Saturday, February 28, 2009

Last day of Summer

Morning All,

Another summer almost done - hopefully the warm, not too hot, weather hangs about for a few more weeks.

I've spent a lot of the week playing around with the ratings - not how they are worked out, I'd be mad to change that after last week - more so around how I get the figures into excel where I manipulate them. It's almost worked, definitely sped things up but there's a little more to do.

Here's today's ratings - there's a couple of 2 year old races I've left out. This is the second / third tier of the crop and there's a few first starters.

Race 1

7 - PARTIVA $3.1
8 - PONTE DE LIMA $7.0
9 - MEGA STAR MILLY $7.2
4 - DIVINE REBEL $9.6
2 - HEY ROSIE $23.0

Race 3

2 - MANILA JEWEL $3.6
4 - MISS DARCEY $3.6
10 - Pukalee $8.7
5 - RED FLAIR $15.5
7 - Ampho Power $21.5

Race 5

1 - PRE EMINENCE $2.8
2 - STOKEHOUSE $5.1
4 - BRUNELLO $10.2
3 - EXCELLTASTIC $13.3
6 - DEFINITIVE $15.5

Race 6

9 - Arazamataz $4.8
6 - GOD'S HAND $4.8
4 - AB ALMALIK $4.8
3 - ROAD TO ROCK $8.6
10 - Flying Monty $19.7

Race 7

8 - Time Matters $3.7
4 - ALAMOSA $5.4
5 - LIGHT FANTASTIC $5.6
7 - Rubijon $8.2
2 - Niconero $11.8

Race 8

10 - Testu Gama $2.1
6 - BOND STREET $11.5
9 - Nine Tales $13.7
7 - Royal Espirit $14.3
4 - NORTHERN POINT $22.3

Race 9

1 - Al's Best Mate $3.6
10 - Chanpagne Harmony $3.6
8 - Melpomene $14.9
4 - LIBERTY EDITION $16.4
5 - HILLBILLY DANCER $18.9

Fingers crossed for some winners

Have a great day All

Sunday, February 22, 2009

How it's meant to work :)

Morning All

Ripper day yesterday, if only I had the bank established and was actually betting on them!!! - that's a bit off yet unfortunately :(

Horses are hitting their peaks around their target races which means the form is really starting to stand up - these are the type of numbers that make continuing a certainty :)

Here's the figures

Race 1

2 Aichi $1.6 - Won @ $1.70 * $62 = $105.40
6 Kings Farewell $12.5 2nd (no bet)
1 Cocinero $15.1 (no bet)
5 Lancet $17.8 Lost $5
4 Aztec Smytzer $19.7 Lost $5

Race 2

1 Beaming $4.1 (no bet)
8 Damselfly $4.1 Won @ $5.40 * $24 = $129.60
4 Viennese $6.9 Lost $14
6 Tis Isat $13.4 (no bet)
9 Yoobabe $16.7 Lost $5

Race 3

5 Rapid Sensation $2.0 Lost $50
4 Gold Water $9.8 Won @ $6.30 (no bet)
1 Gallica $13.3 2nd (no bet)
3 Sparks Fly $13.9 (no bet)
6 Miss Darcey $19.5 Lost $5

Race 4

7 Just Look $1.7 Lost $58
6 Baughurst $17.8 2nd (no bet)
8 Growl $19.8 Lost $5
3 Theseo $20.9 Won @ $2.20 (no bet)
2 Sirmione $25.7 (no bet)

Race 5

5 Gold in Dubai $2.8 Lost $35
4 Nicconi $9.0 2nd (no bet)
8 Handsupfordetroit $9.4 Lost $10
6 Heart of Dreams $13.8 3rd Lost $7
12 Iamzeus $19.9 (no bet)

Race 6

11 Happy Glen $5.7 Lost $17
10 Chasm $5.7 Lost $17
1 Scenic Blast $5.7 (no bet)
3 Lucky Secret $17.9 2nd (no bet)
13 Wildaner $21.0 (no bet)

Race 7

3 Reward For Effort $5.1 Won @ $22.00 * $19 = $418
7 Rostova $5.1 (no bet)
4 Rarefied $6.7 Lost $14
1 Real Saga $13.1 (no bet)
13 Irish Lights $13.4 Lost $7

Race 8

12 Time Matters $2.6 Won @ $7.20 * $38 = $273.60
15 Mastercraft $12.8 Lost $7
7 Rockpecker $15.8 Lost $6
14 El Mandon $15.9 (no bet)
11 Barlinnie $17.3 (no bet)

Race 9

9 Delyara $2.6 Lost $38
4 Prima Nova $7.8 (no bet)
2 Flying Ruby $9.4 2nd (no bet)
13 Symphony Miss $16.8 Won @ $9.50 (no bet)
5 Dane Julia $24.5 3rd (no bet)

In - $926.60 Out - $448 Profit - $478.60 :)

17 Jan - $451.10 Profit
24 Jan - $356 Loss
31 Jan - $38.20 Profit
8 Feb - $419 Loss
14 Feb - $93.20 Profit
21 Feb - $478.60 Profit

Overall - $286.10 Profit

It's important to note these figures are a bit out because I only looked at the those under $10 for the first 3 weeks. I don't want to change the figures because the rest of my top 5 weren't posted and I'd rather stay with those that were, even though the overall profit figure would most likely improve. Also, these are based on TAB prices so you could probably get 5 - 10% better just by shopping around.

I'm pretty happy with the numbers, the 2 wipe outs are obviously a concern but it looks like the tweaks I've put in place will hopefully help avoid them in the future.

Anyways, enjoy the rest of your weekend / your week - I'll be back next weekend

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Blue Diamond Day - Part 2

Hey All,

Back again, finally finished the ratings - here's the rest

Race 5

5 Gold in Dubai $2.8
4 Nicconi $9.0
8 Handsupfordetroit $9.4
6 Heart of Dreams $13.8
12 Iamzeus $19.9

Race 6

11 Happy Glen $5.7
10 Chasm $5.7
1 Scenic Blast $5.7
3 Lucky Secret $17.9
13 Wildaner $21.0

Race 7

3 Reward For Effort $5.1
7 Rostova $5.1
4 Rarefied $6.7
1 Real Saga $13.1
13 Irish Lights $13.4

Race 8

12 Time Matters $2.6
15 Mastercraft $12.8
7 Rockpecker $15.8
14 El Mandon $15.9
11 Barlinnie $17.3

Race 9

9 Delyara $2.6
4 Prima Nova $7.8
2 Flying Ruby $9.4
13 Symphony Miss $16.8
5 Dane Julia $24.5

Started the day with the first 2 winners, let's hope for a few more

Have a great day :)

Blue Diamond Stakes Day

Morning All,

Running a little late today after a bit of a night out last night - it's day like today I wish I was younger and recovered like I did in the past :(

I've decided not to update the trifecta results, looking back I wasn't posting the top 5 all along so the ratings weren't out there to check.

It's a great days racing today and I'm really looking forward to it - little bit of work to do to get the ratings done though.

Here's the first 4 races for now

Race 1

2 Aichi $1.6
6 Kings Farewell $12.5
1 Cocinero $15.1
5 Lancet $17.8
4 Aztec Smytzer $19.7

Race 2

1 Beaming $4.1
8 Damselfly $4.1
4 Viennese $6.9
6 Tis Isat $13.4
9 Yoobabe $16.7

Race 3

5 Rapid Sensation $2.0
4 Gold Water $9.8
1 Gallica $13.3
3 Sparks Fly $13.9
6 Miss Darcey $19.5

Race 4

7 Just Look $1.7
6 Baughurst $17.8
8 Growl $19.8
3 Theseo $20.9
2 Sirmione $25.7

Rest in a bit

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Patchy but a win, well yesterday anyway

Hey All,

Took me a while to get around to writing this, I knew the ratings had finished in front just wasn't sure how much. Now I know - $93.20 - so not a lot, but not bad either.

Here are the results to date

17 Jan - $451.10 Profit
24 Jan - $356 Loss
31 Jan - $38.20 Profit
8 Feb - $419 Loss
14 Feb - $93.20 Profit

Overall - $192.50 Loss :(

Nothing like consistency is there :)

Anyways, I'll try and keep them going for a bit and see where I end up at the end of February. From there I can do some more refining and see if I'll continue or not.

Here's yesterday's figures

Race 2

8 Centurytwentyone $1.5 Won @ $3.90 * $66 - $257.40
11 Burbonstreetblues $18.5 lost $5
5 Cohort $22.5 No bet
6 Itstheone $25.0 No bet
2 Rumbird $27.8 No bet

Race 3

9 Confounded $4.1 lost $24
7 Mic Mac $4.1 No bet won @ $2.90
11 Liberty Edition $5.7 Lost $17
6 Sol Brillante $20.6 Lost $4
12 Zizz $24.6 Late Scratching

Race 4

4 Fearless Waters $3.8 Lost $26
10 Sigidas $3.8 Lost $26
9 Mio Mio $9.9 Lost $10
6 Carat Cake $18.8 No bet
1 Sensational Toy $19.0 No bet won @ $7.10

Race 5

8 Arondight $3.4 Lost $29
5 Cavalaire Bay $3.4 Lost $29
9 Eagle Falls $10.7 2nd No bet
6 Keano $14.5 No bet
10 Definitive $20.7 3rd Lost $4

Race 6

6 Manila Jewel $2.6 Lost $38
1 Romneya $6.7 No bet won @ $3.50
2 Gold Water $10.8 No bet
8 Bubble Below $15.2 No bet
3 Rapid Sensation $17.0 No bet

Race 7

1 Apache Cat $1.9 Won @ $5.90 * $52 - $306.80
7 Time Thief $8.2 3rd No Bet
5 Mind Your Head $13.9 Lost $7
2 Weekend Hussler $15.8 No Bet
3 Orange County $17.3 No bet

Race 8

4 Princess Marizza $2.3 Lost $43
5 Rolling Stock $8.6 Lost $11
9 Mixxer $14.8 Lost $6
7 Fifth Avenue Lady $17.7 3rd No bet
2 Partiva $18.8 No bet

Race 9

10 Flagstaff $1.8 3rd Lost $55
4 Bolle $8.3 2nd Lost $12
9 Mock $20.8 Lost $4
6 El Pretender $26.1 Lost $3
2 Road to Rock $26.9 No bet won @ $2.30

The trifectas I mentioned last week would've only returned $40.30 + $36 for the late scratching yesterday for a loss of $403.70, so that's just as patchy as the win bets, although at a guess they would be in front overall. I might have a look during the week.

I spent a few hours today looking at databases before deciding it's all too complicated - one day I'll buy one, rate every race every day (well most of them) and retire on the profits.

What a lovely dream :)

Have a great week All

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Hey hey it's Saturday - Part 2

Hey All,

Back again with the rest of the ratings - I've found the first 2 winners - nice overs the first, no bet the second as it was unders, very nice win though

Here's the rest

Race 6

6 Manila Jewel $2.6
1 Romneya $6.7
2 Gold Water $10.8
8 Bubble Below $15.2
3 Rapid Sensation $17.0

Race 7

1 Apache Cat $1.9
7 Time Thief $8.2
5 Mind Your Head $13.9
2 Weekend Hussler $15.8
3 Orange County $17.3

Race 8

4 Princess Marizza $2.3
5 Rolling Stock $8.6
9 Mixxer $14.8
7 Fifth Avenue Lady $17.7
2 Partiva $18.8

Race 9

10 Flagstaff $1.8
4 Bolle $8.3
9 Mock $20.8
6 El Pretender $26.1
2 Road to Rock $26.9

Good Luck All

Hey hey it's Saturday

Afternoon All,

Sorry for not jumping in and giving an update on the Hobart Cup, the result was terrible - Soul Diva didn't settle, over-raced and only managed to finish 13th - that's racing though, these things happen. She's off for a short spell and then back for one last preparation, fingers crossed it's a winning one.

Here's the first half of today's ratings - more work to be done

Race 1

Not Rated

Race 2

8 Centurytwentyone $1.5
11 Burbonstreetblues $18.5
5 Cohort $22.5
6 Itstheone $25.0
2 Rumbird $27.8

Race 3

9 Confounded $4.1
7 Mic Mac $4.1
11 Liberty Edition $5.7
6 Sol Brillante $20.6
12 Zizz $24.6

Race 4

4 Fearless Waters $3.8
10 Sigidas $3.8
9 Mio Mio $9.9
6 Carat Cake $18.8
1 Sensational Toy $19.0

Race 5

8 Arondight $3.4
5 Cavalaire Bay $3.4
9 Eagle Falls $10.7
6 Keano $14.5
10 Definitive $20.7

Back in a bit with the rest

Monday, February 9, 2009

Hobart Cup Day 2009

Morning All,

Sorry for not updating things yesterday, it was all very frustrating with yet another wipe out - I need to work out if it's worth continuing with the ratings or not. They are close to the mark, but maybe not close enough to make money. I'll have a think about it this week.

Just before I post the results - it's Hobart Cup Day today, $400k in prize money up for grabs and Soul Diva looks to have an excellent each way chance - GO YOU GOOD THING!!!

Ok, enough delaying - here's the results

Race 1

3 Upstream $1.7 3rd (Lost $58)
5 Lady Rock $8.0 2nd (No bet)
2 Complete Control $12.3 (No bet)
1 Arms Wide Open $24.6 Won (No bet)
6 Miss Endeavour $37.2 (No Bet)

Race 2

1 Fravashi $2.1 4th (Lost $47)
7 Burly Griffen $9.6 (Lost $10)
6 Handsupfordetroit $10.0 2nd (No bet)
3 Nicconi $12.7 Won (No bet)
2 Dr Doute's $18.2 (No bet)

Race 3

1 Rostova $2.0 Won (No bet)
3 Quick Blush $7.4 4th (Lost $13)
2 Exceedingly French $8.7 (Lost $11)
8 Ossetia $25.2 (Lost $3)
4 Corsaire $30.8 (No bet)

Race 4

3 Reward for Effort $2.4 2nd (Lost $41)
7 Bombay Sling $3.6 4th (Lost $27)
2 Real Saga $15.9 Won (No bet)
1 Starspangledbanner $18.8 4th (No bet)
6 Perikon $22.0 (Lost $4)

Race 5

3 Just Look $1.9 3rd (Lost $52)
11 Western Coup $12.2 (Lost $8)
6 God's Hand $18.4 Won (No bet)
9 Down Under Boy $19.2 (No bet)
5 Tora Tora Tora $20.8 (Lost $4)

Race 6

5 Happy Glen $2.5 2nd (Lost $40)
6 Aichi $10.9 (No bet)
10 Letmeentertainyou $15.4 (Lost $6)
13 Dance on Air $15.5 (Lost $6)
2 Let Go Thommo $16.3 (Lost $6)

Race 7

1 El Segundo $2.2 (Lost $45)
2 Maldivian $12.0 Won (No bet)
10 Baughurst $13.1 (Lost $7)
8 Alamosa $14.2 2nd (No bet)
9 Light Fantastic $16.5 4th (No bet)

Race 8

7 Laletta $3.0 (Lost $33)
9 Delyara $6.1 2nd (Lost $16)
5 Viking Turf Belle $13.6 (No bet)
2 Prima Nova $22.2 3rd (No bet)
8 Annesong $23.0 Won (No bet)

Race 9

15 El Martini $2.3 (Lost $43)
4 Rok Posta $18.4 4th (No bet)
3 Barlinnie $20.1 2nd (No bet)
10 El Mandon $20.6 Won (No bet)
1 Royal Ida $23.9 (No bet)

Overall Loss $419 :(

Not good - interesting though, a $60 box trifecta would have seen a spend of $540 for a return of $849.60 and a profit of $309.60. Food for thought :)

Ok, better get to work - just before I go though an update on the bad news of yesterday, the death toll from the fires is now over 100 and rising - it's so so sad, my heart goes out to all those that have lost friends and loved ones :(

Cheers,

Sunday, February 8, 2009

Saturday becomes Sunday

Afternoon All,

For those that don't know, Melbourne had their hottest day on record yesterday and as a result the Caulfield races were moved to today.

More importantly, and sadly, there were major bush fires in Victoria with at least 25 killed and hundreds of homes destroyed - my thoughts are with the families and friends of those that were lost, terrible stuff :(

I've rated all 9 races today - I normally stay clear of the 2 year olds without many starts but as the ones today are the big lead ups to the Blue Diamond I figured I'd include them as well.

My top 5 for each race

Race 1

3 Upstream $1.7
5 Lady Rock $8.0
2 Complete Control $12.3
1 Arms Wide Open $24.6
6 Miss Endeavour $37.2

Race 2

1 Fravashi $2.1
7 Burly Griffen $9.6
6 Handsupfordetroit $10.0
3 Nicconi $12.7
2 Dr Doute's $18.2

Race 3

1 Rostova $2.0
3 Quick Blush $7.4
2 Exceedingly French $8.7
8 Ossetia $25.2
4 Corsaire $30.8

Race 4

3 Reward for Effort $2.4
7 Bombay Sling $3.6
2 Real Saga $15.9
1 Starspangledbanner $18.8
6 Perikon $22.0

Race 5

3 Just Look $1.9
11 Western Coup $12.2
6 God's Hand $18.4
9 Down Under Boy $19.2
5 Tora Tora Tora $20.8

Race 6

5 Happy Glen $2.5
6 Aichi $10.9
10 Letmeentertainyou $15.4
13 Dance on Air $15.5
2 Let Go Thommo $16.3

Race 7

1 El Segundo $2.2
2 Maldivian $12.0
10 Baughurst $13.1
8 Alamosa $14.2
9 Light Fantastic $16.5

Race 8

7 Laletta $3.0
9 Delyara $6.1
5 Viking Turf Belle $13.6
2 Prima Nova $22.2
8 Annesong $23.0

Race 9

15 El Martini $2.3
4 Rok Posta $18.4
3 Barlinnie $20.1
10 El Mandon $20.6
1 Royal Ida $23.9

Still warm here but the change is on it's way - thankfully!!!

Have a great day All

Sunday, February 1, 2009

A win is a win is a win

Morning All,

Wins in the first (well second) and last races yesterday locked in a profit of $38.20 for the ratings - only small, but as the title says - a win is a win.

It's all still a learning experience and I think I'll make some changes again next week - the big one being to go my top 5 instead of just the ones under $10. Doing so the last 2 weeks would have pulled in an extra couple of winners, yesterday's would have been Scenic Blast rated around $11 and paying around $20.

The other point to make is that I'm still using NSW Tab prices which has pros and cons, mostly cons though. Lower prices mean I've missed backing a couple of losers but also that I'm getting less about my winners. If and when I do start actually backing the ratings I won't be doing so on the Tab.

Ok, here's the results - once again betting to to return $100 at my rated price.

Race 1

Not Rated

Race 2

3 Hey Rosie $2.5 - No bet (price not available)
8 Wehaveadream $2.9 - $34 Won at $5.20 - Return $176.80

Race 3

6 Red Buttons $2.1 - 2nd (Lost $47)

Race 4

9 Elizabethan $3.2 (Lost $31)
4 Road to Rock $3.2 2nd (Lost $31)
8 Princess Marizza $7.4 (Lost $13)

Race 5

9 Al Omghe $3.5 (Lost $28)
3 Heart of Dreams $4.0 (Lost $25)
7 Keano $6.6 - No bet

Race 6

4 Typhoon Zed $3.0 2nd (Lost $33)
1 Apache Cat $8.3 No Bet
11 Wilander $9.4 No Bet

Race 7

13 Reverberates $4.7 (Lost $21)
5 Gold Water $4.7 (Lost $21)
4 Romneya $8.8 Won @ $5.40 - No Bet
11 Prussian Empress $9.2 (Lost $10)

Race 8

9 Ab Almalik $3.2 - $31 Won @ $6.40 - Return $198.40
8 Ma Shang $3.2 No Bet
4 Cohort $7.9 (Lost $12)

Overall In $375.20 Out $337 Profit $38.20

Just needed one of those 2nd placers to be a winner and it would've been a good day. Can't complain too much though, they are on or at least around the money so worth continuing with.

The Big 6 looks interesting and will definitely suck some punters in - the NSW Tab one across Flemington and Rosehill paid $61307 - which shows that there'll be some big money up for grabs.

Best of luck to Ben Graham and the Arizona Cardinals in the Superbowl tomorrow - go you good things!!!

Have a great week