Monday, June 28, 2010

Another losing weekend but.....

Morning All,

The headline is a little wrong, my losses actually started on Thursday night and then continued on Saturday - same old same old. Sunday should've been a day out and about (and will be next week) but I decided to punt away instead for a small profit.

I did something different yesterday though, something I should've been doing all along - I kept records. Now I can sense people thinking "are you serious, you talk about becoming professional but don't keep records!!!" and you would be right. Whenever I have kept records in the past it felt like a distraction and I seemed to lose more but in hindsight it probably just showed what was actually happening - i.e. that I was losing. Note I kept more detailed records while I was working with ratings but that was a bit different.

So, after yesterday the decision has been made to keep records now and review my days betting to see where my edge is. One thing I do need to work out is what to do about races I don't bet on - do I keep a record to see if that choice was the right one or not - for now I'll leave them out but that might need to change.

I won't comment on what the records are revealing until I have a bigger sample but they did make interesting reading.

The World Cup is progressing well and after a few small losing bets up until now I bet a little more confidently last night with two collects on Germany and Argentina - everyone is playing to stay alive now and I think the form will stand up.

Aussie Rules was quiet this weekend, I had a loss with Geelong getting rolled - and the Swans lost to the Pies AGAIN - I didn't bet on that or any other games though. Rugby League, no bets yet but I will back the Raiders to beat the Bulldogs tonight.

After last nights little win on the soccer I've decided to roll onto the baseball today, don't really now much about it but on what I read before making my bets I feel a little confident - so it's Texas -1.5 and a total match score of over 8.5 - gives me something to cheer for while I'm at work :)

Poker - 2 * 3rds and a win last night from my last 4 starts in the Australian Online Poker League, so have found a little form - dropped a few Euro in tournaments outside that though but still in front :)

Well there's the update - I'll stay in touch a bit more frequently now I've got new approaches up and running.

Have a great day :)

Sunday, June 20, 2010

A quiet old week

Hey All,

Just touching base, it's been a quiet week on the punt as I wait to reload the accounts again. Had a couple of little big 6's and quaddies yesterday but with no luck. Back into it later in the week

Raiders play the West Tigers today, unfortunately I won't be able to see it until midnightish being down here in Melbourne but I'm hopeful of a good result. Swans have the week off.

World Cup is driving me crazy, I guess the cream will rise to the top in the knock out stages though and it should become easier to find a winner or two. Aussies have been luckless but can still sneak into the next round if things go their way later in the week - fingers crossed

Have a great week everyone

Sunday, June 13, 2010

New town, new approach - well almost

Hey All,

I'm back :)

I've found a temporary place to live in Melbourne until I can find something more permanent, just up the road from the MCG and walking distance to work in the city. I also got myself an elcheapo used laptop and a broadband modem so that I could get back online - it's amazing how big a part of your life it can become, as sad as that is to admit.

Now, the new approach - I know that to achieve my dreams I need to bet on less races and make bigger bets. So I started that last week with a winning day at the races and followed up with a couple of winning sessions on Betfair. Unfortunately, I fell into old habits and had a losing session at the casino, the pub tab after a few drinks on Friday night and last night on Betfair after was a good day and getting greedy / over confident. Overall, I'm down a couple of hundred since being here but don't feel too bad about it, I just need to drop a few bad habits and things will be okay.

The big reason that I'm okay about it is that even though I dropped the money mentioned above and my Betfair account is empty again, I actually made a couple of withdrawals in the last few days - something I haven't done for a while - and my profit and loss on there since starting up again is in the black :)

Betfair is where I plan on making my money, I just need to be patient and make it happen. Selecting the right races to play, avoiding the wrong ones and slowly building my bank is the key. I am confident I can do that this time, it won't be easy but I can and will do it.

Tips wise, I'll try and post something on Saturday mornings now that I'm back up and running - hopefully they'll go okay. My main horse, Soul Diva, is back tomorrow, well possibly - a fillies and mares race at Moonee Valley over an unsuitable 1200m. It's great to have her back for what will be her last preparation - fingers crossed for a win on the way out.

Pokerwise, I haven't found a game yet but will start looking harder this week or next - the time to see if I can actually play is getting closer.

Footywise - The Raiders dropped one against the Cowboys last night that they should've won, very frustrating. The Swannies had a good win against Port and are in the top 8 where they belong.

Finally, the World Cup has started up once again - the Aussies play the Germans early tomorrow, hopefully they can get at least a draw out of it. I'm looking forward to cheering them on - GO YOU GOOD THINGS!!!

That's it for now, updates will be more regular now - all the best