January summary - not the best start but could be worse

Hey All

With no more Saturdays this month I figured now is as good a time as any to wrap up the month's figures - so here they are

Overall I finished up with a loss of 11 units on an outlay of 600 units so just under 2% of turnover

I found the winner of 38 out of 95 races or 40% - reasonable but needs to improve

Sadly I only managed 2 winning days out of 6, that definitely needs to improve.  Worst losing day was on the Saturday just gone where I gave back the 37 units I won on my best winning day which was the night before

Looks like I need a little tweaking and the obvious place to start are the double up races - I doubled up on one more race than I should have so out-layed 250 units for a loss of 45 units.  Just taking away the double up bets and my 11 unit loss becomes 11 unit profit - but I won't do that.  The answer is to be more selective of the races I'm choosing to double up on.

Next spot is to reconsider my approach to the shorties, in particular the 2yo first starters.  Backing the 2 in the last couple of weeks at $1.40 rather than betting around them would've turned the 10 units I lost on them into a 4 unit profit and put me in profit overall for the month. 

Finally, getting the best price needs to be thought about - how do I do it?  A simple example was on my badly managed Saturday a couple of weeks back where I ended up taking $13 on General Truce when it paid $17 on the tote - that's a 4 unit difference just by being more careful and focused

So to wrap it up, it was annoying to have a losing month to start the year but I'll be learning as I go and am confident I can turn things around in February

Wish me luck

Saturday 25 January - Australia Day Weekend

Hey All

Last week was a disaster -28 units, Return Journey was awful and nothing went quite right.  Worst of all this put me back to -11 units for the year so far.  Not good, not good at all BUT realistically I will have losing days so need to accept that.  Hoping not to have any losing months though

There was some good racing on last night with features at both Moonee Valley and Canterbury so I added those cards to the mix with a very nice result of + 37 units.  Apologies for not posting earlier but being a work day it was totally outside my usual routine. Back up to + 26 units for the year, or around 5 units per day. If you want to see what I was backing I posted on the Betfair Forum during the evening.

Back to normal today and hoping to finish the month off in style.

Best are

Caulfield - Race 7 - 10 Nesbo

A lot of non-winners in this race so lets go with an up and comer that's putting some wins back to back - going for 3 in a row here, still down in the weights and the 1800m looks ideal.  Little bit of an awkward barrier but Craig Williams will sort that out.

Randwick - 5 - 7 Myamira

There are plenty of good things at Randwick today, well on paper at least, but rather than go with one of the odds on / even money chances here's one that will be a little better price ($4+ at present).  There are a lot of ok horses in the race but not many genuine milers.  Looks beautifully placed imo

Good luck to anyone having a bet

Saturday January 18 - Go Return Journey

Hey All

Frustrating day last week - I was winning half way through the day, all square with a race to go but ended up finishing on -10 units.  Still 17 units up for the year though and hoping to improve on that today.

The tips I've posted here have gone pretty badly so far but hey, they'll come good :)

Flemington Race 4 - 10 Prince of Penzance

Won like a good horse last start and looks to have plenty of potential.  He's Your Man was excellent first up but I agree with Chris Waller that he is probably looking for further now.  So that's the main danger out of the way opening the door for victory.

Randwick Race 1 - 3 Jacinta

We'll get it early with this being my first and best bet of the day.  Looks to get a perfect run on a steady pace and should be too quick for them in the end

I've only got an interest in one horse at present - Return Journey - she's going around in the 3rd at Flemington today and would be very hard to beat at her best.  That's the question though, is she at her best?  We'll have to wait and see - fingers crossed

Good luck to anyone having a bet

11 January - Happy Birthday Camo

Hey All

Interesting day last week, got to meet a couple of guys from the Betfair forum in TINS and Very - good guys that know their punting. Betting wise, was up then down and then up a smidgen until I finally finished on -3 units and a small loss for the day.

Today's best

Flemington Race 5 - 5 Instrumentalist

Always hard to go past a Waller stayer - the paper says he rises 2kg but on my reading he goes from 60kg to 57kg so that would be drops 3kg. Last start winner track and distance, he'll do me.

Warwick Farm Race 8 - 1 Didntcostalot

Should get the perfect suck run behind a hot pace - 2 for 2 at the track.  Has to lug the 60.5 but looks very well placed

Good luck to anyone having a bet

January 4 on my way to the track

Hey all

Hope this works, first time posting from my phone.

Great start to the year with 30 units profit on new years day, let's hope I can keep it going

Todays best

Caulfield race 6 - 13 Prince Stratum

Well backed last start but had no chance after turning into a massive gale, did great to hang on for 4th

Rosehill race 5 - 2 Windswept

Was nominated for the Standish so must be flying. Should be too good for these

Good luck if you're betting

January 1 - Happy New Year

Hey All

Here's my 2 best to start the year

Flemington - Race 7 - 5 Electric Fusion

Flying at the moment and can run too quick for these over the 2000m today.  Index Linked will have support which should mean we can get evens about this one which I think's a great price

Randwick - Race 4 - 6 Atmospherical

I'm still a times man at heart and this one won on debut at Kembla breaking 57 seconds for the 1000m even after copping a bump at the start.  Comes into town for a no metro win race - can and I think will step and potentially go onto bigger and better things

Good luck to anyone having a bet :)