Saturday, July 26, 2014

I'm Back - pre-season trial

Hey All

It's been a while but with the new season almost here it's time to get up and running again.  Tweaks have been made and I'm confident I'll have a winning season this time around :)

Major tweaks are to bring a lay into the mix so that when I find a fav (under $5) that I want to take on I'll do so directly as well as backing those I think can beat it.  The thinking being I should be rewarded for finding a false fav even if I miss finding the winner.  Main driver though is to help maintain my bank

Second major tweak is to drop my double up bets - I wasn't targeting the double up races well and this tweak itself turns a small loss into a small profit on last seasons figures

The alternative here is to include all group races from interstate.  It's frustrating to see the best horses going around and not having an interest just because they aren't in Melbourne or Sydney or on a Saturday. This should top my race numbers back up towards 1000 which I think is a nice round number for the season.

Form is done for today, here are my best for Sydney and Melbourne as a thank you for dropping by

Sydney (Kensington) - Race 2 - 1 Testashadow

$2.80 fixed now but should get at least $3.  Has the best of the lead up form and with the 2kg claim for Lester Grace looks beautifully placed

Melbourne (Caulfield) - Race 8 - 1 Bagman

$3.20 fixed but should get $3.50 or better - has to lug the 60kg but will be suited by the 1800m and is a bit too classy for these.  Goes much better the Melbourne way of going

Great to be back, good luck if you're having a bet



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