38pm) - 4 Murray Cod - 2nd
Bet 14 - Wangaratta 8 (4.40pm) - 3 Needlebox - 3rd
Bet 15 - Gundagai 8 (5.40pm) - 2 Sheezvalue - 2nd
1 / 5 winners (20% strike rate) Overall 4 / 15 (27% strike rate)
Loss $2.60 Overall Loss $11.40
Today's bets
Bet 16 - Betfair (Sandown) Park 4 (2.10pm) - 7 Melpomene
Bet 17 - Rosehill 5 (3.50pm) - 5 Shaketheground
Bet 18 - Eagle Farm 5 (4.00pm) - 7 Another Takeover
Bet 19 - Cheltenham 6 (4.20pm) - 2 Terango
Bet 20 - Eagle Farm 6 (4.38pm) - 2 Alverta
Let's hope there are some winners there.
My 3rd bank also starts up today - it's my quaddie bank. For those that don't know, a quaddie is where you pick the winner of the 4 races that make it up. In the gallops that's normally the last 4 races on the card. I'm betting on my NSW Tab account so that I can take flexi bets - i.e. bet to a percentage of the cost rather than a 1/2 or full unit. You'll notice some small percentages today - hopefully they won't be that small every time but I thought both Rosehill and Betfair (Sandown) Park are wide open.
Betting on my quaddie bank will be 2 * 5% - they are hard to get but hopefully I'll jag a few and keep the bank going for a while.
Here's today's numbers
Rosehill - 1,5,10 / 1,2,5,7,9,10 / 4,6,10,11,14 / 2,7,10 - 1.85%
Betfair (Sandown) Park - 1,2,3,5,10,11 / 1,6,8,9 / 1,4,6,9 / 3,4,6,14,15 - 1.04%
You'll notice the weird race course name - Betfair signed a naming rights deal with the Melbourne Racing Club (MRC) through the week. Sandown Park is meant to become Betfair Park but not many are calling it that yet. Wait and see what happens I guess. Overall though, it's great to see the MRC find another income stream, hopefully they'll spend the money wisely.
And now to the highlight of the blog so far - my sports betting bank :)
Thanks to Davydenko and Murray I'm underway with 2 winners - let's hope I can keep that going :)
Bet 1 - Nikolay Davydenko vs Juan Martin Del Porto @ $1.67 - Won
Bet 2 - Andy Murray vs Rojer Federer @ $2.20 - Won
2 / 2 winners (100% strike rate) Overall 2 / 2 (100% strike rate)
Profit $8.90
Today's bets
Bet 3 - NBA - Pistons + 9.5 vs Lakers @ $2.02
Bet 4 - League - New Zealand vs England @ $1.53
A few clarifications here
* The first team / player mentioned is the one I've backed
* I'm betting on Betfair and the prices are before commission (maximum is 5%)
* Minimum bet will be $5
* Usually I'll bet an actual 5% of my bank, I stuffed up today though and had $5 on each instead of $5.44 - oops
Well that's it for now - I'll be back later on to do an update and post this evenings bets
Good luck to anyone having a punt
Friday, November 14, 2008
Day 2 - 1
Probably should be on my way to work but need to get this done first - PRIORITY ONE
Last night's results, patchy :(
Bet 6 - Penrith Harness 2(6.50 pm) - 2 Rigatoni - Unp
Bet 7 - Angle Park Greys 2(7.36pm) - 2 Nirimba Desire - 3rd
Bet 8 - Dapto Greys 3(8.11pm) - 1 Emma Bites - Unp
Bet 9 - Albion Park Greys 5(9.08pm) - 2 Black Monty - Won $2.20
Bet 10 - Dapto Greys 7(9.38pm) - 7 Sky Fly High - Won $1.60
2 / 5 winners (strike rate 40%) Overall 3 / 10 winners (strike rate 30%)
Loss of $1.40 Overall Loss of $8.80
Hopefully all these figures will improve quickly!!!
Sports wise I messed up - Davydenko won but Murray vs Federer is tonight so I won't bet again until both bets are finished.
Today's bets
Bet 11 - Wangaratta 4 (2.10pm) - 13 The Noelsta
Bet 12 - Wangaratta 6 (3.20pm) - 2 Tan Tat Jet
Bet 13 - Gundagai 5 (3.38pm) - 4 Murray Cod
Bet 14 - Wangaratta 8 (4.40pm) - 3 Needlebox
Bet 15 - Gundagai 8 (5.40pm) - 2 Sheezvalue
There'll be no bets tonight, it's Friday - that's wind down night :)
I'll post something more substantial about how I make my picks on the weekend when I have more time
Have a great day :)
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Day 1 - 2
Well not the best of starts with just the 1 odds on winner :(
Lots of room for improvement and hopefully we'll see that over time - well actually hopefully we'll see that tonight :)
Bet 1 - Sale Race 1 (1pm) - 6 Hold the Line - 3rd
Bet 2 - Sale Race 2 (1.35pm) - 6 Scion - Won $1.80
Bet 3 - Port Lincoln Race 1 (1.45pm) - 4 Deputy Sea - 2nd
Bet 4 - Gold Coast Race 3 (3.13pm) - 8 Cugat's Lady - Unplaced
Bet 5 - Wyong Race 5 (3.40pm) - 1 Salon Lumiere - Unplaced
1 winner from 5 bets (20% strike rate)
Loss of $6.40
Here's tonights greyhound and harness bets
Bet 6 - Penrith Harness 2(6.50 pm) - 2 Rigatoni
Bet 7 - Angle Park Greys 2(7.36pm) - 2 Nirimba Desire
Bet 8 - Dapto Greys 3(8.11pm) - 1 Emma Bites
Bet 9 - Albion Park Greys 5(9.08pm) - 2 Black Monty
Bet 10 - Dapto Greys 7(9.38pm) - 7 Sky Fly High
Hoping for a few more winners, some will be short but let's see what happens (NOTE - bets are a minimum of $2 so technically more than 2% of my bank)
Bank 2 also starts off tonight, it's my sports betting bank. A little different approach here with bets of 2 * 5%. I'll spray these around on all sorts of sports but usually something a bit more major than European ice hockey or the like.
First 2 bets are on the tennis
Bet 1 - Nikolay Davydenko vs Juan Martin Del Porto @ $1.67
Bet 2 - Andy Murray vs Rojer Federer @ $2.20
A lot of my sports picks will be odds on but I'm hoping for a very good strike rate.
There are lots of sayings about betting odds on - e.g.
Odds on look on
Don't bet odds on don't run down stairs
etc etc etc
Personally I don't mind betting on odds on chances as long as they are value - now that's something I struggle with. But we'll develop that discussion in the coming weeks.
Hopefully the formatting of this reads ok, I'm keeping my results in an excel spreadsheet but it didn't paste across correctly and I can't be bothered fixing that up at the moment. Maybe a little down the track.
Anyways, things to do - fingers crossed for better results tonight.
Day 1 - 1
Here we go, Here we go ....
It's all a little exciting, and a little weird - here I am opening my punting up for the world to see. It could get ugly but hopefully it'll all work out, either way - enjoy the ride.
I'll just start one bank off this morning, my standard betting bank - gallops / trots and dogs. After much thought, I've decided to go with a 5 * 2% approach - i.e. 10% per session. I will recalculate the stake at the beginning of each session, I'd love to do it after each bet but hey - I'll be at work so no can do. This approach could change depending on results but I'm hoping it works out and I can stick with it as my long term approach.
My first 5 bets
Bet 1 - Sale Race 1 (1pm) - 6 Hold the Line
Bet 2 - Sale Race 2 (1.35pm) - 6 Scion
Bet 3 - Port Lincoln Race 1 (1.45pm) - 4 Deputy Sea
Bet 4 - Gold Coast Race 3 (3.13pm) - 8 Cugat's Lady
Bet 5 - Wyong Race 5 (3.40pm) - 1 Salon Lumiere
I'll go into how I picked them etc down the track but for now - they are the ones I'll be cheering for.
I'll start the sports betting bank tonight and have decided to start the 3rd bank on Saturday - more on that then.
Anyways - I'm going to be late for work, fingers crossed for a winning start :)
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Almost there
Thought I'd drop in and throw an idea around as the big day is getting closer.
After punting for over half my life, I've picked up a few things - haven't actually made them pay yet - but that's about to change.
Here's one of my favourites :)
The market - i.e. the betting market - everywhere I've looked, today and in the past, in Australia and overseas - around 1 in 3 favourites win. That's pretty impressive when you think about it, year in year out - as soon as the number of races considered gets big enough - favourite punters get it right around 1 out of every 3 bets. Not a bad effort really - a 33% strike rate or there abouts.
The problem of course is favourites don't pay an average of more than $3.33 when they do win, if they did - we'd all be rich :) We could just sit back and back every favourite and win year in year out. Unfortunately, it's not quite that simple.
A guy named Don Beggs wrote a book called "Walk away a winner" in the 90's. It's a pretty good read, complex - full of numbers but worthwhile even if I doubt very much I, or he, could make it pay - so I never tried. There are some very interesting figures in there though, some I have looked at many times over the years. Don spent hours in the TAB and kept stats on every race for a couple of years 94/95 and 96/97. On his figures, if you had $1 to win on every favourite in 94/95 you would have only lost $39, in 96/97 you would have lost $47. In both years the sample was around 3800 races. There was actually a small profit at SP prices in both years but not big or reliable enough to make pay.
He did similar figures on second favourites with the results being a loss of $355 in 94/95 and $394 in 97/98. So the figures fall away a bit with second favourites - bigger prices on average but a worse strike rate of around 17% means you end up further behind. Still not terrible though, I would've been a lot better off if I only lost $394 in the last 12 months :(
If you put these two together though - the first and second favourite - you're looking at the winner of around 50% of races - yep, that's right - punters are on the money with the first and second horse in the market in around half of all races. That's a pretty good effort for mine. Not bad at all.
The question then becomes, why look much wider??? Sure everyone loves backing winners at $10's, $20's even $50's - they are about, and every now and then one stands out - if it does, have a crack. Bread and butter though, as a punter, should you really worry about looking at every horse in every race when you could get half the winners by just considering the first and second favourite??? I'm not saying don't look at the other runners at all, but focus on the the top two in the market - pick the standouts and surely there is money to be made.
That's what I'll be focusing on when I start up on Thursday - the top 2 in the market, normally the favourite - sure they'll be short but my strike rate will hopefully be high and if I get it right, the profits should flow.
We're almost there - 2 more sleeps - would love to hear what you think
Cheers
Sunday, November 9, 2008
G'day
Welcome to my blog, thanks for stopping by - I hope you enjoy your stay :)
I guess I should start with an introduction and a
what it's all about??? ...
My name's Paul - but on here and in various other places - I'm known as Womble. To save you asking, it's a nickname from my uni days - it matches my physique and a dodgy haircut I had at the time. The hair has changed a little - unfortunately the physique is still much the same.
I live in
Let me explain - I'm a mug punter. Punting is in my blood, my father punted, generations previously punted - so much so, that rumour has it we actually changed our name as a result of the unsuccessful punting of a relative in the dark and distant past. I'll have to confirm that one day - apparently he had something to do with
Anyways, starting from buying Lucky Envelops as a kid growing up in Armidale NSW - I've been hooked for years (I'm now 38). Unfortunately, most of those years have been losing years. I've tried what seems like a thousand systems all with no success. Some good, some bad, some worked, some didn't. Overall though, I never really stuck solid with them long enough to make them pay.
That's why I'm here.
I believe that it's possible to make money on the punt, I know people that do it - I want to become of those people. I have the knowledge to achieve this goal - I know what I have been doing wrong all this time, it's really quite simple - there's just 2 little things
1 - I bet too often, I would have told myself a million times - "you can't win betting on every race" - but still do.
And
2 - Money management - I'm crap with money, I can't save - I spend. Same when I bet - I don't budget, stick to staking plans etc - I just go for it, and as a result, normally lose.
So they are the 2 little things I need to fix - once again, that's why I'm here.
My plan is to establish 2 small betting banks - $100 in each - on Thursday (13 November 2008) when I get paid (possibly with one more to follow next month). This is my starting point. From there, I'll use one of the banks for betting on the horses, dogs and trots. The other for betting on sport. I'll use a simple % of the bank approach and hopefully build them into something well and truly worthwhile. My dream is to make $1000pw on the punt, quit my job - move bush and do it for a living (and then, down the track a bit, change the world). Not easy, but achievable - if I stick to the plan!!!
Why are you here??? I'm not sure to be honest - curious maybe, wondered what it was all about??? Either way, I'm hoping you'll drop back in and watch my progress - maybe even cheer me on or possibly just tell me I'm an idiot for trying. What's in it for you??? Hopefully I'll provide a little entertainment on the way through and possibly even tip you, if you're interested, into a winner or two. The intention is to post every bet on here for you all to see - you will be my witnesses - you will either see me crash and burn or make a go of it. Fingers crossed it's the later.
So Thursday's the day, the day it all begins - in the mean time I'll try and pretty this place up a bit, add some more information, ideas and the like, as well as, prepare myself for the challenge. Thanks for dropping by, I hope you'll be back. Feel free to say g'day and I'll do my best to reply.
Cheers