Sunday, April 26, 2009

One winner but ....

Morning All,

Lucky I choose Sydney for the ratings challenge as the only value winner I found was in the last race there. So a loss for the day but luckily a small profit in Sydney to close the gap in the ratings challenge, I'll post the scores once they are confirmed.

It's frustrating not getting consistent results but I guess that's typical of punting - I'll push on and see where I'm at when the season winds up on 31 July

So just the 1 winner

Noble Edict rated @ $6.80 paid $18.10

Overall for yesterday

Out - $436
In - $265
Loss - $171
Quinella Loss $80
Exacta - Loss $160
Trifecta - Loss $480

Melbourne Only

Out - $206
In - $0
Loss - $206
Quinella loss $40
Exacta Loss $80
Trifecta Loss $240

Overall

Out - $7537
In - $6924
Loss - $613 (LOT 8.13%)
Quinella Profit $236 (POT 17.24%)
Exacta Profit $566 (POT 20.67%)
Trifecta Loss $2725 (LOT 33.15%

Overall Melbourne Only

Out - $4657
In - $4628
Loss - $29 (LOT 0.62%)
Quinella Profit $271 (POT 32.31%)
Exacta Profit $413 (POT 24.55%)
Trifecta Profit $455 (POT 9.02%)

So still some black figures + still worked out on NSW Tab prices so probably +5% or so if I can get the best odds available.

Swannies got beat with The Dockers being more desperate, a loss that could prove crucial later in the year :(

Raiders play today here in Canberra where it's very chilly, chilly enough for them to be good things I think :)

Yum Cha at noon so I best get ready

Have a great day All :)

Saturday, April 25, 2009

ANZAC Day - Lest we forget

Morning All,

Special day here today, the day we remember those that have fallen and those that have fought to keep us free - thank you to you All

I actually have to go to work for a few hours which is a bit annoying but hey, you gotta do what you gotta do. So just the Sydney and Melbourne quaddie legs are rated - got up early to get them done.

Here they are

Flemington

Race 5

TARGET (NZ)$3.1
GRAN SASSO $4.6
IMASHADOW $11.6
LET LOUSHE $17.1
NOT A COPY $20.8

Race 6

BAKUP $5.3
PENTIRE POINT $5.3
BERLIOZ $6.1
VORENUS $6.4
BUFFETT $10.1

Race 7

MISSION CRITICAL $2.3
CHASM $4.8
READY TO LIFT $19.4
PLAYWRIGHT $25.5
AZTEC SMYTZER $26.4

Race 8

ABOUT READY $2.5
TAKE ALL OF ME $9.0
FLYING TESSIE $10.0
BERRYLAND $15.1
VICTORY MARCH $23.0

Randwick

Race 5

MISS MAREN (NZ)$3.7
METAL BENDER (NZ) $5.1
ROAD TO ROCK $10.7
WHOBEGOTYOU $13.8
SARRERA $17.3

Race 6

LANG (NZ)$4.6
MR TIPSY (NZ) $6.9
MASTER O'REILLY (NZ) $10.3
DANDAAD (NZ)$10.5
TWIN WING (NZ)$10.8

Race 7

HOT DANISH $3.1
ALL SILENT $5.9
ROYAL DISCRETION $10.2
RACING TO WIN $14.4
MR BARITONE (NZ)$18.0

Race 8

STARRING TO WIN (NZ)$3.4
OURBILLYDAKID $5.5
NOBLE EDICT $6.8
SCHMOO $9.8
ZEDI KNIGHT $14.4

My choice of venue for the ratings challenge today, went with Randwick so hopefully jumped the right way.

No footy bets this week - go the Swannies and the Raiders

Best of luck if you're having a bet

p.s. Head 'em Up :)

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Ratings Challenge Update

Morning All,

Just a quick update with the scores from the Ausrace Ratings Challenge - a good week for me and a bad week for the leader means that I've closed the gap a little. There's 9 weeks to go so plenty of time to catch him BUT he is still the one to beat - definitely not a two horse race though.

Ladder

Len $859.62
Me $407.85
John L $293.49
John D -$146.90
Ken -$186.42
Cabbie -$856.62

Have a great day All

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Racing rules - footy flops

Morning All,

Not too bad a day yesterday with a couple of good value winners from the 8 rated races and also a very nice quinella / exacta. Footy was a flop though with only one correct and more thinking to be done.

Yesterdays winners were

Rampant Lion at $24.60 rated at $7.30

and

Russeting at $10.40 rated at $7.90

And the figures - just overall as I didn't rate Melbourne (sorry again)

Out - $468
In - $644
Profit - $176 (POT 37.60%)
Quinella - Profit $279
Exacta - Profit $704
Trifecta - Loss $480

Overall

Out - $7101
In - $6659
Loss - $442 (LOT 6.23%)
Quinella - Profit $316 (POT 24.51%)
Exacta - Profit $726 (POT 28.16%)
Trifecta - Loss $2245 (LOT 29.01%)

So still losing overall but closed the gap a little and the quinellas and exactas are still going great.

Luckily both those winners were part of the ratings challenge, I'll post the update on it as soon as it's official.

Footy wise, well done Swannies - I should've backed them instead, they definitely have it all over Carlton. Alas, I picked the Hawks who lost to Port and the Lions who got beat by the Pies, both major upsets. My only winner in the AFL was the Cats who look very hard to beat at the moment. In the league, the Titans beat the Raiders by 6, I needed 8.5 and the Knights rolled the Dragons who led them and got run down.

Definitely need to rethink the footy bets.

Ok, better get some stuff done. Enjoy the rest of your weekend

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Doncaster Day - part last

Hey All,

Little change of plan - just going to post the quaddie legs at Randwick today. There's a bit too much going on with the good racing and the Swans about to play, I'm not focused enough to rate the Melbourne quaddie - sorry about that.

Here's Randwick

Race 6

TAKEOVER TARGET $2.6
NICCONI $2.6
APACHE CAT $11.5
RACING TO WIN $19.0
BEL MER $23.4

Race 7

HOT DANISH $3.5
MUSKET $3.5
NEROLI $11.0
THESEO $24.4
SOLO FLYER $26.4 (I like this one but it's only around $14's)

Race 8

ABOVE PERFECTION $3.1
MISS DARCEY $4.0
IVORY PEGASUS $16.0
ALLEZ WONDER $23.7
GLOWLAMP $26.2

Race 9

FRENCH GAZE (NZ)$3.2
SHAKETHEGROUND $6.9
PRINCE BRAEMAN $10.4
JEDBURGH (NZ) $10.4
JEWELLED GATE $11.0

Fingers crossed for a few winners

Sports wise I'm none for 2 - The Lions got rolled and the Titans only won by 6 :(

Still a chance of a small collect though so hopefully.

Anyways, have a great day - I'm outta here

Doncaster Day - Running Late

Hey All,

Running way late today and have only done the races for the challenge so far, 4 races from Eagle Farm.

Race 5

ELEDA $4.0
NELLIE GOT THERE $4.0
IMVULA $6.6
DOUG'S MATE $7.4
HARD TO CATCH $20.5

Race 6

MR HORNBLOWER $3.2
RAMPANT LION $7.3
BAREENA $8.5
SCENIC RULE $13.0
SIMPLEST $17.1

Race 7

ON THE FRIDGE $3.1
RUSSETING $7.9
SECONDE $10.1
SEETHING DUCK $13.9
HURL $16.5

Race 8

ZERO ROCK $1.9
MEET GEORGE $19.4
SPANISH FLING $20.2
LITTLE RAPTOR $25.1
LOTS OF ALLURE $27.6

I'll try and just do the quaddie legs in Sydney and Melbourne as well - so last 4 races at each.

They'll be a while though

Good luck if you're punting

Back in a bit

Friday, April 17, 2009

Time for a little go at the footy

Morning All,

With both the rugby league and Aussie rules seasons well underway now and the form starting to take a bit better shape I've decided to have a little bet. That's all it is though, just an interest bet in the hope of a result and the start of a bank being built.

I've gone a multiple that'll be all done after Saturday night so that I can hopefully reinvest the winnings on Sunday. So the bet, a Super Yankee - 5 legs made up of 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5 quartets and one 5 play - $26 outlay for 1 unit, any 2 winners get me a collect all 5 would turn my $26 into $172 or so.

I've gone with

Lions -10.5 vs Magpies
Hawks -23 vs Power
Cats -22 vs Crows

In the Aussie rules

Titans -8.5 vs Raiders (sorry Raiders)
Dragons -6 vs Knights

In the League

Fingers crossed for a collect.

Tomorrows ratings challenge is on Eagle Farm in Brisbane so away from my usual tracks again - will be interesting to see how I go.

Have a great day All, back tomorrow.

Sunday, April 12, 2009

From the best day to the worst :(

Hey All,

Well that was a bit of a disaster - the ratings just couldn't get going yesterday. There a few that won that I had unders and a few that just missed at good odds running seconds and thirds. It's all very frustrating but hopefully it'll work out ok in the end.

Here's the results - just the 3 winners from 21 races :(

Oakbank Race 5 - Our Scene @ $3.10 (rated $3)

Caulfield Race 7 - Happy Glen @ $6.90 (rated $5.50)

Randwick Race 9 - Miss Darcy @ $5.50 (rated $3.10)

Yesterday Overall

Out - $1169
In - $402
Loss - $766
Quinella - Loss $144
Exacta - Loss $294
Trifecta - Loss $1195

Yesterday Melbourne Only

Out - $462
In - $125
Loss - $338
Quinella - Loss $56
Exacta - Loss $120
Trifecta - Loss $355

Overall

Out - $6633
In - $6015
Loss - $618 (LOT 9.32%)
Quinella - Profit $37 (POT 3.07%)
Exacta - Profit $22 (POT 0.93%)
Trifecta - Loss $1765 (LOT 24.31%)

Overall - Melbourne Only

Out - $4451
In - $4628
Profit - $177 (POT 3.98%)
Quinella - Profit $271 (33.93%)
Exacta - Profit $413 (POT 25.78%)
Trifecta - Profit $695 (POT 14.47%)

So there's still some black figures about which is a good thing. Luckily I won't have to rate Oakbank again, even though I did find the one winner in the race I didn't have to rate!!! My ratings should work on all tracks but were designed for Melbourne so that probably explains why they are doing better for now.

With the ratings challenge - wipeout for me :(

A few of the others managed a win thanks to finding the $30 winner in the last. Here's the table with 2 weeks down and 10 to go.

Len + $870.34
John L + $276.30
Me + $187.66
John D - $156.04
Ken - $431.51
Cabbie - $511.24

Long way to go but Len is clearly the one to beat - fingers crossed for a few good weeks

Raiders got a win last night, well done guys - Swans were terrible in the wet the same as usual, it's going to be a long year.

Big day of racing next Saturday with the Doncaster and the AJC Oaks, will be a ripper.

Have a great week All

Saturday, April 11, 2009

AJC Derby Day - Part 3

Hey All,

Well that was frustrating - a bit like the results so far today, finding winners but not value :(

Hopefully that will change.

Here's the last 4 races

Caulfield Race 5

JUST LOOK $2.6
BLUTIGEROO $3.5
MISS MAREN (NZ)$12.8
RENEWABLE (NZ)$17.2
BRITOMART (7) $20.5

Race 6

CHASM $2.7
TINDAL $6.2
TEARS I CRY $16.4
OKAY OKY $16.4
JUNGLE RULER $17.4

Race 7

NOT A COPY $3.9
GRAN SASSO $5.3
HAPPY GLEN $5.5
DANCE ON AIR $14.6
AMERRYKING $14.6

Race 8

DARCY LORNA $3.4
EGATRICE $3.4
RAVISHING REWARD $11.7
BASHFUL GIRL $18.5
ORIGAMI MISS $21.2

Good luck to anyone having a bet

AJC Derby Day - Part 2

Hey All,

Still more to do but here's a few more

Caulfield Race 2

FIRST COMMAND $3.5
PAPERCUT $3.5
TRUE TALES $6.2
GOLD IN DUBAI $8.9
CAT STORM $19.1

Race 3

TRULY ABLAZE $3.6
ELUSIVE PEAK $3.6
JAALIPPY $8.4
MY DELICIA $13.8
SOLCHOW $16.7

Race 4

ASTRO GAINS $2.6
BELLABACI(NZ)$4.2
THE ZEUSTAR $10.2
VINTAGE KING $16.0
HIGH KINGCZAR $17.1

Back in a bit with the rest

AJC Derby Day - Part 1

Morning All,

Lots of good racing today and plenty of work still to do. So far I've rated the 4 races at Oakbank for the ratings challenge (plus race 5 by mistake) and the card at Randwick. I've still got 7 races to do from Caulfield, I won't rate the first as it's a 2yo - they will hopefully be done by before race 2 jumps.

Anyways, here's what I've done so far.

Randwick Race 1

NUCLEAR SKY $4.1
LYNCEAN ACADEMY $4.1
WALKING OR DANCING (NZ)$6.8
RABBUKA $7.7
PENRICKSON (NZ)$12.2

Race 2

TARGET (NZ)$4.2
COMEPSA (NZ)$5.1
SUPERIOR INSTINCT $5.3
OURBILLYDAKID $7.6
IMTOPS $20.0

Race 3

SILENTLY $2.9
VELOCITEA (NZ)$5.3
SERENISSIMA $11.3
MISS INDEPENDENT $17.0
BEAUCOUP $17.5

Race 4

RICH ENDOWMENT $3.4
EMOTIONAL OUTBURST $6.7
STANLEY'S DEED $8.5
ORCA $10.9
POLAWAY $14.7

Race 5

FEORLAN $4.8
BRAVE LANCER (NZ)$4.8
JOE BLOW $7.7
LANG (NZ)$10.6
COMMON OBJECTIVE $11.6

Race 6

LADY GAME $3.3
JUDGED $3.3
BEAMING $10.0
BELONG TO MANY $17.0
COURT $18.2

Race 7

SOUSA (NZ) $4.0
BIG COL $4.0
HARRIS TWEED (NZ) $12.9
PREDATORY PRICER $13.7
METAL BENDER (NZ) $22.2

Race 8

EL CAMBIO $4.3
KEEN COMMANDER $4.9
OLONANA $6.9
BLACK PRINCE $7.7
HAIRY $20.6

Race 9

MISS DARCEY $3.1
ABOVE PERFECTION $4.1
CELTIC COURAGE $11.8
LOGAN'S CHOICE $24.5
MY MY MAREE $25.9

Oakbank Race 5

OUR SCENE $3.0
EUREKA REIGN $4.2
ETON $10.7
RUN LAURIE RUN $14.6
AKHAMEELA $16.1

Race 6

BELLA VEDERA $3.6
REBUKE $4.7
CALL TO MIND $11.2
MISS RAZZLE DAZZLE $11.8
GIGGLING GIRL $13.2

Race 7 - guess work on the Steeple

SAND SWEEPER (NZ)$3.4
MEPHISTOPHELES $5.9
STOP THE TRAFFIC (NZ) $9.2
VIZ VITAE (NZ)$12.6
PENTACOLO (NZ)$14.3

Race 8

THE CHUNKSTER $3.7
BELLA LEAH $3.7
ARCH SYMBOL $4.1
GET SET $33.6
STARBIRD $34.9

Race 9

DISCO GOSSIP $2.5
FIGHTING FURY $3.8
HOTDEAL $15.8
TATSUHARA $19.8
EXALTED THOMAS $22.6

Back in a bit

Monday, April 6, 2009

Week one of the Ausrace Ratings Challenge

Hey All,

Just wanted to drop in and update the scores for week 1 of the ratings challenge

Len +586.27
> Womble +435.64
> Whispering Cabbie +189.18
> John +54.51
> Ken -49.58
> John -359.20

So I'm off to a decent start :)

Will be interesting this Saturday as it looks like we'll be tipping at Oakbank - it's normally a track only raced on for a massive Easter carnival of jumps and flat racing and is over in South Australia.

I'll have to do a bit of extra work!!!

Anyways, time for bed - have fun All

p.s. Well done Raiders :)

Sunday, April 5, 2009

Oh what a day :)

Morning All,

Looks like I can put away my concerns over Sydney with yesterday proving the ratings work in both states with my best day yet :)

Here's a list of the winners and their prices, pretty impressive I'd suggest

In Sydney

PURPLE $3.8 - Won at $8

NEROLI $3.7 - Won at $6.70

FIUMICINO (NZ)$8.8 - Won at $24.10

In Melbourne

SERMON (1) $19.8 - Won at $24.50

HUXSSEN $4.5 - Won at $4.60

FITOUSSI $3.8 - Won at $16.30

So 6 value winners out of 12 rated races :)

Here's the rest of the figures

Yesterday Overall

Out - $767
In - $1319
Profit - $552
Quinella - $62 profit
Exacta - $223 profit
Trifecta - $554 loss :(

Yesterday Melbourne Only

Out - $436
In - $654
Profit - $218
Quinella - $5 loss
Exacta - $24 profit
Trifecta - $254 loss

Overall - all venues (100 races)

Out - $5464
In - $5613
Profit - $148 (POT 2.71%)
Quinella - $184 profit (POT 18.12%)
Exacta - $316 profit (POT 15.82%)
Trifecta - $570 loss (LOT 9.50%)

Overall - Melbourne only (73 races)

Out - $3989
In - $4503
Profit - $515 (POT 12.91%)
Quinella - $271 profit (POT 37.18%)
Exacta - $413 profit (POT 28.25%)
Trifecta - $1050 profit (POT 23.96%)

So there they are, a lovely set of figures - I hope they keep following that pattern!!!

I've hit 100 races overall now and am in profit so happy to continue, my next decision point will be at the end of April but chances are I'll continue to post these here until the end of the season - i.e. 30 June. Hopefully by then I'll be able to save a decent bank and start betting on them.

Fitoussi got me off to a great start in the ratings challenge - I'll post the results here once they are out.

Have a great week All :)

p.s. well done Swannies, go the Raiders

p.p.s I'm glad I'm not betting on the footy yet - plenty of upsets happening

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Slipper Day - Part 2

Hey All,

Back again - here are the ratings for the Group 1's at Rosehill

Race 3

PURPLE $3.8
LOVE AND KISSES $4.2
GALLICA $8.3
ALLEZ WONDER $19.5
GLOWLAMP $23.0

Race 4

HOT DANISH $2.6
NEROLI $3.7
PORTILLO $15.6
CHAMPAGNE HARMONY $17.4
FORENSICS $21.2

Race 5

ZAVITE (NZ)$3.9
THESEO $5.3
MASTER O'REILLY (NZ)$8.4
FIUMICINO (NZ)$8.8
ROAD TO ROCK $9.0

(Viewed should probably be evens but this is what came out)

Race 6

WHOBEGOTYOU $3.6
ALL SILENT $4.1
BLACK PIRANHA $9.3
SARRERA $9.5
NORTHERN METEOR $21.4

Race 7

MELITO $7.1
INDIAN OCEAN $7.1
SO ANYWAY $7.1
REAL SAGA $8.8
WANTED $10.6

Race 7 is the Golden Slipper - a 2 yo dash that's been going 50 + years (I think). A lot of people hate it because they think 2yo's aren't ready for a race with so much pressure so early in their careers. They could be right because not many go on to bigger things but hey with $3.5 million for first you have to have a crack if you have one good enough.

Heavy track at Rosehill makes it difficult, especially with the babies but we'll see how we go.

Fingers crossed for a good day.

Have fun All

Golden Slipper Day - The 2yo Classic

Morning All,

Running a little late again, well sort of - I wanted to make sure I got the ratings for the competition (Caulfield 5,6,7 and 9) right so spent a little longer on them.

Here's the ratings for Caulfield excluding the 2yo - Rosehill will follow but I'll only do the 5 group 1's there.

Note - the races will be rated to 100%, normally 90%, for the next 12 weeks while the competition is running, saves me doing 2 sets.

Race 2

JEUNE DE COEUR $3.1
LIVE IN SIN $3.1
TESTA MONTE $4.1
BIONA WINNA $21.2
MARVEEN $37.9

Race 3

KINGSFORD (NZ) $3.0
LADIES IN LUCK (NZ) $3.5
SPIRITED EXPRESS (NZ) $8.4
SERMON (1) $19.8
GRAND DESTINY (9) $20.9

Race 4

HUXSSEN $4.5
VEEWAP $4.5
ZIZZ $4.7
RETURNTOSENDER $11.0
TESTAMARRIAGE $18.0

Race 5

FITOUSSI $3.8
MULTAHB (NZ) $5.7
LARRY'S NEVER LATE (NZ)$7.6
MATEO (5)$9.7
PALM TRILOGY (4) $10.7

Race 6

COMMANDING HOPE $3.5
DIPLOMATIC FORCE $3.5
NINE TALES $11.5
EL MANDON $11.6
IMASHADOW $12.7

Race 7

ROSLOTTA $3.7
BEHOLD (NZ) $3.7
FIRE IN THE NIGHT $6.0
FAST FUTURE (NZ) $12.5
JOONTOO GEMINI (NZ)$13.6

Race 8

DELYARA $3.0
DISCIPLINED $4.2
LODORE FALLS $9.7
NUCLEAR FORCE $15.4
WHITEHAVEN GIRL $15.7

Ok, back in an hour or so with Rosehill