Morning All,
Another losing winning day yesterday - lost on the win the bets but cleaned up again on the quinella and exacta. Here are the two lots of results combined on the overall figures.
Saturday 20 June - was Melbourne
Out - $241
In - $0
Loss - $241
Quinella loss $29
Exacta loss $67
Trifecta loss $240
Saturday 27 June
Out - $559
In - $130
Loss - $429
Quinella profit $56
Exacta profit $101
Trifecta loss $600
Melbourne Only
Out - $301
In - $130
Loss - $171
Quinella profit $75
Exacta profit $143
Trifecta loss $300
OVERALL - Melbourne Only 113 Races
Out - $6404
In - $5665
Loss - $738 (LOT 11.52%)
Quinella profit $225 (POT 19.95%)
Exacta profit $317 (POT 14%)
Trifecta loss $786 (LOT 11.60%)
OVERALL - 200 Races
Out - $11265
In - $9734
Loss - $1531 (LOT 13.59%)
Quinella Profit $376 (POT 18.81%)
Exacta Profit $1078 (POT 26.96%)
Trifecta Profit $402 (POT 3.35%)
So there it is - an interesting set of numbers.
Yesterday was a good example of how shopping for better prices would help the figures with 2 winners being just 10 cents under my price but I guess that's how it goes.
The future is the exacta at 26.96% POT - that's a great figure and one I'm hoping to do very well with. Even if it halves it's still very decent and worth working with. My plan will be to throw some money into my IAS account and take exactas and see what happens. Fingers crossed it works out, 200 is only a small sample - will it translate to long term profits? Wait and see I guess.
Next up, a month off - I need a break to get ready for next season so will be doing that. When I come back I won't be posting my ratings pre race anymore - nobody probably reads them anyway, and if they do they wouldn't bet on them BUT just in case, to protect my value, I won't be posting them. I'll keep posting here though, just so people can see how I'm going and I'll probably throw out a rating standout on the days I'm betting.
Soul Diva wasn't too bad yesterday - ran 10th beaten 2.4 lens but had no luck at all in the straight, bring on next start :)
The Ratings Challenge - Len cleaned up, Cabbie ran a very good second and I managed to hold onto 3rd but showing a loss. Was a great learning experience and showed that, with work and a consistent plan, money can be made on the punt.
Oh well, that's it for now - I could post a bit over the next month to update you on what's happening but 1 August will be the day, a new season and the new me - a new planned and disciplined approach to the punt - wish me luck :)
All the best
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Saturday, June 27, 2009
And the rest
Hey All,
Back again with the other 5 - race 5 was just run, sorry I didn't make it on time - mind you, the one I had short did nothing anyway :(
Sydney Ratings
Race 5
RENAISSANCE $1.7
PURE NIKKI $17.2
MISS INDEPENDENT $17.8
SILENT BUT DEADLY $22.7
NONCHALANCE $24.1
Race 6
NIWOT $3.5
FAIRYGEM (NZ) $3.5
NUCLEAR SKY $5.7
COME ON CUGAT $9.9
RISAYLA (IRE) $17.7
Race 7
ALLABOUTUS $2.9
ASSHEWAQUA $7.5
MARGHAM $7.9
VISA LISA $9.1
CLOTHING $14.9
Race 8
ULTIMATE RISK $2.2
CENTRE ARENA $6.1
FORTY DAYS $7.3
SHAGERZ $19.7
TOGNI $20.3
Race 9
YOBURG $2.7
THE TAKE $7.0
OURBILLYDAKID $10.7
MOTSPUR $16.0
BEOWOLF $18.9
Good Luck All
Back again with the other 5 - race 5 was just run, sorry I didn't make it on time - mind you, the one I had short did nothing anyway :(
Sydney Ratings
Race 5
RENAISSANCE $1.7
PURE NIKKI $17.2
MISS INDEPENDENT $17.8
SILENT BUT DEADLY $22.7
NONCHALANCE $24.1
Race 6
NIWOT $3.5
FAIRYGEM (NZ) $3.5
NUCLEAR SKY $5.7
COME ON CUGAT $9.9
RISAYLA (IRE) $17.7
Race 7
ALLABOUTUS $2.9
ASSHEWAQUA $7.5
MARGHAM $7.9
VISA LISA $9.1
CLOTHING $14.9
Race 8
ULTIMATE RISK $2.2
CENTRE ARENA $6.1
FORTY DAYS $7.3
SHAGERZ $19.7
TOGNI $20.3
Race 9
YOBURG $2.7
THE TAKE $7.0
OURBILLYDAKID $10.7
MOTSPUR $16.0
BEOWOLF $18.9
Good Luck All
Well, here it is
Hey All,
Sorry this is late, went out for a few drinks last night so didn't get started on the ratings until later this morning.
First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - it was another losing week, I'll get them up with the rest tomorrow.
I'm rating 10 races today - 5 in Melbourne and 5 in Sydney, so far I've only done the 5 in Melbourne so I still have a bit of work to do. The reason I'm doing 10 is to get to 200 overall - 200 is still only a very small sample but it will give me something to work with. I'll do some analysis on those races the next few days and see if I can find a way to make this thing pay. Most importantly though, I'm going to have a month off - I need a break so that I can come back fresh for the new season.
Ok anyways, here are the Melbourne races
Race 4
RAIN IN AFRICA $5.3
ALRESHAAD $5.3
BETWIXT (NZ) $5.3
BOOM 'N' ZOOM $5.8
THRILLPOWER $14.7
Race 5
RED BUTTONS $2.7
HE'S SOMETHING $5.2
RONALD JOHN $12.0
DETERMINATION $21.6
TESTA ROCCA $23.2
Race 6
WEALTHY LAD $3.9
TICTACS $3.9
STREET CLASSIC $7.6
FAMOUS ROMAN $22.3
THREEDEE $25.4
Race 7
SWIFT BAY (NZ) $2.8
ROCK HOME LATE $9.2
PLIERS $10.2
BUCKETS $10.2
CASCABEL $13.4
Race 8
ARINOS $2.5
ZUPAONE $4.6
GRAN SASSO $21.4
GRAND DUELS $22.7
FLUSHING MEADOWS $24.7
I'm really hoping I've got race 6 totally wrong and the mighty mare - Soul Diva - comes back in fine fashion and gets a win first up - GO YOU GOOD THING!!! :)
Back in a while with Sydney
Sorry this is late, went out for a few drinks last night so didn't get started on the ratings until later this morning.
First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - it was another losing week, I'll get them up with the rest tomorrow.
I'm rating 10 races today - 5 in Melbourne and 5 in Sydney, so far I've only done the 5 in Melbourne so I still have a bit of work to do. The reason I'm doing 10 is to get to 200 overall - 200 is still only a very small sample but it will give me something to work with. I'll do some analysis on those races the next few days and see if I can find a way to make this thing pay. Most importantly though, I'm going to have a month off - I need a break so that I can come back fresh for the new season.
Ok anyways, here are the Melbourne races
Race 4
RAIN IN AFRICA $5.3
ALRESHAAD $5.3
BETWIXT (NZ) $5.3
BOOM 'N' ZOOM $5.8
THRILLPOWER $14.7
Race 5
RED BUTTONS $2.7
HE'S SOMETHING $5.2
RONALD JOHN $12.0
DETERMINATION $21.6
TESTA ROCCA $23.2
Race 6
WEALTHY LAD $3.9
TICTACS $3.9
STREET CLASSIC $7.6
FAMOUS ROMAN $22.3
THREEDEE $25.4
Race 7
SWIFT BAY (NZ) $2.8
ROCK HOME LATE $9.2
PLIERS $10.2
BUCKETS $10.2
CASCABEL $13.4
Race 8
ARINOS $2.5
ZUPAONE $4.6
GRAN SASSO $21.4
GRAND DUELS $22.7
FLUSHING MEADOWS $24.7
I'm really hoping I've got race 6 totally wrong and the mighty mare - Soul Diva - comes back in fine fashion and gets a win first up - GO YOU GOOD THING!!! :)
Back in a while with Sydney
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Almost there
Morning All,
Last week of the Ratings Challenge, I'm hoping for a big finish - fingers crossed. I've only rated the 4 races at Moonee Valley, so covers Melbourne and leaves me 10 races to rate next week to hit the 200 overall.
Here they are
Race 5
SALUTE THE STORM $3.5
RUN ROXY RUN $3.5
SWOOPER $4.6
NEVA RIVER (NZ) $21.6
LADARI $29.2
Race 6
SCENIC FIND $1.8
MIDARRI DAN $10.4
EUMERALLA MISS $18.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $19.2
SUPERZEEL $25.3
Race 7
SIR SOPRANO (NZ) $2.6
STARKRON $5.4
DAVCON $7.0
TORA TORA TORA $12.8
BONINDI $15.7
Race 8
PRODUCED (NZ) $2.3
ELECTRIC PUHA (NZ) $9.1
SHREWD RHYTHM $11.2
MAGICAL PEARL $13.7
RANSOM WILLY $15.0
Swans vs Pies tonight - I hate this game, they've beaten us the last 6 times but we really need a win so hoping we can turn it around this time - GO SWANNIES
RAIDERS threw it away last week but should beat Manly this week with the origin players out - GO RAIDERS
Good luck if you're having a bet :)
Last week of the Ratings Challenge, I'm hoping for a big finish - fingers crossed. I've only rated the 4 races at Moonee Valley, so covers Melbourne and leaves me 10 races to rate next week to hit the 200 overall.
Here they are
Race 5
SALUTE THE STORM $3.5
RUN ROXY RUN $3.5
SWOOPER $4.6
NEVA RIVER (NZ) $21.6
LADARI $29.2
Race 6
SCENIC FIND $1.8
MIDARRI DAN $10.4
EUMERALLA MISS $18.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $19.2
SUPERZEEL $25.3
Race 7
SIR SOPRANO (NZ) $2.6
STARKRON $5.4
DAVCON $7.0
TORA TORA TORA $12.8
BONINDI $15.7
Race 8
PRODUCED (NZ) $2.3
ELECTRIC PUHA (NZ) $9.1
SHREWD RHYTHM $11.2
MAGICAL PEARL $13.7
RANSOM WILLY $15.0
Swans vs Pies tonight - I hate this game, they've beaten us the last 6 times but we really need a win so hoping we can turn it around this time - GO SWANNIES
RAIDERS threw it away last week but should beat Manly this week with the origin players out - GO RAIDERS
Good luck if you're having a bet :)
Sunday, June 14, 2009
Exotics kicking goals
Me again,
Yesterdays results - just the 4 races at Ipswich and I was a little unlucky with my top picks running 2nd in 3 of the 4 races. Found a nice trifecta in the Eyeline Stakes though which will turn a 26% LOT into a profit.
Just the 1 winner
Brisbane Race 6 Mitanni @ $22.60 (rated $10)
Note - any discrepancy is due to rounding
Yesterday
Out $232
In $225
Loss $8
Quinella profit $109
Exacta profit $487
Trifecta profit $4099
Overall
Out - $10465
In - $9604
Loss - $861 (LOT 8.23%)
Quinella profit $349 (POT 18.77%)
Exacta profit $1044 (POT 28.08%)
Trifecta profit $1242 (POT 11.13%)
No bets in Mellboure.
So it looks the way of the future is the exotics but we will wait and see.
Ratings Challenge I've fallen back further - well out of contention, it finishes up next week.
Ok, gotta bake some vegies
Have a great week :)
Yesterdays results - just the 4 races at Ipswich and I was a little unlucky with my top picks running 2nd in 3 of the 4 races. Found a nice trifecta in the Eyeline Stakes though which will turn a 26% LOT into a profit.
Just the 1 winner
Brisbane Race 6 Mitanni @ $22.60 (rated $10)
Note - any discrepancy is due to rounding
Yesterday
Out $232
In $225
Loss $8
Quinella profit $109
Exacta profit $487
Trifecta profit $4099
Overall
Out - $10465
In - $9604
Loss - $861 (LOT 8.23%)
Quinella profit $349 (POT 18.77%)
Exacta profit $1044 (POT 28.08%)
Trifecta profit $1242 (POT 11.13%)
No bets in Mellboure.
So it looks the way of the future is the exotics but we will wait and see.
Ratings Challenge I've fallen back further - well out of contention, it finishes up next week.
Ok, gotta bake some vegies
Have a great week :)
Results for last week
Afternoon All,
Time to catch up these results - I'll do it in two posts, first up last week - well actually it's the week before Saturday the 6th.
Just one winner from the 8 races :(
Melbourne Race 8 - Bangerang Quikpic won @ $5.30 (rated $4.60)
Everywhere
Out $513
In $116
Loss $396
Quinella Won $11
Exacta Loss $6
Trifecta Loss $444
Melbourne Only
Out $249
In $116
Loss $133
Quinella won $28
Exacta won $35
Trifecta loss $204
Overall - Everywhere
Out - $10223
In - $9379
Loss - $853 (LOT 8.34%)
Quinella profit $240 (POT 13.20%)
Exacta profit $557 (POT 15.31%)
Trifecta loss $2857 (LOT 26.16%)
Overall - Melbourne Only
Out - $5862
In - $5535
Loss - $326 (LOT 5.56%)
Quinella profit $179 (POT 17.25%)
Exacta profit $241 (POT 11.56%)
Trifecta loss $246 (LOT 3.95%)
So the only bright spots remain the quinellas and exactas.
Yesterdays results in a minute
Time to catch up these results - I'll do it in two posts, first up last week - well actually it's the week before Saturday the 6th.
Just one winner from the 8 races :(
Melbourne Race 8 - Bangerang Quikpic won @ $5.30 (rated $4.60)
Everywhere
Out $513
In $116
Loss $396
Quinella Won $11
Exacta Loss $6
Trifecta Loss $444
Melbourne Only
Out $249
In $116
Loss $133
Quinella won $28
Exacta won $35
Trifecta loss $204
Overall - Everywhere
Out - $10223
In - $9379
Loss - $853 (LOT 8.34%)
Quinella profit $240 (POT 13.20%)
Exacta profit $557 (POT 15.31%)
Trifecta loss $2857 (LOT 26.16%)
Overall - Melbourne Only
Out - $5862
In - $5535
Loss - $326 (LOT 5.56%)
Quinella profit $179 (POT 17.25%)
Exacta profit $241 (POT 11.56%)
Trifecta loss $246 (LOT 3.95%)
So the only bright spots remain the quinellas and exactas.
Yesterdays results in a minute
Saturday, June 13, 2009
Motivation Meldown :(
Morning All,
First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - was a losing week, although I haven't work out by how much yet. Ratings Challenge wise I've dropped to 3rd and right out of contention, if I was ever really in it.
Lots on today so I've just rated the 4 Challenge races at Ipswich in Queensland - here they are
Race 5
LADY SHOWHEART $4.8
ANNAMARIE $5.8
MORGALICIOUS (NZ)$6.7
KISANI $7.0
COOL EDITION $22.4
Race 6
MR HORNBLOWER $4.1
EL CAMBIO $8.1
MITANNI $10.0
VOICE COMMANDER $11.1
PYRAMIDS $11.1
Race 7
MACKNUCKLE $2.5
OBVIOUS CHOICE $7.3
CAPE BRETON (NZ) $10.7
OUR LUKAS (NZ) $19.4
JUJULIO $24.4
Race 8
DERIVATIVE RECEIPT $2.8
CANTERDOWN $8.4
BOMBER COMMAND $8.5
ANOTHER SPEIGHTS (NZ) $10.1
HUNKA BURNIN' LOVE $17.4
Why the loss in motivation - work has been crazy which has played a part but I guess the biggest thing is the up and down results, very annoying. What I think I'll do is post next week which is the last week of the Challenge and possibly the week after to get me through to the end of June. I'll look at the results in a bit more detail to see where I win and where I lose and see if I can find a way to make money out of this. I'm sure I can, even it's only taking that 10% POT on quinellas / exactas. Then, I'll do the smart thing, have a month off before coming back fresh in the new season from 1 August.
Big day today, bbq, drinks, Wallabies, drinks.... and tomorrow Raiders, drinks....
Should be fun :)
Have a great weekend
p.s. I will definitely have a little go at Macknuckle in the Ipswich Cup today, looks very well suited and I'll definitely get over my odds.
First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - was a losing week, although I haven't work out by how much yet. Ratings Challenge wise I've dropped to 3rd and right out of contention, if I was ever really in it.
Lots on today so I've just rated the 4 Challenge races at Ipswich in Queensland - here they are
Race 5
LADY SHOWHEART $4.8
ANNAMARIE $5.8
MORGALICIOUS (NZ)$6.7
KISANI $7.0
COOL EDITION $22.4
Race 6
MR HORNBLOWER $4.1
EL CAMBIO $8.1
MITANNI $10.0
VOICE COMMANDER $11.1
PYRAMIDS $11.1
Race 7
MACKNUCKLE $2.5
OBVIOUS CHOICE $7.3
CAPE BRETON (NZ) $10.7
OUR LUKAS (NZ) $19.4
JUJULIO $24.4
Race 8
DERIVATIVE RECEIPT $2.8
CANTERDOWN $8.4
BOMBER COMMAND $8.5
ANOTHER SPEIGHTS (NZ) $10.1
HUNKA BURNIN' LOVE $17.4
Why the loss in motivation - work has been crazy which has played a part but I guess the biggest thing is the up and down results, very annoying. What I think I'll do is post next week which is the last week of the Challenge and possibly the week after to get me through to the end of June. I'll look at the results in a bit more detail to see where I win and where I lose and see if I can find a way to make money out of this. I'm sure I can, even it's only taking that 10% POT on quinellas / exactas. Then, I'll do the smart thing, have a month off before coming back fresh in the new season from 1 August.
Big day today, bbq, drinks, Wallabies, drinks.... and tomorrow Raiders, drinks....
Should be fun :)
Have a great weekend
p.s. I will definitely have a little go at Macknuckle in the Ipswich Cup today, looks very well suited and I'll definitely get over my odds.
Saturday, June 6, 2009
Winter warmers
Morning All,
First weekend of winter for 2009 - it will be interesting to see how the ratings hold up over the colder, normally wetter, months. I think if I was full time at this, and doing well, I'd have this 12 weeks off each year :)
8 races rated today - Flemington which is my choice for Ratings Challenge venue + Randwick
Flemington first
Race 5
BEQUESTS (NZ) $2.6
CASCABEL $5.6
SWIFT BAY (NZ) $11.3
GLAM SLAM (NZ) $14.0
BOOGALOO $14.5
Race 6
FAMOUS ROMAN $3.6
DELAYEDREACTION (NZ) $6.7
GOLD SALUTE $10.7
ARENTI (NZ) $12.5
RUBIJON $14.5
Race 7
WHISKEY CRUYFF $2.3
SIR WALTER $5.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $12.4
PACINO $15.5
MAKEADREAMCOMETRUE (NZ) $21.7
Race 8
HIP HOP DANCER (NZ) $1.9
BANGERANG QUIKPIC $4.6
MOMENT IN TIME $17.5
HE'S SOMETHING $23.5
RHUMB LINE $25.5
And Randwick
Race 5
PENRICKSON (NZ)$1.7
JOKU $8.7
RAINBOW STYLING (NZ) $12.7
WITH A CHANCE $14.9
MY SWEET COOKIE $16.8
Race 6
WHITEHOUSEWHISPERS $2.6
RED LETTER DAZE $8.6
STARRY LIGHT (NZ) $11.1
VISA LISA $13.4
SPECTACULAR BIRD $17.9
Race 7
SHAKETHEGROUND $2.6
NATMANA (GB) $4.7
DOTHIS DOTHAT $8.2
GUNNA HAPPEN $13.7
HEXAMETER $18.2
Race 8
FANTENE $3.3
MISTER CELESTIAL $3.3
WELKOM GOLD $6.8
ASSHEWAQUA $18.6
KRONER (NZ) $22.1
Best of luck if you are having a punt :)
First weekend of winter for 2009 - it will be interesting to see how the ratings hold up over the colder, normally wetter, months. I think if I was full time at this, and doing well, I'd have this 12 weeks off each year :)
8 races rated today - Flemington which is my choice for Ratings Challenge venue + Randwick
Flemington first
Race 5
BEQUESTS (NZ) $2.6
CASCABEL $5.6
SWIFT BAY (NZ) $11.3
GLAM SLAM (NZ) $14.0
BOOGALOO $14.5
Race 6
FAMOUS ROMAN $3.6
DELAYEDREACTION (NZ) $6.7
GOLD SALUTE $10.7
ARENTI (NZ) $12.5
RUBIJON $14.5
Race 7
WHISKEY CRUYFF $2.3
SIR WALTER $5.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $12.4
PACINO $15.5
MAKEADREAMCOMETRUE (NZ) $21.7
Race 8
HIP HOP DANCER (NZ) $1.9
BANGERANG QUIKPIC $4.6
MOMENT IN TIME $17.5
HE'S SOMETHING $23.5
RHUMB LINE $25.5
And Randwick
Race 5
PENRICKSON (NZ)$1.7
JOKU $8.7
RAINBOW STYLING (NZ) $12.7
WITH A CHANCE $14.9
MY SWEET COOKIE $16.8
Race 6
WHITEHOUSEWHISPERS $2.6
RED LETTER DAZE $8.6
STARRY LIGHT (NZ) $11.1
VISA LISA $13.4
SPECTACULAR BIRD $17.9
Race 7
SHAKETHEGROUND $2.6
NATMANA (GB) $4.7
DOTHIS DOTHAT $8.2
GUNNA HAPPEN $13.7
HEXAMETER $18.2
Race 8
FANTENE $3.3
MISTER CELESTIAL $3.3
WELKOM GOLD $6.8
ASSHEWAQUA $18.6
KRONER (NZ) $22.1
Best of luck if you are having a punt :)
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