the not so professional punter

False starts all round

2012-01-15T12:39:00.000+11:00

Afternoon All

Things didn't go quite to plan on any front so far in 2012 so the start of all this has been pushed back to February.

Budget wise - just a few too many bills + a desire to do the trip I was meant to do to Canberra at Christmas on Australia Day weekend (well it is for me!!!)instead means a delay there.

Greyhounds wise - I found a problem in one of my ratings spreadsheets that was too hard to go back and fix in the results so I've tidied things up and started a fresh trial. Lots of work to do to get it right but I am encouraged by the results so far so will push on.

I did manage to find the first 4 out 6 legs of a $330k Big 6 a couple of weeks back - it didn't work out but it was a bit of a thrill still having a live ticket coming into the 5th leg. Even the supplementary dividend paid $25k or so - I ran an unlucky 2nd in leg 5 as well. Not too worry though, the exotics will always be frustrating but if I cab hit one like that one day, it could be a life changer even with the little percentages I normally play.

So there's the update for now - everything one hold for now. I'll touch base again soon

All the best

p.s. Best wishes go out to a mate of mine who is currently in hospital - Adrian, hope you're up and about again real soon

Happy New Year - Welcome to 2012 :)

2012-01-01T13:37:00.001+11:00

Hey All,

Yes, I'm still about :)

2011 in summary, a year like so many others especially in terms of the punt. Made the traditional mistakes of betting on too many races and chasing loses. In terms of the bigger picture - same old same old - a lack of focus and meaning but hey - I've got a roof over my head, clothes on back, food to eat, am relatively healthy, have a decent job and most importantly great family and friends so not much to complain about really.

The things that can make things better are things I control - well should control - and simplest of those is budgeting - money management. So as a result, I'm giving up the punt.....

Just joking LOL

I probably should but after this long trying to find a way to beat the game, and all the lessons I've learned along the way, why stop now :)

That doesn't mean not changing though, I need to change and I have a few new things I'll be trying this year as a result.

The first is money management - this is not only in terms of the punt but overall, new budget goes into place as of today that will hopefully make everything run a bit smoother. This new budget has a set allocation for the punt, so it's taken into account as well - although if I'm winning the cash flow will be into the budget rather than out of it - that's the hope anyway!!!

In terms of betting - a few new things to try this year.

The first is getting my account structure right - I will open a TAB account in Victoria to go with the one I have in NSW - the idea behind this is that I can have more accurate figures of where I'm at. Sure I could keep the records myself. and probably should (and will to a degree), but this is an easier way. The bigger driver here is losing the cash bet side of things, bets will be through the accounts or not at all. Well almost, the exception here is social betting with friends, i.e. at the pub or races which will come out of my day to day budget rather than my punting budget. I know this sounds a bit weird but it makes sense in my head - so the $20 I throw into a quaddie with mates at the races, that we never seem to hit, is not part of my more "professional" punting.

The next is a bit bigger focus on the greyhounds. After meeting around 1/2 a dozen professional greyhound punters now, I can see the sense in what they do. Now I'm not talking becoming one of them, these guys are full time and know things inside out. I just want to skirt around the edges and apply some things I've picked up to see if I can turn a profit. Part of this is some work I've done on adapting my earlier racing ratings to the dogs - I'm still in paper trial mode but early figures are promising - watch this space.

In the meantime, Monday and Thursday nights will become Doggy Nights :)

I'll be looking to make a profit playing on Betfair - laying some and backing some, to see if I can make money. I'm pretty confident I can IF I focus and only bet when the outcome looks relatively obvious - e.g. a slow starting railer drawn the 8 box that's under the odds and worth a lay.

Saturdays will still be my horses day - they are the ones I really enjoy and want to stay involved with. Once again a small change in focus on what I was doing in the past - I do like the idea of sticking to Sydney and Melbourne racing in the main, but always being alert for opportunities in the other states and at lesser meetings. Betting here will be pretty diverse with win and lay bets on Betfair, exotics in most races and an attempt to see if I can turn a profit on quaddies and Big 6's. It won't be easy but I'm looking forward to the challenge :)

So there it is, a plan of attack for 2012 - well at least the start of it - I've set myself a 3 month time frame to see how things are going - if everything is on target at the end of March. I'll continue on - if not, it will be time for a tweak - either way, I'll be adding footy to the betting mix around that time.

New Years Day is always a good day to start afresh, with a clean slate and see if things can change - so that's what I'll do - wish me luck :)

I'll leave you with something that's driving part of this change, the quote from a shopping center billboard - believe it or not

"Life is not a dress rehearsal"

Spot on, I'd suggest

Thanks for looking in, I'll try and do at least a weekly update again so you can see how I'm traveling

All the best

2 weddings and a funeral

2011-04-25T17:20:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Still about, things as per usual haven't gone quite to plan so naturally the easiest way to fix that is to change the plan :)

It's been a busy old start to the year, moved to the new place, went to Armidale to see off Kerry RIP old fella and then a couple of weddings to top things off - Gibbo and Erin and Liz and A2 now happily married, thanks for the invites guys - most enjoyable events

I was plugging away looking at the one bet per race in Sydney and Melbourne and when I wound things up last month I was well in front in Melbourne, well behind in Sydney and behind a little overall. I could possibly make it pay in the longer term but it would be a struggle. I did notice one thing though, when I was isolating the one horse to bet on, more often then not I was looking at the right horses overall i.e. even if I got the race wrong the horses I'd left in late in consideration were getting up, as well as the ones I didn't like missing out.

So that's probably the way to go into the future - stick with the Saturday focus on the horses but look at playing the exotics around the horses I like and hope to jag some decent results, more thinking to be done but that looks the way to go. Adding to that some lays of dodgy favourites and it should be a profitable way to move forward.

Footy season has started - The Raiders are struggling the Swans doing well - hopefully they'll both have strong seasons. There is money to be made on the footy, I have no doubt, just not sure what the best way to do it is

As to my horses, I've got 2 runners tomorrow - Etoile Vitesse in Canberra and Pingus at Bendigo, both have good chances of notching up another win.

So that's basically it, just wanted to touch base to let you know I'm still about

Hope everyone is well

Cheers

Australia Day 2011

2011-01-26T10:55:00.000+11:00

Morning All,

Happy Australia Day, a day that makes you think how lucky we are to be Aussies - the best country in the world? I'll have to check out some others to be sure but we'd have to be hard to beat :)

Didn't end up betting on Monday night, went out for dinner and a few drinks instead. Today's action is at Caulfield and Warwick Farm - there's three 2yo races which will make things a little tricky but I'm hoping I'll have my first winning day for the flat stakes trial AND hopefully the exotics.

My best are

Melbourne Race 1 - 1 Cristallo
Melbourne Race 8 - 8 Espirit De Bullet

Sydney Race 6 - 1 Strike One
Sydney Race 8 - 4 Breeze Up

Not sure what will happen with Saturday yet as I'll be traveling up to Armidale for Kerry's send off so possibly won't get to bet.

Good luck to anyone punting today

RIP - Kerry

2011-01-24T08:02:00.000+11:00

Morning All,

Apologies once again for the non update of results, yesterday was thrown totally out of whack by the terrible news that a mate from university died in a car crash on Saturday.

Kerry was a real character - I'm pretty sure he started at UNE in 1984, I got there in 96 and left in 99, he was still there well after that - he was an institution at the institution. Originally, and I guess always a Kiwi, Kerry was a bistro regular and more often then not ended up running pool comps and the like - we played plenty of games, shared plenty of drinks and lots of laughs. He was only 55, so taken from us way too early - RIP Kerry

Back to business, once again just patchy results - I will now looking at doing a more comprehensive review at the end of the month. In summary, I dropped another 5 units on the weekend after only managing to find 3 winners. Sounds terrible doesn't it? It's not all that bad though, with 6 second place getters - most of which would have seen me finish in front if they had won - and a few other races which were won by horses that were in my top couple I'm confident of turning it around shortly. Overall flat stakes is losing 9 units after 3 meetings - Wednesday is the next day of betting, subject to when I go north to see Kerry off.

The exotics were as frustrating as flat stakes - I ended up missing putting on the Sydney quaddie, would've lost anyway, so doubled up on that Big 6 that missed. In Melbourne I only missed on 1 leg of both the quaddie and Big 6 with Grand Duels winning the 6th - I had the 2nd and 3rd horses. The quaddie paid $2791 and Big 6 $16815 so hitting either would've gave me a nice profit on the day. Overall though, 3 weeks of wipeouts for the exotics and -12 units.

The greyhounds will get another run tonight, currently sitting on -14 units

Oops, look at the time I better get ready for work, have a great day all

Has it been that long

2011-01-22T07:10:00.000+11:00

Morning All,

Up early with a few hours overtime at work before going to the races so need to rush - sorry I didn't post results, I thought I had - I'll get it all caught up tomorrow.

In summary - I returned a 4 unit loss on the flat stakes trial, wiped out on the exotics again and dropped 5 units on Monday night - no bets Thursday

Todays best are

Melbourne Race 2 - 4 Winged Charm
Melbourne Race 4 - 8 Cabeza

Sydney Race 2 - 1 Intencion
Sydney Race 7 - 7 Outstandingly

I have a small interest in Pingus in race 3 - she needs to improve 7 or 8 lengths i'd suggest, is 100 to 1 and needs everything to go her way BUT the gear change should definitely help - fingers crossed

Good luck to anyone having a bet

Cheers

Saturday number 2 is almost here

2011-01-14T23:26:00.000+11:00

Evening All,

Have spend the last few hours studying the form for tomorrow and hopefully I've found all 16 winners - well actually just enough to make a profit will do :)

I'm doing overtime at work to get some extra cash so will be taking Betfair SP prices and hoping they stand up ok. The advantage for anyone reading is you get my tips so here they are

Melbourne - rated on a slow track

Race 1 - 1
Race 2 - 5
Race 3 - 4
Race 4 - 4
Race 5 - 3
Race 6 - 10
Race 7 - 6
Race 8 - 6

Sydney - rated on a slow track

Race 1 - 6
Race 2 - 1
Race 3 - 3
Race 4 - 6
Race 5 - 4
Race 6 - 9
Race 7 - 6
Race 8 - 3

A good days racing.

Greyhounds during the week were nowhere near as controlled as they should've been and I even had a few harness and overseas gallops bets. So some work to do but I still managed 3 units profit on Monday and 4 on Thursday so the damage is back to minus 9 units overall.

Finally, before I get some sleep, my thoughts and best wishes to all those effected by the floods in Queensland etc - awful awful stuff

Cheers

p.s. apologies for not posting more detailed results, it's been a big week with move and all

A forced and sensible change of plan

2011-01-10T07:39:00.000+11:00

Morning All,

Will post more detailed results over the next couple of days but just a quick update for now

System 1 minus 16 units - (greyhounds next bets tonight)

System 2 minus 2 units (Flat stakes)

System 3 minus 2 units (Saturday lays - being canned)

System 4 (will become system 3) minus 4 units (exotics)

So minus figures all round but my confidence is still high.

Two reasons for dropping the Saturday lays and also the reason I won't be able to update my bets during the day anymore are that firstly I don't have my Nokia N97 mini anymore - was stolen Saturday night :( - luckily the battery was flat so they couldn't do anything with it anyway but still bloody annoying - I've fired my old Nokia back up again. Secondly, when you're running around trying to get the best price worrying about tweeting bets and placing lays just isn't practical or sensible. Focus has to be on getting a price.

Biggest event of what was a big weekend was the move to my new place, it's all very empty at present but I'll furnish in the next few weeks - gotta love that I'm living on my own again :)

Better get ready for work, have a great day all - more detailed write up will follow in the next couple of days

Not the ideal start

2011-01-07T07:31:00.000+11:00

Morning All,

Strange old night on the greyhounds, down then up and then finally down again - over confidence and greed will always be a killer, so a little more work to do there BUT I did see it's potential.

System 1 -16 Units

I'm ready to roll tomorrow with Caulfield and Randwick - the Twitter posts from my mobile seem to work as well so I should be able to post what I'm laying and playing in each race

Have a great day

2011 - the year it all comes together

2011-01-02T09:50:00.001+11:00

Hey All,

Happy New Year :)

Very BIG year coming up - I will be working to a few different systems this year, testing them out and seeing if they are the ones that get me to where I want to be, I am pretty confident they will be.

So here they are

System 1 - Monday and Thursday Greyhounds on Betfair - simple plan, I will be risking 4 units per bet, laying, playing or dutching dogs to make money. The change that will see this succeed is that I'll be buying Sure Pick Ratings each of the 2 nights - not for the ratings as such, although they will play a part, but more so for the form guide. I've said to a few different people in the past that if I had the form I used in the TAB back during my uni days for the greyhounds for use on Betfair I could make money, this is effectively that form. It tells me the running style of the dogs, the speed out of boxes and their records. Hopefully that's all I need to know to make some money - kicks off Thursday the 6th when the holidays are over and everything is back to normal, oh and I get paid :)

System 2 - Saturday Gallops, Sydney and Melbourne - with thanks to STS on the Betfair forum I will be trialling a flat stake betting approach betting 1 unit on each race at each venue (only Sydney and Melbourne metro or standalone substitute meetings) each week. The BIG thing here will be I'll be focusing on 16 (normally) races per week rather than the 100's I have been in the past. I'm still working out if I will bet straight win bets or win and place but will decide before day one which will be this coming Saturday the 8th. I'm not expecting huge profits from this system but I am looking to make a consistent return of 5 to 10% of turnover - if I can do that over the rest of the season, until July 31, I will know I'm onto something.

System 3 - Saturday Gallops - Betfair Lays - once again, 16 races (normally) - 1 Lay per race. I will basically be laying the first horse in the market I don't think can win. Because I will be on course most weeks, I will be laying to a set stake of 1 unit rather than a set liability - it's easier that way.

System 4 - Saturday exotics - 1 unit on each of the Sydney and Melbourne Quaddies and BIG 6's - I will be playing for tiny percentages on these bets early on but hoping to grow my bank and increase the size of the bets as I go - expecting a very low strike rate but hoping to jag some nice results over the course of the year.

And that's pretty well it - the 4 Systems above will be my focus for they year and the ones I want to succeed with. I will have other bets but only on my own horses and at social outings + maybe a bit of poker and an occasional trip to the casino as well - see how all that goes - much less than I have been at any rate.

Major change for me is that I will only be betting on these systems 3 days per week, the balance of the time will be spent making the most out of life. I move to a new place next week and that change will help make these others easier - why would I want to be online having a bet when I could be down at the pub having a drink or two and meeting new people or watching a band etc, living life though - it's time to claim some time back as well as to make a proper, focused, go of the punt.

Exciting year coming up, I hope you all join me for the ride - I'll just post results for Systems 1 and 4 but will look at Twittering my picks for Systems 2 and 3 so if you're interested you can track my progress and maybe even follow me now and then when I get on a roll :)

Anyways, thanks for reading - I hope you're ready for a VERY big 2011 :)

Cheers

Soon, soon I say

2010-11-21T10:07:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Sorry I didn't post yesterday - I only got back from holidays early in the morning and didn't get out of bed until lunch time.

After much consideration, I will be holding off trialing the new approach until the new year - there's just too much going on with Christmas coming up - bbq's, parties etc and I won't have the time, or money, to dedicate to it until Christmas is done and dusted.

Punting has been pretty quiet the last couple of weeks - did manage to pull a few hundred out of a Big 6 a couple of weeks back to help pay for my little trip away but apart from that same old same old for when I was betting, not that I got much done while I was away. I did go to the Gosford Cup - lost on the day but if I just bet on the track, as per the new system, I would've walked out in front, something to keep in mind. The crowd was VERY disappointing.

Was hoping to play a lot of poker this week in the APCOOP - I think that's the initials, on Pokerstars but they account is a bit empty so unless I get off to a flyer and cash in tonight's tournament it'll be quiet until later in the week when I'll play a couple more games. For those that don't know, the letters stand for Australian and Pacific Championship Of Online Poker, or something like that, and it's week long event with games each night for basically our region. Fingers crossed for a result or 3

Apart from that, back to work tomorrow :(

Hope everyone is well, will try and post a bit between now and the end of the year about how things are coming along but the main focus will begin from Jan 1 2011 :)

Cheers

Well that was weird

2010-11-09T11:13:00.001+11:00

Hey All,

Figured it was about time I touched base again, I can't believe it's been so long since I last posted.

The election result wasn't ideal on first appearance with Australia ending up with a hung parliament BUT in hindsight, I'm pretty happy. The big things for me being the Greens getting more power along with the country independents - we've been getting sucked to the right for too long so the Greens should help with that and the rural / regional areas will finally get a look in thanks to the independents - interesting times ahead.

Anyways, enough of that - and back to the punt. It's been..... well weird really. I lost all my structure and threw away all my rules and ended up having one of the most mixed up few months ever. I've had nice wins at the races and the casino and big losses on Betfair where I just can't get on a roll. In the end I've had an enjoyable time but learned that money management is just as important when you're winning as when your losing - I'm back to square in terms of my accounts being empty again but did buy a few things I needed, pay a few bills and have a few BIG nights along the way so it wasn't a total wipe out.

Highlights were Etoile Vitesse winning a race at Moruya and paying around $8 - I bet up a bit on the race as I was pretty confident and cleaned up, well relatively pulling in around $1k in total. She has had a great preparation with 3 wins, a 2nd and a 3rd from her 7 starts and although she ran 6th last start it was a big step up in class being her first start in town. Looks like at lest one more run so fingers crossed for a result.

The other big racing result was on Cox Plate Day where I took a 5 legged parlay for an outlay of $26, hit all 5 legs and got back just over $1000 - definitely something worth looking at again in the future especially as none of the legs paid over $10, 2 were long odds on and 1 was around evens. Also bet up a bit after the collect and hit a nice trifecta in the last race for a small percentage to have one of my best ever days on course.

Outside of that, I had some fun on the craps tables at the casino thanks to some advice from a regular player and a new system I now use - I'll look forward to giving it another run when I'm cashed up again.

Now to the future, I've still been betting on too many races so that has to stop and I think I've found the way to do it. There is a guy on the Betfair forum called Sea The Stars that works on a system of betting flat stakes on each race in Melbourne on Saturdays and Wednesdays - he seems to do pretty well out of it and the reason it appeals is that I've often thought that if I'd just bet on a certain meeting I would've walked out in front. Time to find out if that's true or not.

So it's time to start a another trial - well almost time, I'm currently on holidays and will be going away later in the week so will hold off until I get back on the 20th or - so potentially starting up on Saturday the 21st.

I will do it a little differently though - initial thinking is

* Saturdays only
* Sydney and Melbourne only
* Flat stakes - $10 per race
* Each way betting at better than $2 the place (this one could change but is basically about maintaining cash flow for now)
* A/F/F trifectas on odds on favs along with A/2nd, 3rd, 4th favs - shopping for better returns than just taking the short odds
* A four legged parlay at each venue each day for $1 - cost $11 per meeting
* Quaddies and Big 6's at each venue as well

* Lays - 1 selection per race risking up to $50 - maximum loss for the day of $100

Plan is to risk a total of $300 (including the $100 on the lays) each week - working on 8 races per meeting, I'll add an extra $10 per race for any additional races.

So we'll see how that goes for the rest of the year and work out if it has potential or not. The biggest advantage is that it caps the number of races I play each week but maintains enough races to keep me interested all day on a Saturday.

I will possibly play Monday and Thursday night greyhounds as well but will decide that when I get back - the rest of the week will be either poker or punt free unless I go to the races on a Friday night etc

I hope all this makes sense - the other advantage of this system is that I'll be able to start posting my tips on Saturdays again, well at least my early thoughts - I might even use Twitter to update them during the day as well so people can follow me as I go, if they are interested of course

I've tried a hell of a lot of different approaches, here's another - let's hope it's the one.

Better get out and about and enjoy this beautiful weather

All the best

p.s. Soul Diva is in foal to Denman - as I leased to race her that's the end of another Chapter with plenty of great memories, she will be missed

Election Day

2010-08-21T11:28:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Today we vote and hopefully return the current government, create a green balance of power in the senate and reject Family First by The Australia Sex Party out polling them :)

No luck last night, the only part that changes is

Part 2 - The Exotics + $20

Today's bets

Moonee Valley

Race 3 - 6,9,10,12
Race 4 - 1,2,3,4,6
Race 5 - 2,3
Race 6 - 3,4,6
Race 7 - 2,4,5,6,8
Race 8 - 2,9,10,12,14 - Just 9 in the Big 6's

Warwick Farm

Race 5 - 1,2,3,5,7,8
Race 6 - 2,4,5,8
Race 7 - 3,4,5
Race 8 - 3,4,5,6,7

Wentworth Park

Race 4 - 3,6
Race 5 - 4,6
Race 6 - 3,5,6
Race 7 - 2,4,6
Race 8 - 1,3,5,6
Race 9 - 1,6,7,8

Meadows

Race 4 - 1,3,4,5
Race 5 - 1,3,4,5
Race 6 - 1
Race 7 - 2,6,8
Race 8 - 2,7
Race 9 - 2,6

Gotta run - good luck All

Back again but broken a few rules

2010-08-20T07:59:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Back punting again this week, hoping to get on a bit of a roll. The big news is that I've got a new mobile, a Nokia N97 Mini, and loaded Betfair onto it so I will be able to bet to the system on course at Moonee Valley tomorrow.

I started betting on the greyhounds and trots again last night and managed to finish $27 in front. I did break my rules though by having a couple of trifectas - I will have avoid that from here on in, well at least until the bank is big enough to allow for it.

The other rule I've broken is the 10% limit on the quaddie but I'll get back to that once the bank grows a bit as well

Update on the banks

Part 1 - Betfair + $7

Part 2 - Exotics + $44

Part 6 - Lotteries - $4

Today's bets

Harold Park

Race 3 - 2,5
Race 4 - 2,3,4
Race 5 - 4,6
Race 6 - 1,6,8
Race 7 - 1,2,7,9,11
Race 8 - 5,7,10

Melton

Race 3 - 1,4,7,10
Race 4 - 2,4,7,9
Race 5 - 1,10
Race 6 - 1,3,6,10
Race 7 - 3,4
Race 8 - 10,11

Quaddies are races 4 to 7, Big 6's all 6 races

The other bet I've had is heart more than head - Labor -10.5 seats in the this weekends election for my $27 profit at odds of around $4.20 which is unders. I am pretty confident Labor will win, I'm hoping they win by at least that margin.

My horses - Etolie Vitesse went back to back on Monday - GO YOU GOOD THING - she has improved lengths this preparation so I'm hoping she can keep stepping up through the classes

Better get to work

Have a great day All

J.J. Liston Stakes Day

2010-08-14T10:19:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Off to the races shortly for what will be an excellent days racing with some of the best horses in Australia stepping out to start their spring campaigns, all very exciting. I'm heading along with a few mates and not a lot of cash but hopefully I'll back a winner or 3 and make it all worthwhile - well actually just watching these ones go around makes it worthwhile.

Not much action this week as I wait to start up again next week but I did have a quaddie at Harold Park last night, wiped out and my first go at the lotteries during the week in the $30 million Oz Lotto draw - just the one winner cleaned up the $30 million, unfortunately it wasn't me.

Updated results

Part 1 - Befair -$20

Part 2 - Exotics + $44

Part 6 - Lotteries -$4 (I'll round these up and down to whole dollar amounts)

My 8 winners today at Caulfield are

Race 1 - 1 Abitofado
Race 2 - 13 Lucy's Cash
Race 3 - 6 Mister Harry
Race 4 - 1 Crystal Lily
Race 5 - 1 Mr Baritone
Race 6 - 11 Shoot Out
Race 7 - 18 Rhythm in Paris
Race 8 - 15 Imperial Command

Have a great day All

A false start

2010-08-09T23:17:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Was an interesting weekend - Soul Diva ran 4th on an unsuitable track, I dropped my Betfair profit plus the $10ew I had on her and made some money on the exotics. Overall though, I've had to declare it a false start as I needed to cash out to cover the extra expenses of moving - will start up again properly the weekend after this one although I will look at running some exotics this weekend.

I'll continue to count though, you can't map the season if you leave days out

Part 1 - Betfair -$20

Part 2 - The Exotics $50 - thanks to hitting 33.33% of the Wenthworth Park quaddie on Saturday night.

I did miss putting on the Flemington Big 6 as well, not that it mattered, as I would've lost anyway. Long story involving the dry cleaner.....

So overall I'm $30 up for the season with a long way to go

Will possibly be back with some exotics later in the week, otherwise definitely next week.

Cheers

Saturday before I get older

2010-08-07T11:03:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Bit if a stuff up yesterday in that I didn't get a chance to put my Melton bets on and cost myself a little dividend in the process :(

Melton Quaddie paid $94.20 of which I would've got half for my $6 investment.

Everything else wiped out though so net end result is

Part 2 -$12

Off to the races today to watch Soul Diva go around, shame the track is as wet as it is, doesn't really suit her. No bets on Betfair apart from $10 each way I've had on her - which won't count as it's a bet on my own horse. I'll have to work out how to manage that as I go.

Today's exotics

Randwick

Race 5 - 1,5
Race 6 - 2,3,4
Race 7 - 8,9
Race 8 - 1,5,11

Flemington

Race 3 - 2,3
Race 4 - 1,3
Race 5 - 1,2
Race 6 - 2,3,7,10
Race 7 - 4,5,12
Race 8 - 1,4,5,8,15

Quaddies are the last 4 races at each track - Big 6's are the last 3 at Randwick and last 3 at Flemington for one and the last 6 at Flemington for the other

Wenthworth Park

Race 4 - 1,2
Race 5 - 2,3,7
Race 6 - 3
Race 7 - 2,6
Race 8 - 3,5,8
Race 9 - 2,7

Quaddie is races 5,6,7 and 8

Meadows

Race 4 - 1,2,3,4,7
Race 5 - 3
Race 6 - 2,4,8
Race 7 - 5,6,7,8
Race 8 - 3,5
Race 9 - 1,2,8

Same races for the quaddie

Have a great day All

Let's get exotic

2010-08-06T07:53:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

Just had a quick look at tonight's trot fields and have come up with my early selections for the quaddies and Big 6's as below

Harold Park

Race 3 - 7,9
Race 4 - 1,8
Race 5 - 2,3,4,5
Race 6 - 3,4,7
Race 7 - 4,5
Race 8 - 5,6,7

Melton

Race 3 - 1,4,6
Race 4 - 2,5,9
Race 5 - 11,12
Race 6 - 6,12
Race 7 - 7
Race 8 - 5

Quaddie is races 4,5,6 and 7

Big 6 is obviously all 6 races

Not easy to achieve but the dividends can make it very worthwhile - spend will be $6 on each of the 4 bets

Have a great day

A little win to begin

2010-08-05T22:36:00.000+10:00

Evening All,

Just dropped in for a quick update - just one part running so far, part 1 on Betfair and it's started with a win of $40.17. Had a total of 50 bets on the greyhounds and trots, it sounds like a lot but I did actually skip a few races I couldn't work out. I am keeping records and notes so will be able to cull a bit as I see where I'm winning and losing.

So Part 1 + $40.17

Won't be much action on that for a few days as I'm going out tomorrow, to the races on Saturday (but I don't have my new phone yet I won't be able to bet) and moving on Sunday.

First of the quaddies and Big 6's will be tomorrow night.

Cheers

The time has come....

2010-08-01T11:34:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

I'm surprised it's been a month since I last posted, time sure does go quickly.

It's a special day for Australian racing fans, the horses birthday - the day they all get a year older. It's also the first day of the new racing season - the perfect point to draw a line in the sand and change approaches to ones that can work.

The other thing that comes into play is a personal one - I turn 40 a week from today. It's a pretty safe bet that around half my life is done and dusted and while there have been plenty of positives and I wouldn't be where I am without having travelled the journey I have, I do have one thing I really need to fix. That one thing is my punting and the flow on from that to my finances.

So from today and into the future a couple of new things come into play. My punting this year will be fully budgeted for, structured and recorded. I am determined to make money this season / year and set up a solid base to build off. The other is putting a personal budget into place - money allocated for different parts of my life, I want to have fun still - and will do - but it will be within my means for a change. These things should have been in place all along, but hey - they haven't been so it's about time that changes.

In terms of punting - my betting will have 6 parts

Part 1 - Betfair - Play / Lay / Dutch

Starting with a bank of $100 I'll risk 10% of my bank with each bet to try and build a bank of $1000. I realise that 10% of the bank is high BUT that will add pressure to limit my bets to more solid prospects.

The 3 bets types are

Play - either 10% to win or 5% each way (win and place) on the my selection

Lay - laying to risk 10% of my bank - with a maximum price of $5 or 4/1 in the old

Dutch - to a maximum of 2 runners - once again betting to risk 10% of my bank

Minimum return I will accept on a bet is $1.25 before commission - so I will be backing some short ones provided I believe they are value at the short odds.

Part 2 - The Exotics

Once again starting with $100 bank and aiming for $1000 I'll play the quaddies and Big 6's across the gallops, trots and greyhounds in Sydney and Melbourne. Initially my focus will be on the Friday night trots, Saturday gallops and Saturday night greyhounds.

Bets will be $6 quaddies and Big 6's on the trots and greyhounds and $12 on the gallops. I expect to have to top this bank up a few times before I hit a result but fingers crossed it isn't long before I crack something worthwhile.

Minimum percentage taken will be 10% on quaddies and 1% on Big 6's

Part 3 - Sports

Watch this space but I'm hoping to get together with a mate and run something around sports.

Part 4 - Casino

This one is down the track a little - I'll save a bank to take to the casino to hit the tables with

Part 5 - Poker

Once again, down the track a little but I'll fund a poker account or two and play some live poker to see how I go.

Part 6 - The Lotteries

Every so often I'll get a ticket in the lottery to try for a big jackpot - I wasn't originally going to record these but it makes sense to complete the picture.

There will be a few bets outside the system but these will be limited.

The first of these will be bets on my own horses - i.e. Soul Diva and Etolie Vitesse - both of who won their last starts - GO YOU GOOD THINGS!!!

The second is race days with mates which will contain a mix of official bets - fully recorded and accounted for - and shared bets with mates that will come out of my social budget rather than my betting one - i.e. out of my budget for the day out.

The third and last is nights out with mates that may involve a few dollars in the pokies, through the TAB or on the tables - once again out of my social budget

For me, this is all about taking control and seeing what happens. I'll post bets before hand where possible, where not possible I'll post results and updates on a frequent basis.

It's all a bit exciting and to be honest a little scary, but the time has come.....

All the best everyone

Another losing weekend but.....

2010-06-28T07:38:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

The headline is a little wrong, my losses actually started on Thursday night and then continued on Saturday - same old same old. Sunday should've been a day out and about (and will be next week) but I decided to punt away instead for a small profit.

I did something different yesterday though, something I should've been doing all along - I kept records. Now I can sense people thinking "are you serious, you talk about becoming professional but don't keep records!!!" and you would be right. Whenever I have kept records in the past it felt like a distraction and I seemed to lose more but in hindsight it probably just showed what was actually happening - i.e. that I was losing. Note I kept more detailed records while I was working with ratings but that was a bit different.

So, after yesterday the decision has been made to keep records now and review my days betting to see where my edge is. One thing I do need to work out is what to do about races I don't bet on - do I keep a record to see if that choice was the right one or not - for now I'll leave them out but that might need to change.

I won't comment on what the records are revealing until I have a bigger sample but they did make interesting reading.

The World Cup is progressing well and after a few small losing bets up until now I bet a little more confidently last night with two collects on Germany and Argentina - everyone is playing to stay alive now and I think the form will stand up.

Aussie Rules was quiet this weekend, I had a loss with Geelong getting rolled - and the Swans lost to the Pies AGAIN - I didn't bet on that or any other games though. Rugby League, no bets yet but I will back the Raiders to beat the Bulldogs tonight.

After last nights little win on the soccer I've decided to roll onto the baseball today, don't really now much about it but on what I read before making my bets I feel a little confident - so it's Texas -1.5 and a total match score of over 8.5 - gives me something to cheer for while I'm at work :)

Poker - 2 * 3rds and a win last night from my last 4 starts in the Australian Online Poker League, so have found a little form - dropped a few Euro in tournaments outside that though but still in front :)

Well there's the update - I'll stay in touch a bit more frequently now I've got new approaches up and running.

Have a great day :)

A quiet old week

2010-06-20T11:49:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Just touching base, it's been a quiet week on the punt as I wait to reload the accounts again. Had a couple of little big 6's and quaddies yesterday but with no luck. Back into it later in the week

Raiders play the West Tigers today, unfortunately I won't be able to see it until midnightish being down here in Melbourne but I'm hopeful of a good result. Swans have the week off.

World Cup is driving me crazy, I guess the cream will rise to the top in the knock out stages though and it should become easier to find a winner or two. Aussies have been luckless but can still sneak into the next round if things go their way later in the week - fingers crossed

Have a great week everyone

New town, new approach - well almost

2010-06-13T12:24:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

I'm back :)

I've found a temporary place to live in Melbourne until I can find something more permanent, just up the road from the MCG and walking distance to work in the city. I also got myself an elcheapo used laptop and a broadband modem so that I could get back online - it's amazing how big a part of your life it can become, as sad as that is to admit.

Now, the new approach - I know that to achieve my dreams I need to bet on less races and make bigger bets. So I started that last week with a winning day at the races and followed up with a couple of winning sessions on Betfair. Unfortunately, I fell into old habits and had a losing session at the casino, the pub tab after a few drinks on Friday night and last night on Betfair after was a good day and getting greedy / over confident. Overall, I'm down a couple of hundred since being here but don't feel too bad about it, I just need to drop a few bad habits and things will be okay.

The big reason that I'm okay about it is that even though I dropped the money mentioned above and my Betfair account is empty again, I actually made a couple of withdrawals in the last few days - something I haven't done for a while - and my profit and loss on there since starting up again is in the black :)

Betfair is where I plan on making my money, I just need to be patient and make it happen. Selecting the right races to play, avoiding the wrong ones and slowly building my bank is the key. I am confident I can do that this time, it won't be easy but I can and will do it.

Tips wise, I'll try and post something on Saturday mornings now that I'm back up and running - hopefully they'll go okay. My main horse, Soul Diva, is back tomorrow, well possibly - a fillies and mares race at Moonee Valley over an unsuitable 1200m. It's great to have her back for what will be her last preparation - fingers crossed for a win on the way out.

Pokerwise, I haven't found a game yet but will start looking harder this week or next - the time to see if I can actually play is getting closer.

Footywise - The Raiders dropped one against the Cowboys last night that they should've won, very frustrating. The Swannies had a good win against Port and are in the top 8 where they belong.

Finally, the World Cup has started up once again - the Aussies play the Germans early tomorrow, hopefully they can get at least a draw out of it. I'm looking forward to cheering them on - GO YOU GOOD THINGS!!!

That's it for now, updates will be more regular now - all the best

The move is almost here

2010-05-26T23:27:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Just a quick note to let you know things are still progressing - my last day at work in Canberra is Friday, my first in Melbourne is Wednesday and I move sometime in the middle :)

Just home from the pub after watching Queensland win Origin 1 and pretty well wrap up their 5th series in a row - GO YOU GOOD THINGS!!!

Apart from that, same old same old - I'll be back in touch once I've moved and the new system is ready to roll

All the best

Still here for now

2010-05-16T18:34:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Just touching base - hope everyone is well

Wiped out quickly with both my SCOOP entries, maybe next year

My move is only a couple of weeks away now so the Canberra wind down has started with a few events planned on the way out. Yesterday was a bit of fun with a trip to see the Swans vs Bulldogs, Raiders vs Storm and then to a club to watch the FA Cup Final - downside was all my teams losing but was still a great day out.

Interestingly the Raiders fans really gave it to the Storm in stages but particularly when they scored their final try off what was an obvious forward pass - the chants of "CHEATS" sung out loudly around the ground - I think that will only get worse as the season progresses. I am looking forward to what it's like at a Storm home game shortly after I get down to Melbourne.

Punt wise, still can't pick many winners but haven't been betting a lot - will be good to change things and crank them up when I arrive down south.

Anyways, just wanted to let you know I am still kicking

Take care

Easy come, easy go :(

2010-05-03T03:38:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

Well that wasn't really worth it - took a gamble early on when I hit pocket aces, couple of raises preflop - flop was a mixed 6,9,J or similar so I pushed all in only to run into a set of 6's that held up. That's poker I guess, I probably over played it but figured it was worth a crack to try and double up early.

Not sure where I ended up finishing as late registration (I'm not a fan) was still going and the numbers were still building, the pop-up said 21167 though.

Looking at where to spend my $11 ticket and maybe a day off on Wednesday to play event 8 - NL holdem - is the go, has a much more reasonable starting time of 10am local time.

Anyways, such is life - back to bed for me.

Night All

Welcome to May

2010-05-02T11:47:00.001+10:00

Morning All,

I have a feeling May will be a pretty big month. For starters, it's my last month here in Canberra - the move has come forward to the end of the month so from June I'll be living down south again. I am REALLY looking forward to a fresh start and the opportunity to turn things around, I will definitely be adopting some new approaches.

Still need to find a way to build a bankroll though - maybe SCOOP is the way. I have two tickets to use $11 and $22 - fingers crossed I can make something out of them. The $22 one gets a run at 3am tomorrow morning playing for a guaranteed prize pool of $250,000. I'd be happy with even a little of that. The early start is painful but if I manage to get on a roll at least I don't have to worry about being late for work until well into the tournament. Fingers crossed for a result.

Both my teams, the Raiders and the Swans had wins this week - gotta be happy with that, especially with the mighty Swannies sitting on top of the table with 5 wins and 1 loss. Big test next week against the Cats - BRING IT ON I say :)

Have a great day Everyone

ANZAC Day - Lest we forget

2010-04-25T09:21:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

Very important day here in Australia today, the day we remember those that have fought for our freedom - we thank them with all our hearts, lest we forget.

Nice win by Jessicabeel in the Sydney Cup yesterday - shame I couldn't unload, she is pretty smart and even though it's a big step up to the Melbourne Spring carnival I predict she will be playing a part.

The other great result yesterday was Hot Danish finally cracking it for a Group 1 win in the All Aged stakes - she's a great mare who really deserved that honour, well done to all concerned.

Swannies had another good win :) - but in a round that looked straight forward with no favourite longer than $1.30 or so there's already been 2 upsets. There is money to be made betting on football, but it's not as easy as we might all think.

This old computer is definitely on it's last legs - another reformat last night :( I'm just hoping it keeps me going until the move - hopefully in a month or so, I'll work something out after that - it's probably time to get a laptop. Hopefully I'll get things rolling and be able to afford one before too long.

Have a great day All - GO THE RAIDERS!!!

It's all getting closer

2010-04-24T12:10:00.001+10:00

Hey All,

Looks like my move might be coming forward to the start of June rather then the start of July - fingers crossed, the sooner the change happens the better. It's definitely time for a fresh start so BRING IT ON I say.

The other thing that's getting closer is SCOOP - it's almost time for the cards to be dealt. I won an $11 ticket back in January that is just waiting to be played, by doing the the blog thing I should be able to pick up a $22 ticket to go with it and there is a $109 ticket up for grabs as well, although my blog will way too boring to win that!!!

Either way - today is the day for phases 3 and 4

So click on these two links and off you go

vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv

Phase 3 is How to Play 8 Game Mix

I'd better watch that and learn myself, could come in handy :)

and Phase 4 is How to Play Badugi

I've played it once before - it's different but pretty entertaining - check it out.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Only 1 phase to go :)

My Pokerstars account was down to 1 cent this morning but luckily i had 15 FPP and risking 10 of those managed to place 57 out of 3491 players winning 80 cents :)

Doesn't sound like much but hey, it's a wet old day here in Canberra and that'll buy me into a few very low buy ins to help pass the time. PLUS tells me I'm not in too bad form leading into SCOOP :)

Sydney Cup Day today - I won't be having a bet but if I was Jessicabeel each way looks a cracking chance

Have a great day All - GO THE SWANNIES

Day 7 results - time for another spell

2010-04-18T12:53:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Another losing day to finish the first week. Overall everything is behind now and after having looked at the results the realisation has hit that I'm just not ready yet - I need more tweaking but more importantly more data. So it's time for another spell before whacking in next season once I'm living in Melbourne and have refocussed my punting.

I'll still post now and then, just not the ratings - well not yet, I don't have enough data and there are a couple of factors missing that I need to work out how to build in. I thought I would get away without adding them but having looked at this weeks results, and those from last year I know I can't. I'll get there before too long on though :)

Ok the results

Race 5
3 ELZEEZA $2.7
1 GIBRALTAR MOON $2.7
4 OFF THE PLANET $13.6 3rd $1.50
5 CLOCKED $22.0
8 DISPUTED BID $26.5

Race 6
7 BELTROIS $2.1 Unp
8 MAXISUN $13.2 Unp
14 ZEDI KNIGHT $13.3 Unp
5 PROART $21.7 Unp
3 SKIDDAW PEAK $22.8 Unp

Race 7
5 CAVENDISH (NZ) $2.7 2nd $2.00
8 AVOCA STREET $4.1 Unp
2 AMAETHON $7.7 3rd $2.40
13 FIREJET $15.4 Unp
9 BEYOND PARDON $24.5 Won $6.10 $2.50

Race 8
8 STELLA DELAGO $1.9 Unp
10 KEL'S GOLD $13.2 Unp
11 STATUS SYMBOL $14.8 Won $11.30 $2.90
12 ALPHARARI $20.6 Unp
13 RHODAMINE $21.0 Unp

And overall

Turnover Return POT
Quinella $268.00 -$9.40 -3.51%
Exacta $536.00 -$5.40 -1.01%
Trifecta $1,572.00 -$945.90 -60.17%
Quaddie $4,375.00 -$4,375.00 -100.00%

So there is, an interesting and eye opening week. Lots of work to do

All the best

Day 7 (Doncaster Day) - Caulfield

2010-04-17T09:52:00.000+10:00

Back again

A little change of plan today - I was going to rate some extra races but I've decided to just stick with the quaddie in Melbourne. Well actually I've done the Doncaster as well but only because it's one of my favourite races - would love to win it one day :)

Anyways, here's the ratings for Caulfield

Race 5

3 ELZEEZA $2.7
1 GIBRALTAR MOON $2.7
4 OFF THE PLANET $13.6
5 CLOCKED $22.0
8 DISPUTED BID $26.5

Race 6

7 BELTROIS $2.1
8 MAXISUN $13.2
14 ZEDI KNIGHT $13.3
5 PROART $21.7
3 SKIDDAW PEAK $22.8

Race 7

5 CAVENDISH (NZ) $2.7
8 AVOCA STREET $4.1
2 AMAETHON $7.7
13 FIREJET $15.4
9 BEYOND PARDON $24.5

Race 8

8 STELLA DELAGO $1.9
10 KEL'S GOLD $13.2
11 STATUS SYMBOL $14.8
12 ALPHARARI $20.6
13 RHODAMINE $21.0

Best today is the last - Race 8 number 8 Stella Delago

And the Doncaster

3 TYPHOON TRACY $2.6
5 RANGIRANGDOO (NZ) $7.7
12 BRILLIANT LIGHT $11.9
19 SNAPY HALO (NZ) $18.3
1 THESEO $27.1

Hoping for a winning day, hope all your bets are collects

Cheers

Day 6 - Results

2010-04-17T09:44:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

Had a couple of drinks last night so held off posting the results until this morning. Another losing day, although the good thing got up once again - so that's a positive

Race 5
6 GO GOODNIGHT $1.9 Unp
11 GLORYLAIN $6.9 Unp
5 FIRE OF DESIRE $14.0 Unp
4 SEASONALITY $19.1 Won $14.30 $3.90
2 LOCKE'S CHOICE $20.9 Unp

Race 6
1 TWIGINTHEDESERT $1.4 Won $4.80 $2.10
10 BEAUTY IN MOTION $12.0 Unp
4 STREETFIRE $13.5 Unp
2 BURLY GRIFFEN $19.0 2nd $1.80
6 WINNING LOOK $26.0 3rd NTD

Q -$5.70 E -$8.60 T -$2.00

Race 7
13 BREAKAWAY BOY $2.6 Unp
14 MEET ME AT RAFFLES (NZ) $5.2 Unp
4 MEGAPIXEL $6.1 Unp
18 PICKME $29.7 Unp
17 LITTLE BIG MAN $31.0 Unp

Race 8
7 NISEKO $2.8 Unp
20 BROAD LEAF $12.3 Unp
2 LAST OUTLAW $13.7 2nd $5.10
10 LONHRIELLE (NZ) $18.4 Unp
17 MR QUIET $20.0 3rd $9.00

No exotics landed outside race 6

Turnover Return POT
Quinella $228.00 $17.40 7.63%
Exacta $456.00 $41.50 9.10%
Trifecta $1,332.00 -$829.50 -62.27%
Quaddie $3,750.00 -$3,750.00 -100.00%

Overall, still in front but falling away quickly - hoping for a winning day today

Back in a minute

Day 6 - Ballarat

2010-04-16T08:25:00.001+10:00

Back again,

Here are tips for Ballarat today

Race 5

6 GO GOODNIGHT $1.9
11 GLORYLAIN $6.9
5 FIRE OF DESIRE $14.0
4 SEASONALITY $19.1
2 LOCKE'S CHOICE $20.9

Race 6

1 TWIGINTHEDESERT $1.4
10 BEAUTY IN MOTION $12.0
4 STREETFIRE $13.5
2 BURLY GRIFFEN $19.0
6 WINNING LOOK $26.0

Race 7

13 BREAKAWAY BOY $2.6
14 MEET ME AT RAFFLES (NZ) $5.2
4 MEGAPIXEL $6.1
18 PICKME $29.7
17 LITTLE BIG MAN $31.0

Race 8

7 NISEKO $2.8
20 BROAD LEAF $12.3
2 LAST OUTLAW $13.7
10 LONHRIELLE (NZ) $18.4
17 MR QUIET $20.0

Gotta run, have a great day :)

Day 5 - Results

2010-04-16T07:55:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

A little late with these, sorry about that - Thursday is a busy night.

Anyways - just delaying bad news, my first day backing them and my first complete wipeout :(

Race 5
7 TESTASCANA $1.8 3rd $1.40
10 LADY LA BEND $6.6 Unp
3 ARNOUX $11.8 L/Scr
4 DEMONIC $19.6 Unp
9 TANJIL $24.8 Unp

Race 6
6 OVER QUOTA $1.9 3rd $1.90
8 THE WOODSMAN $10.8 Unp
5 MUSICAL LAD $11.5 Unp
7 RAPID THRILL $12.6 Unp
2 ELECTRONIC CROSS (NZ) $18.0 Won $23.80 $5.10

Race 7
9 TADGH (NZ) $1.9 2nd $2.60
16 FRAAR KNELL $13.4 3rd $14.40
2 CELTIC EMPIRE $14.2 Unp
7 GIGANTOR $16.9 Unp
5 ROYAL INQUEST $18.3 Unp

Race 8
5 URBAN GYPSY $3.6 Unp
2 BECKETTS DREAM$8.1 Unp
3 PANETIMOS $9.2 3rd $4.30
11 SENSATIONAL LINE $12.3 Won $9.10 $2.60
9 BISCAY STEEL $16.2 Unp

Overall results - WIPEOUT

Q -$36 E -$72 T -$204 Quaddie -$625

Turnover Return POT
Quinella $188.00 $53.10 28.24%
Exacta $376.00 $110.10 29.28%
Trifecta $1,092.00 -$647.50 -59.29%
Quaddie $3,125.00 -$3,125.00 -100.00%

So backward steps but luckily still in front, hoping for better today

Back in a few minutes with Ballarat

Day 5 - Sale, Here We Go!!!

2010-04-15T08:19:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

My favourite day of the working fortnight, pay day :)

Kinda makes all the hours I spend there worthwhile, although I wouldn't mind at all if I could afford not to have to go. Budget is still VERY tight with lots of bills to pay but I'll drop a little into my accounts so I can start to back these from today. Fingers crossed the results roll on in

Here are todays ratings for Sale - dead track

Race 5

7 TESTASCANA $1.8
10 LADY LA BEND $6.6
3 ARNOUX $11.8
4 DEMONIC $19.6
9 TANJIL $24.8

Race 6

6 OVER QUOTA $1.9
8 THE WOODSMAN $10.8
5 MUSICAL LAD $11.5
7 RAPID THRILL$12.6
2 ELECTRONIC CROSS (NZ) $18.0

Race 7

9 TADGH (NZ)$1.9
16 FRAAR KNELL $13.4
2 CELTIC EMPIRE $14.2
7 GIGANTOR $16.9
5 ROYAL INQUEST $18.3

Race 8

5 URBAN GYPSY $3.6
2 BECKETTS DREAM $8.1
3 PANETIMOS $9.2
11 SENSATIONAL LINE $12.3
9 BISCAY STEEL $16.2

Todays best - Race 7 number 9 Tadgh

Have a great day All

Day 4 - Results

2010-04-14T21:57:00.001+10:00

Hey All,

Nice to see another winning day with the good thing winning at the $1.80 I priced it at, luckily the second place getter paid very well for a nice exacta.

Here's the results

Race 5
6 ISLAND TEASER $1.8 Unp
7 MARHETA $7.2 Won $3.70 $1.80
9 DANAHERE (NZ) $23.9 Unp
4 SERENADA $26.8 Unp
13 RUBY SLIPPERS $30.2 Unp

Q -$10 E -$10 T -$60

Race 6
14 KALLOGG $2.4 Won $2.60 $1.50
17 CHOSEN KING $5.0 Unp
10 SHAVILLE $15.2 3rd $4.30
7 SANRIO $21.7 2nd $3.70
16 EGYPTIAN LOVA $26.4 Unp

Q +$10.40 E +$14.70 T +$298.10

Race 7
5 TAHNEE TOPAZ $2.0 Unp
2 SLEEQUE $5.9 2nd $1.80
11 PENINA $10.2 Unp
1 PINK SHIMMER $14.1 3rd $4.10
3 BUBBLE BELOW $29.2 Unp

Q -$10 E -$20 T -$60

Race 8
14 UXORIOUS $1.8 Won $1.80 $1.10
8 SIBERIAN $21.8 Unp
1 CAVALAIRE BAY $22.3 Unp
13 SUNDAY WONDER$24.3 2nd $14.70
12 BLIND $24.6 Unp

Q +$46 E +$56.80 T -$60

Overall

Q +$36.40 E +$31.50 T +$118.10

Quaddie -$625

Hit my first trifecta as well - now I just need a quaddie!!!

Always nice to have a winning day :)

Week so far - the figures were wrong again yesterday, sorry about that - they've been corrected. These ones include today

Turnover Return POT
Quinella $152.00 $89.10 58.62%
Exacta $304.00 $182.10 59.90%
Trifecta $888.00 -$443.50 -49.94%
Quaddie $2,500.00 -$2,500.00 -100.00%

Back tomorrow with Sale

Day 4 - Betfair Park

2010-04-14T08:02:00.000+10:00

Morning All,

Here we go again, some better quality horses running today - will be interesting to see how the results stand up.

Race 5

6 ISLAND TEASER $1.8
7 MARHETA $7.2
9 DANAHERE (NZ) $23.9
4 SERENADA $26.8
13 RUBY SLIPPERS $30.2

Race 6

14 KALLOGG $2.4
17 CHOSEN KING $5.0
10 SHAVILLE $15.2
7 SANRIO $21.7
16 EGYPTIAN LOVA $26.4

Race 7

5 TAHNEE TOPAZ $2.0
2 SLEEQUE $5.9
11 PENINA $10.2
1 PINK SHIMMER $14.1
3 BUBBLE BELOW $29.2

Race 8

14 UXORIOUS $1.8
8 SIBERIAN $21.8
1 CAVALAIRE BAY $22.3
13 SUNDAY WONDER $24.3
12 BLIND $24.6

Race 8 market is pretty interesting - Uxorious really standing out, weird name but it could be pretty smart - looking forward to seeing what price it starts.

Have a great day All

Day 3 - Results

2010-04-13T20:07:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

I was walking to work today thinking to myself - how did a 250ish % profit turn into a 25ish % profit when I didn't even totally wipe out - didn't take long to realise I'd stuffed up my results. They have now been updated, sorry about that.

Another backwards step today unfortunately but such is life on the punt I guess

Race 5
2 GOADEL $3.7 Unp
7 DIXIE DOLL $4.2 Unp
12 NEWLY $9.2 Unp
3 STAR OF JEUNE $15.8 Won $2.00 $1.10
14 KARDINIA BELLE $18.2 Unp

Q -$10 E -$20 T -$60

Race 6
4 HAVE A SHOT $2.1 2nd $1.80
10 MADELEINE NOBLET (NZ)$9.2 Unp
8 WHITE PEGASUS $13.4 Unp
1 BELCINO $16.7 Won $4.80 $2.10
14 TRUSTY TED $23.5 Unp

Q -$1.30 E +$4.80 T -$60

Race 7
6 ANGRY CAT $1.5 Won $1.80 $1.20
5 REGAL SCOUT $7.1 Unp
3 ADAMON $11.9 2nd $2.60
1 SAYAH $25.1 3rd NTD
8 JOYFUL GLOW $27.3 Unp

Q -$4 E -$12.60 T -$41.20

Race 8
11 LITTLE JO $3.3 2nd $1.30
1 THE SUNSHINE MAN (NZ) $3.3 3rd $4.20
9 TIAMO $6.4 L/Scr
5 ENDOFTHETUNNEL $18.9 Unp
6 MAXICAT $22.9 Unp

Q -$6 E -$12 T -$24

Overall

Q -$21.30 E -$39.80 T -$185.20 Quaddie -$625

Week so far

Turnover Return POT
Quinella $112.00 $52.70 47.05%
Exacta $224.00 $150.60 67.23%
Trifecta $648.00 -$561.60 -86.67%
Quaddie $1,875.00 -$1,875.00 -100.00%

N.B Figures corrected 14/4/10

Once again I hope the tables read ok.

So a couple of losing days in a row :(

I'm hoping things improve tomorrow with the higher quality Wednesday racing

Have a great night

Day 3 - Benalla

2010-04-13T08:00:00.000+10:00

Hey All,

Back again. I've taken the scartchings off the the Racing Victoria website so hopefully they are final - I need to get to work either way so they will have to do.

Race 5

2 GOADEL $3.7
7 DIXIE DOLL $4.2
12 NEWLY $9.2
3 STAR OF JEUNE $15.8
14 KARDINIA BELLE $18.2

Race 6

4 HAVE A SHOT $2.1
10 MADELEINE NOBLET (NZ)$9.2
8 WHITE PEGASUS $13.4
1 BELCINO $16.7
14 TRUSTY TED $23.5

Race 7

6 ANGRY CAT $1.5
5 REGAL SCOUT $7.1
3 ADAMON $11.9
1 SAYAH $25.1
8 JOYFUL GLOW $27.3

Race 8

11 LITTLE JO $3.3
1 THE SUNSHINE MAN (NZ) $3.3
9 TIAMO $6.4
5 ENDOFTHETUNNEL $18.9
6 MAXICAT $22.9

Hoping to bouce back today - have a good one everybody :)

p.s. rated on a dead track

Day 2 - Results

2010-04-12T21:59:00.004+10:00

Hey All,

After yesterdays flying start losses all round today to bring things back to earth a bit.

Race 5
2 GENERAL REVISION $2.3 2nd $1.90
4 EDIKENI (NZ) $2.8 3rd NTD
8 WADEEMA $9.5 Unp
3 ORCHARD STREET $17.5 Won $8.30 $4.20
6 MORE ZIP $37.5 Unp

Q +$0.40 E +$6.90 T +$7.60

Race 6
5 TORNADO CLASS $2.0 Unp
8 FILOUKA $12.0 Unp
10 BROAD LEAF $16.6 Unp
12 BISMUTH $20.5 3rd $3.10
7 REDI ZEDI DASH $23.2 Unp

Q -$10 E -$20 T -$60

Race 7
4 COUGAT KING $2.4 2nd $1.70
3 GREEN RISES $4.5 Won $7.90 $2.30
1 MONSIEUR OLOROSO $11.9 Unp
5 RENOUNCEABLE $12.8 Unp
7 READY AND WILLING$17.0 Unp

Q +$3.60 E +$15.90 T -$60

Race 8
5 CHRISTOPH $3.6 Unp
7 MR ENZO $3.6 Unp
1 VOLTE FACE $5.8 Unp
3 SOPHIA TOWN (NZ)$16.1 Unp
6 PERIOMEN $24.5 Unp

Q -$10 E -$20 T -$60

Totals

Q -$16 E -$17.20 T -$240

Quaddie -$625

Last race was a total disaster :(

I hope these results read ok, they are a cut and paste from my results spreadsheet.

Week 1 - Summary

Turnover Profit POT
Quinella $76.00 $74.00 97.37%
Exacta $152.00 $190.40 125.26%
Trifecta $444.00 -$376.40 -84.77%
Quaddie $1,250.00 -$1,250.00 -100.00%

N.B. Results were corrected on 13/4/10

I've dumped the lays already, there was at least one winner today and looking back at previous results no money to be made.

Anyways, other things to do - come back tomorrow for Benalla :)

Day 2

2010-04-12T08:31:00.001+10:00

Hey All,

Very quickly because I'm late - Kilmore today

Race 5

2 GENERAL REVISION $2.3
4 EDIKENI (NZ) $2.8
8 WADEEMA $9.5
3 ORCHARD STREET $17.5
6 MORE ZIP $37.5

Race 6

5 TORNADO CLASS $2.0
8 FILOUKA $12.0
10 BROAD LEAF $16.6
12 BISMUTH $20.5
7 REDI ZEDI DASH $23.2

Race 7

4 COUGAT KING $2.4
3 GREEN RISES $4.5
1 MONSIEUR OLOROSO $11.9
5 RENOUNCEABLE $12.8
7 READY AND WILLING $17.0

Race 8

5 CHRISTOPH $3.6
7 MR ENZO $3.6
1 VOLTE FACE $5.8
3 SOPHIA TOWN (NZ)$16.1
6 PERIOMEN $24.5

Rated on a Dead track

Have a great day All

Well there you go

2010-04-11T18:29:00.001+10:00

Hey All,

Had a bit of a read back over some old posts earlier this afternoon - looks like things are just like they used to be with the ratings, quinellas and exactas the way to make money.

Here's todays results - once again using NSW Tab dividends

Race 6

5 WANGANESE $2.2 - Unp
7 DIXIE DOLL $7.9 - L/Scr
2 BOTTLER RED $10.1 - Unp
8 JOYBOY $12.5 - 3rd $1.80
4 SIVADIO $15.2 - Won $5.30 / $2

Quinella (Q) -$6, Exacta (E) -$12 Trifecta (T) -$24

Race 7

10 ST IVES (NZ) $2.2 - Unp
2 HAWKS BAY $8.9 - Won $5.30 / $1.90
4 TESTA JESTA $10.8 - Unp
9 RONALD JOHN $13.7 - 2nd $7.30
6 ESCAPE ARTIST $15.3 - Unp

Q +$96.30 E +$219.20 T -$60

Race 8

13 EXCEED US $2.2 - 2nd $2.30
8 REGULAR AUSSIE $9.9 - Won $6.30 / $2.10
6 ISSUS $10.5 - Unp
10 BARTONELLE $15.9 - Unp
3 LUCKY SIX $20.0 - Unp

Q +$9.70 E +$20.40 T -$60

Race 9

2 HOMELANDER $2.0 - Unp
1 PROSPECT $6.5 - Unp
7 READY TO PLEASE $18.2 - Unp
13 SNAKEY PRINCESS $23.3 - 2nd $4.70
6 HILLBILLY DANCER $23.9 - Unp

Q -$10 E -$20 T -$60

Quaddie -$625 (if Snakey Princess wins the last it pays over $10k!!!)

Overall Q +$90 (225% POT) E +$207.60 (259% POT) T -$204 (100% LOT)

Quaddie -$625 (100% LOT)

So there it is - quinellas and exactas both kick butt, wipe outs everywhere else. I've put the trifectas and quaddie in for interest but based on last years trial the quinellas and exactas, and more specfically the exactas are the ones to play.

Another that I've thought up to be looked at is to lay the shortest priced runner that doesn't make my top 5 - here's the results for today

Race 6 - Lay Devil Rider $4.30 Unp
Race 7 - Lay Ajhar $4.20 Unp
Race 8 - Lay Jewel of Johar $7.60 Unp
Race 9 - Lay Thrillionaire $5.90 3rd

Prices are the lay price taken from the Betfair Advantage Tool - so 4 for 4 to start off :)

Day 1 done and dusted, definitely enough to make me want to come back tomorrow and see how things progress.

Until then, have fun All :)

Twitter

2010-04-11T13:23:00.000+10:00

Back Again

I've decided to tweet (is that the right word?) as well - hoping to get a few more people passing by.

User name there is - tnsprofpunter

Follow away :)

Cheers

I'm back - well sort of

2010-04-11T12:53:00.001+10:00

Hey All,

It's been a pretty ordinary 6 months in terms of the punt - I lost the plot, I lost focus and most of all I lost money. So the time has come to turn things around again, do more work and get it right.

It's funny how little things come together and make things feel right - that's what's happened the last few days. First up I was chatting with a lady at work that I'd talked to about my ratings previously - she mentioned bringing them back. On the way out the door I bump into another guy from the IT area I worked in for a while, he asked how my racing was going. Friday night I get home from work and find I can get a free 60 day trial of Office 2007 - WAHOO - and early Saturday morning I dream I'm doing my ratings again. Yeah I know, probably just all coincidence but hey, maybe it's actually fate, a sign - do the work - get the results. We'll find out soon enough either way.

So yesterday, 10-4-10 (nice sense of balance in that date) I got started on trying to work out how Excel 2007 works and how I can use a database without the tools I lost when I had to reformat my computer. It took a bit of doing but I think I have it working again. I sure am glad I emailed myself (to an external account) copies of my spreadsheets and database so that I didn't have to start from scratch - I don't think I could've done that.

Anyways - I rated 4 races from Flemington for 2 on top winners, they were short but I had them shorter so even with the limited work I saw the results can come. From there, I thought about what to do and realised that I need to specialise and based on the very high probability that I'll be back in Melbourne from July, that's what I've decided to specialise on. So during the weeks I'll try and rate the quaddie legs (last 4 races on the card) from the feature Victorian meeting each day. Saturdays I'll rate most of the card - no jumps races though.

So today's venue - Wangaratta. Cranbourne would normally have qualified but there was less depth in the fields and the heavy track put me off. I won't always be able to post my selections on here but hey, you've come along for the ride this far and I don't actually have a bank to bet with :( so I might as well put the selections out there for someone to use if they want. So here they are, top 5 rated for each of the last 4 races this afternoon

Race 6

5 WANGANESE $2.2
7 DIXIE DOLL $7.9
2 BOTTLER RED $10.1
8 JOYBOY $12.5
4 SIVADIO $15.2

Race 7

10 ST IVES (NZ) $2.2
2 HAWKS BAY $8.9
4 TESTA JESTA $10.8
9 RONALD JOHN $13.7
6 ESCAPE ARTIST $15.3

Race 8

13 EXCEED US $2.2
8 REGULAR AUSSIE $9.9
6 ISSUS $10.5
10 BARTONELLE $15.9
3 LUCKY SIX $20.0

Race 9

2 HOMELANDER $2.0
1 PROSPECT $6.5
7 READY TO PLEASE $18.2
13 SNAKEY PRINCESS $23.3
6 HILLBILLY DANCER $23.9

Strange that my favourites all came out around the same price, that will change as the data builds. Hopefully there are a few winners amongst that lot.

Payday Thursday, I can't afford to put much towards the punt but I will slide something over to get me started. Until then, it will be a case of watching the results and learning from them - a tweak here, a tweak there until the results hopefully start to flow :)

It's great to be back, well sort of

All the best

p.s. lucky I'm not betting on the footballs this week - upsets everywhere!!! Well done Swannies though, it's looking like being a good season :)

Poker anyone?

2010-03-24T17:01:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Currently enjoying a few weeks off work and still punting badly :(

I think it will be a case of just battling through until the end of the season before changing direction with a potential change of location in a few months time. All going to plan I'll be moving back to Melbourne at the end of June and will be able to specialise in what is usually the best racing in Australia.

My killer is still too many bets rather than picking and choosing targets - part of that because I don't have a bank, so whatever else I end up doing I will have to find a way to build a bank to use.

Maybe Pokerstars have the answer :)

They've finally sent me my second message to post, so here it is

vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv

Online Poker Tournament

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

The SCOOP games start in May and I'm looking forward to playing a few - HUGE money up for grabs - so a chance of a collect or three. I just need the times to work out ok - think you can do something there Pokerstars guys??? :)

They are also running a Dream Job promo, I will only get two chances to qualify for a final - tonight and tomorrow - so wish me luck. Overall prize is $5000pm and $40k in tourney entries over the course of 12 months - would be sensational to have a go at that :)

So there it is, not much happening on the punt for now but I'll keep you informed.

Cheers

Still cold but bound to warm up soon

2010-02-25T22:08:00.003+11:00

Hey All,

Still kicking - punt is still ordinary, just playing small amounts as I look for some form. I get a feeling it's getting closer - well hopefully :)

Footy seasons aren't far off either with lots of pre-season games going on - Swans finally won a NAB Cup game - WAHOO, looks like we have signed a few good young ones. I WILL make some money on the footy this season.

Now the main reason for posting today, Pokerstars have offered me a freebie tourney entry and I'd be a mad man to knock it back - just need to meet the qualifying rules so here goes - it says I have to use this next bit in a sentence - yeah right LOL - here it is Pokerstars guys

VVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVV

â€¢ â€œwhich is why playing poker is clearly a game of skillâ€�

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

I agree though, poker is clearly a game of skill, with a touch of luck needed to really clean up. I can actually learn something from poker for when I punt - I need to fold more hands - i.e. have less bets. Just play the good hands.

Anyways, short and sweet today - will post more to qualify for this as well as hopefully tip a winner or 3

Take care

Cold cold cold

2010-02-07T15:38:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Just wanted to drop in a quick note to say I'm still kicking. Punt has been awful the last few months, I am colder than Europe and America put together!!!

I'm sure it'll turn around one day, it's just a question of when.

The last crack with the bot on Australia Day failed as well, so it's gone. I've just been plugging away losing little bits here and there as I try and find some form.

Anways, life goes on - the good horses are coming back and with a massive big 6 jackpot this coming weekend maybe that's the time to make my move, fingers crossed at any rate.

Poker wise - I only got to play one more of the World Blogger Championship games - finished 427th out of 1536. Now I just need to wait for SCOOP to start whenver that is. Was great to see a young Aussie guy win the Aussie Millions - maybe that can be next year :)

Take care everyone, back soon

Missed it by that much :(

2010-01-26T12:59:00.001+11:00

Hey All,

Missed the next break by a minute or two - pocket pair was always going to be a killer so when I went all in with my 4's and saw he had 9's I knew straight away i was gone

Pretty happy though - 1740 starters and I finshed 68th picking up a $11 ticket in SCOOP :)

Couple of tips for today - Randwick Race 5 - 2 Zavite and Caulfield Race 5 - 1 Denman (will be short but should win)

Late for my bbq now though so gotta run

All the best

p.s. if you have a blog sign up for the next blogger championship :)

I have registered to play in the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker! The WBCOOP is a free online Poker tournament open to all Bloggers, so register on WBCOOP to play.

Registration code: 764234

Update Number 3 :)

2010-01-26T12:04:00.000+11:00

WAHOO - I'm still kicking although it was a close call there for a bit. Overplayed a couple of hands and fell back into the 100's and in danger of missing the "money". Pocket 10's came to the rescue though, turning into trips and allowing me to double up to 20,669 chips at the 3rd break.

Currently 71st of 161 - with 153 in the "money" - should make it from here :)

Average stack is 21,886 so I'm just under.

Probably won't make the next break but we'll see how I go :)

Cheers

Update number 2

2010-01-26T11:00:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Break number 2 and I'm still kicking :)

Pocket pairs are holding up well and I've taken out a couple more players now - 4's turned into a full house on the flop and 7's held up against A 9 or similar. It's nice having a big stack to rick against small ones on ify hands.

Current position 25 of 343 - avg stack 10145 my stack 21333 :)

Just need to have some patience and play smart and should get into the "money"

Will let you know how I go

Quick update

2010-01-26T10:08:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

I'm still alive at the first break, looks like 9 is my lucky number today :)

Couple of bad calls early had me in trouble - but then I managed a few small wins before hitting 4 * 9's against A Q and getting all a guys chips. This was followed up by my 99 holding up against A 10 to take out another. Overplayed a hand to give half my stack back :(

All good though, after the break - pocket 2's hit trips on the flop and take out another who had A 2 and had hit two pair. Then pocket 7's stood up to take out another small stack. Cards are falling my way and I've just cracked 10000 chips and I'm in 40th place, out of 1017 avg stack 3532 - time to tighten up a bit with prizes to 153rd

Wish me luck :)

See if this works

2010-01-26T08:47:00.000+11:00

This is what I'm playing in today - I couldn't figure out how to fit it in the sidebar

I have registered to play in the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker! The WBCOOP is a free online Poker tournament open to all Bloggers, so register on WBCOOP to play.

Registration code: 764234

Cheers

Happy Australia Day :)

2010-01-26T08:44:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Busy day coming up today, poker, punting and a BBQ

I didn't run the bot last night, instead I'll hold off and let it run on the races today - it's not a bad days racing + that's what my testing was on. Hopefully it'll do ok. Plus it works out well as I'll be at a BBQ with friends all afternoon so I can set it and hopefully come home to find it in profit :)

This morning is Poker, starts in 15 minutes or so - I'm playing to win a ticket into the SCOOP competition at Pokerstars. I'm not actually sure when that's on but I guess it's sometime in Autumn southern hemisphere time. Anyways, I get a chance to have a crack for free due to having this blog so I'm happy.

Will let you know how I'm going - wish me luck

Cheers

Another one bites the dust - well mostly

2010-01-25T09:55:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Don't you just hate it when you come up with a new system, do a little testing on paper (well in a spreadsheet) and the results look great - the excitement builds as you prepare to give it a go and then...

It flops :(

System was a very simple one - laying the 3rd favourite on Betfair. I've seen plenty of figures that tell me that of the top 5 favourites the 3rd one makes the biggest loss so I figured there is money to be made laying them - especially if you add a little loss recovery to the mix. Of course doing this is time consuming and a bit boring but seeing as bots don't get bored I figured that was the way to go. I downloaded a bot on a 5 day free trial and set it to work.

As a test I ran it on the UK greyhounds and after day, well night, one it had made a profit and everything was looking good - well until I realised I'd stuffed up the settings and rather than try and recover 100% of the loss over 5 bets, which I thought meant 20% of the loss at a time, it reocovered 100% of the loss 5 times!!! So I woke up to find the bot had made over $100 profit when I was hoping for a steady $30.

Either way, once more I thought I was on a winner - just had to rejig the bot and all would be fine. I took the afternoon off work, there wasn't much going on anyway as the systems were down, and ran the bot again but this time on the Aussie racing - worked a treat, the bank cracked $400 and I was away. This was all too easy, I was dreaming of retiring and all was good.

And then it happened, I ran the bot on the UK greyhounds again and woke up to find my max loss reached and half the bank gone :( - I was definitely too greedy there but my confidence was up. Anyways a run of losers had done major damage to my bank. I still had money left and figured it could turn around, my paper testing had been on Saturday gallops and that's what we were up to - the money would be rolling in again real soon - but no, a run of losers again and the bank was suddenly halved once more. Reset, start again with half the bank and once again - GONE. So so frustrating. You would hit a double figure run of results and then wipe it out with 3 out of 5 stuff ups.

So, the system has bitten the dust - well like I said mostly, I have the bot for another 24 hours or so, I'm hoping to crank it up one last time for small stakes and see if it can pay for itself. If not, then the system will be dead and buried.

Punting can be so painful at times

Poker on the otherhand, well actually - it can be ultra frustrating as well but still worth a crack. So this time tomorrow I'll be playing in the World Blogger Championships on Pokerstars. There are a week of lead ups to a main event on the 31st (1st of Feb our time) - unfortunately they are all on this time of day so I'll miss Wednesday, Thursday and Friday while I'm at work but hopefully I can make the most of the others and crack a prize or two. Got to love Australia Day and the taking an extra day off to make it a 4 day weekend :)

If you got a blog - why not have a crack.

Ok, better get going - got some things to do

Have a great day

I'm still kicking

2010-01-20T21:33:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

Just a quick post to let yow know I'm still out here. I have a new system to trial from tomorrow but won't say too much for now, fingers crossed it works.

Thanks to Davo for telling me about the Poker Stars blogger championships - maybe I can win on the tables instead of at the races :)

Anyways, I'll see how I go and let you know

How not to punt - 2009 done and dusted

2010-01-01T11:56:00.002+11:00

Hey All,

Firstly - Happy New Year :)

Secondly, I am a very ordinary punter at times and I proved that to myself the last couple of months and in particular the last few days. Two things kill me when I bet, I know it but still make the same mistakes. They are

1 - over confidence - I get on a roll like I did around August where I can't seem to do wrong, so I push it and then it falls in a heap. So much so that the last couple of months have been shocking. I bet too big stakes, I make bets I shouldn't make and I play way too many races (see below). Annoying thing is that as a punter if you have no confidence you will most likely either lose or not bet. So there's a balance somewhere in there that I'm struggling to find.

2 - too many bets - I've just spent the last couple of days cleaning out all my betting accounts betting race to race in the hope of getting back into the winning zone. Of course it didn't work, it never does - there are punters out there that successfully play every race, so it can be done BUT they spend hours rating them etc, without the work it's almost impossible to do - so I need to pick and choose, target my bets - that's the advantage we have over the bookies, they have to field on every race - we don't - I need to realise that.

So, I know what's wrong - question is can I fix it?

I think I can and will have a crack at doing so from next week when I can load a little more money in and start over. In some ways it'll be good to have a week off, clear my head and get a bit more organised. Sure it's frustrating but hey, you need to live with the consequences of your actions and my actions mean that I need to have a week off.

It's a little sad thinking where I was when I started this blog - I had a plan, a system and had done a hell of a lot of work. From there I drifted back into old habits and ended up in the same place I've always ended up. If anyone reads this they probably think I should give it all up and they would probably be right, I would be a hell of a lot better off financially if I'd never had a bet at all BUT it's in my blood, I know the game can be beat and I've seen people do it - I still want to be one of those people. I just have to work out how.

There's another challenge I have - this is going to sound stupid to some, possibly familar to others, but I'm so used to losing on the punt that mentally it's easier if I do. It's what I know, it's familar, it's what I've been doing for years and then somehow that becomes - I don't deserve to win, I need to punish myself for my choices by losing. My psychology 101 tells me it's a learned behaviour, and it is, I just need to "unlearn" it.

So that's what I need to change in 2010 - I need to snap out of the "losing is what I do" mentality and realise that it's ok to win. It's not going to be easy but 2010 is a big year for me, I turn 40 this year - I've been punting over half my life now and it's time to turn it all around, it's time to make it happen. It's time to break the losing habit.

By the way, the tipping thing didn't work out, I missed a few cut off dates and lost interest - might have another go one day, I'll leave the link below, there are some great tipsters on the site, check it out.

Overall from here re this blog, I probably won't be posting my bets like originally did - that's too structured, too organised and in some ways adds too much pressure. I'll post some thoughts now and then though, maybe a tip here and there and go with the flow.

So thanks for reading, keep checking in and I'll let you know how things are progressing - any advice would be welcome.

Cheers and have a wonderful 2010 :)

Close but.....

2009-11-14T10:51:00.001+11:00

Hey All,

Quiet old week, have been putting tips up on Punters Paradise but with no luck - plenty of placegetters but can't find many winners - here's the results

13/11/09 Gundagai 4 6 - Etoile Vitesse Unplcd
13/11/09 Gundagai 5 9 - Vilakazi Street 2nd $1.40
13/11/09 Moonee Valley 3 2 - Lovely Rita 2nd $1.70
13/11/09 Moonee Valley 6 5 - Anyways 2nd $2.30
13/11/09 Moonee Valley 7 6 - Speelberg 3rd $3.50
12/11/09 Hawkesbury 1 2 - Elusive Lad 2nd $1.10
12/11/09 Hawkesbury 4 3 - Umbrage 1st $1.90 $1.40
12/11/09 Hawkesbury 5 2 - Colonel Light 2nd $1.60
12/11/09 Sale 5 9 - Liberty Edition 3rd $2.10
12/11/09 Sale 7 6 - Flash'n Dough Unplcd
11/11/09 Canterbury 6 9 - Vicadelsa Unplcd
11/11/09 Canterbury 7 6 - I Won't Dance Unplcd
11/11/09 Seymour 4 6 - North East Smile SCR
11/11/09 Seymour 6 7 - Validator Unplcd
11/11/09 Seymour 8 5 - Airways 2nd $1.60
10/11/09 Canberra 2 5 - Ganesan Unplcd
10/11/09 Canberra 6 1 - The Flying Fox SCR
10/11/09 Canberra 7 3 - Gold Moss Unplcd
10/11/09 Kilmore 7 7 - Reset And Go 2nd $1.60
10/11/09 Kilmore 8 1 - Akihito 3rd $1.50
09/11/09 Colac 8 3 - Ring My Bel 2nd $1.70
09/11/09 Queanbeyan 3 4 - Placebo Unplcd
09/11/09 Queanbeyan 6 2 - Poker Pro 3rd $1.80
09/11/09 Queanbeyan 7 9 - Infuriate Unplcd
09/11/09 Scone 7 1 - Admirah Belle 2nd $1.90

All pretty frustrating really but hopefully I'll find a couple of winners to turn it around today. There are some good tipsters on the site that make me look very ordinary, the link is a the bottom of the page.

On a personal note, I'll try and build a bank today - went to Gundagai yesterday for Snake Gully Cup day to watch some horses go around but couldn't get a winner. Hopefully I'll have a better day today.

Trust everyone had a great week,

Best of luck on the punt.

p.s. well done to Joe Cada and his win in the WSOP, great effort for a 21 yo and for Darvin Moon for holiding on for second, gives us all hope :)

Moving in the right direction

2009-11-08T18:38:00.000+11:00

Hey All,

5 tips today for 2 winners and a 3rd - not too bad at all and nearly puts me back in front at Punters Paradise, here's the results

Cranbourne 6 - 7 - Testa Rocketa Unplcd
Cranbourne 8 - 13 - Viva Dubai 3rd $2.10
Wimmera@Arar 2 - 6 - Devils Party Unplcd
Wimmera@Arar 7 - 8 - Last Drop 1st $6.00 $2.10
Wimmera@Arar 8 - 4 - St Ives 1st $3.80 $1.80

Gotta be happy with that :)

I'll keep it going at 5 tips per day and see how I go

Cheers

Cup week - done and dusted

2009-11-08T12:19:00.000+11:00

Afternoon All,

I had a pretty ordinary Cup week - couldn't find many winners and the ones I did find I couldn't make pay :(

There's always next year :)

I kind of worked out the link with Punters Paradise - see the bottom of the page. It's not the best place for it but it will do for now. I've decided to give it a bit of a crack and see how I go.

The plan - 5 tips per day at least 5 days per week and all for $5, with a profit guarantee.

Now I realise if I tip like yesterday no one will ever be interested BUT I'm confident I can turn that around and start showing a profit. I'll post my results here as well so you can keep track of them and see how I'm progressing.

Here's yesterdays results

07/11/09 Flemington 2 - 9 Absolute Star Unplcd
07/11/09 Flemington 6 - 10 Triple Honour Unplcd
07/11/09 Flemington 7 - 9 Estee Unplcd
07/11/09 Flemington 8 - 8 Hume Unplcd
07/11/09 Flemington 9 - 2 - El Mandon Unplcd

The site itself has plenty of good tipsters and is well worth checking out.

As to my own betting, I have some more thinking to do - I'll reload my accounts a little next weekend and get back into it.

Have a great day

A couple for today

2009-11-07T10:08:00.002+11:00

Morning All,

I still haven't heard back from King Tipping so can't post up the link as of yet :(

I've put 5 tips up there but I'll throw the best couple up here as well to see how they go

Both at Flemington

Race 7 - The Matriarch Stakes

Frustrating race as Soul Diva would've been here if she hadn't injured herself last start, she should be back at them for one last go in Brisbane next winter.

2000m mares race and not many have form at the distance - I'm plugging for Estee each way. 2 worries are the lack of form at the track, and the barrier but she comes in a couple with the scratchings. Has been running on well and has never missed a place in 3 starts at the 2000m - Should be double figure odds

Race 8 - Queen Elizabeth Stakes

I, and plenty of others, like Hume here - has the form line through the Melbourne Cup winner Shocking and all things being equal should win at around the $3.50 mark.

Best of luck if you're having a punt today

I'm still alive - but it's all over, for now

2009-11-06T13:31:00.003+11:00

Hey All,

Sorry I haven't been on for a while - it's a bit of a long story but I guess I should tell it.

I was getting a bit frustrated with how it was all going when fate decided to step in - my old computer didn't want to start up one morning so I had to reformat my hard drive and lost everything that was on it - seems to be working ok again now, touch wood - I have back ups of my database and rating spreadsheet BUT I don't have a back up of Microsoft Office - so can't access them :(

Stupid on my part, but hey - everyone makes mistakes. I originally got a copy of Office from work when it was part of our license agreement, budget cuts have led to them dropping that offer so I have no way of getting it without buying it, and seeing as I'm skint again that won't happen for a while.

I've been betting the old way for the last couple of months, had a good run for a bit but the last couple of weeks have been horrid. So time for a change again - not sure what I'll go to but whatever it is will mean a lot less bets. I have got a couple of things in mind and will be back to let you know. I am still confident this can be done and I will do it - one day.

Funny thing is I'm actually still in front for the season thanks to the Big 6 that I hit - so guess I can't complain too much.

Anyways, that's where I'm at and why I haven't been posting. I'll be back before too long with my next approach. In the mean time I think I'll post some of my tips on the Punters Paradise / King Tipping site and see how I go. Check it out on the link I'll try and include, there's some very good tipsters there - I'll be tipping as Womble.

I'll leave it there for now,

Take care

p.s. I'm having some troubles with the link - have sent them an email and will hopefully be able to post it before tomorrow when I'll put some tips up.

Week 7 - moving the right way again

2009-09-26T11:07:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

AFL Grand final day today so the good races were in Melbourne last night - had a nice collect in the last at Moonee Valley to boost things along and finish week 7 off in style :)

The figures

Out - 25 units
In - 32.82 units
Profit - 7.82 units
S/R - 45%
POT - 31.28%

Overall

Out - 190 units
In - 197.84 units
Profit - 7.84 units
S/R - 38.16%
POT - 4.13%

So we have POT again - under the 5% minimum target but pretty close. Hopefully this week will be a winning one and boost that figure some more.

As for today, good horses win good races - I have Racing to Win @ Evens to win the Group 1 George Main Stakes, I saw $3 about a little while ago so it'll be interesting to see what price he starts. If you can get black odds, take it.

I'm cheering for the St Kilda today - 1966, when they won their first and only premiership, is too long ago - I hope they make it number 2.

Have a great day

Weeks 5 and 6 - a bit behind

2009-09-19T12:36:00.003+10:00

Hey All,

Sorry for the slowness of the updates - a very quiet couple of weeks as I still haven't been 100%. Sitting at the computer doing ratings when you're a bit crook isn't much fun - was a bit slack though and probably should've done more. Figures have been ordinary with small losses both weeks. Not giving up yet though, let's see what happens

Week 5

Out - 5 units
In - 3.97 units
Loss - 1.03 units
S/R - 25%
LOT - 20.6%

Week 6

Out - 18.75 units
In - 17.67 units
Loss - 1.08 units
S/R - 60%
LOT - 5.76%

Overall

Out - 165 units
In - 165.02 units
Profit - .02 units
S/R - 37.12%
Effectively all square

So nowhere after 6 weeks, strike rate is good but the profits aren't flowing - see what happens the next few weeks

A lot favourites look the goods today but my each way tip is Caulfield Race 6 - 6 Midnight Mustang which should be big odds, I have it $2.60.

Best of luck if you're having a bet :)

Cheers

Week 4 - what a horrible week :(

2009-09-05T12:17:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

Week was horrible in 2 ways, first up the system - almost all the profits wiped out and secondly, I was off work all week laid up and couldn't even jump on here to run the system - it's been very ordinary. Almost back up and about now so hopefully the system will improve as I do.

The figures

Out - 32.5 Units
In - 15.04 Units
Loss - 17.45 Units
S/R - 30.77%
LOT - 53.7%

Overall

Out - 141.25 Units
In - 143.38 Units
Profit - 2.13 Units
S/R - 34.51%
POT - 1.5%

The strike rate stood up but the ones that hit didn't pay all that well and I had, wait for it, so many 2nd and 3rds it was unbelievable :(

That's called the punters lament. Life goes on though - fingers crossed things turn around today.

No tips I'm afraid, just starting to rate now and won't have time to come back. As they say in the ads - bet with your head, not over it.

Finally, after the week I've had physically, it's time to make some changes there as well - this is a punting blog though so I won't bother you with details, suffice to say, life is a lot more enjoyable when you can get out and get involved in it - my plan is to make sure I can.

Have a great day :)

Week 3 - that's better :)

2009-08-29T12:11:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

Running a little late today so I haven't rated too many races yet - figured I'd post here and get back into it.

Not many bets last week, I'm really struggling to get motivated to rate during the week - I need to go full time now, if only I had a bank :(

Week 3 was a winning week and hopefully a sign of things to come

Out - 27.5 Units
In - 39.75 Units
S/R - 40.91%
P/L - 12.25 Units
POT - 44.54%

Overall

Out - 108.75 Units
In - 128.34 Units
S/R - 35.63%
P/L - 19.59 Units
POT - 18.01%

Much nicer figures :)

Here's 2 from the races rated so far to have a little something on each way

Caulfield Race 3 - 5 Solchow $2.20

Rosehill Race 3 - 7 Snow Alert $2.50

I'd better get the rest of these races rated

Have a great week :)

Week 2 - oops

2009-08-23T18:33:00.002+10:00

Evening All,

Firstly apologies for not posting this yesterday - I was running a little late and had to get a bus to Sydney. Was a nice weekend away, a winning day at the races and a 40th birthday do for a good mate from uni, well worthwhile.

Ok, the results - only limited bets in week 2 and it was a bad week :( But hey, that's going to happen, the figures will be up and down early but will hopefully average out to where I need them.

Week 2

Out - 26.25 units
In - 15.68 units
S/R - 28.57%
P/L - (10.57 units)
LOT - (41.86%)

Overall

Out - 81.25 Units
In - 88.59 units
S/R - 33.85%
P/L - 7.34 units
POT - 9%

So not good figures but still in front overall - to keep this going long term I need at least 5% POT, my target is 10% POT although I would happily take higher and that's possible based on the the trial.

No luck for the top raters once more, I'll have to think about what I do there.

The main reason I'm not too worried about the figures above is that I've had a ripper start to Week 3 almost hitting 100% POT, hopefully that will continue on.

My 2 shortest yesterday were Bejewelled in Sydney which lost and Eagle Falls in Melbourne which got up at around evens in a very good win.

Anyways, there's the update - I'll aim for Saturday next week

Have a great week All

1 week down, a lifetime to go :)

2009-08-15T12:44:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

Sorry I haven't been back until now, I've been trying to work out how to do all this. The couple of top raters I put up last week did nothing, hopefully today's pair will do better :)

As to the exactas - week 1 is a winning week :)

Here's the figures

Out - 55 units
In - 72.91 units
S/R - 36.36%
P/L - 17.91 units
POT - 32.56%

So above target so far - I hope that continues

Today's top 2

Caulfield Race 5 - 9 Diamonds at Dusk $1.50

Rosehill Race 8 - 11 Fastest Bullet $1.50

Soul Diva is about to run - needs luck from the barrier but a good chance this class at good odds - GO YOU GOOD THING!!!

Gotta run,

Good luck if you're punting :)

Here we go, here we go ....

2009-08-08T12:43:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

The big day has finally arrived - day 1 of the new approach, let's hope it all works out.

Lucky I started a week late because I found a mistake in my set up - I had a minus instead of a plus - oops. All fixed now though.

I'm betting on Sydney and Melbourne and because there's probably not much point you dropping in to watch my progress without a rating or two to follow - here's my shortest rater for each venue

Melbourne - I have Keltah at $1.70 in the last

Sydney - I have Drum Major at $1.60 in race 4

Soul Diva is being saved for next week, fingers crossed she goes well.

Birthday drinks today, off to the bowling club for a drink and a punt followed by whatever happens :)

Have a great

p.s. Well done Aussies, Ashes cricket back to normal :)

Happy Birthday Horses :)

2009-08-01T11:31:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

I'm back - well almost.

Plan was to start today but I've decided to hold off for a week - so start date will be next Saturday August the 8th. Main reason is it's after payday so I'll have something to start with but apart from that - it will give me a week to get back into the swing of things, Soul Diva will hopefully be running (she raced and won on the day I started the trial) and finally, it's my birthday :)

So the planets are all aligning for a start on Saturday the 8th.

I've done quite a bit of work while I was away - I have new spreadsheets, the beginnings of a database and an approach decided - the exactas. It's not the best way of doing it but it will get me through until I'm fully set up with a proper database that I can use to automate everything + more importantly have a bank to use.

That's what this season will be about - building a bank and getting a real database, well unless mine develops to the point I don't need a new one :)

My target for the year is $10k profit - possibly a little ambitious but I'll see how I go, I VERY rarely achieve targets or goals I set for myself but this is one I want to have a real crack at - $10k would allow me to have a real go next year and hopefully move closer to that dream of turning professional :)

So that's it for now - I'll rate a few races this afternoon and see how I go, refine my process a little so that I'm ready to rip from next week.

So until then, have a great week

p.s. I have Miss Supernatural rated odds on in Caulfield Race 1 - see how she goes.

Well that's that - The wrap up

2009-06-28T11:28:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Another losing winning day yesterday - lost on the win the bets but cleaned up again on the quinella and exacta. Here are the two lots of results combined on the overall figures.

Saturday 20 June - was Melbourne

Out - $241
In - $0
Loss - $241
Quinella loss $29
Exacta loss $67
Trifecta loss $240

Saturday 27 June

Out - $559
In - $130
Loss - $429
Quinella profit $56
Exacta profit $101
Trifecta loss $600

Melbourne Only

Out - $301
In - $130
Loss - $171
Quinella profit $75
Exacta profit $143
Trifecta loss $300

OVERALL - Melbourne Only 113 Races

Out - $6404
In - $5665
Loss - $738 (LOT 11.52%)
Quinella profit $225 (POT 19.95%)
Exacta profit $317 (POT 14%)
Trifecta loss $786 (LOT 11.60%)

OVERALL - 200 Races

Out - $11265
In - $9734
Loss - $1531 (LOT 13.59%)
Quinella Profit $376 (POT 18.81%)
Exacta Profit $1078 (POT 26.96%)
Trifecta Profit $402 (POT 3.35%)

So there it is - an interesting set of numbers.

Yesterday was a good example of how shopping for better prices would help the figures with 2 winners being just 10 cents under my price but I guess that's how it goes.

The future is the exacta at 26.96% POT - that's a great figure and one I'm hoping to do very well with. Even if it halves it's still very decent and worth working with. My plan will be to throw some money into my IAS account and take exactas and see what happens. Fingers crossed it works out, 200 is only a small sample - will it translate to long term profits? Wait and see I guess.

Next up, a month off - I need a break to get ready for next season so will be doing that. When I come back I won't be posting my ratings pre race anymore - nobody probably reads them anyway, and if they do they wouldn't bet on them BUT just in case, to protect my value, I won't be posting them. I'll keep posting here though, just so people can see how I'm going and I'll probably throw out a rating standout on the days I'm betting.

Soul Diva wasn't too bad yesterday - ran 10th beaten 2.4 lens but had no luck at all in the straight, bring on next start :)

The Ratings Challenge - Len cleaned up, Cabbie ran a very good second and I managed to hold onto 3rd but showing a loss. Was a great learning experience and showed that, with work and a consistent plan, money can be made on the punt.

Oh well, that's it for now - I could post a bit over the next month to update you on what's happening but 1 August will be the day, a new season and the new me - a new planned and disciplined approach to the punt - wish me luck :)

All the best

And the rest

2009-06-27T13:55:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Back again with the other 5 - race 5 was just run, sorry I didn't make it on time - mind you, the one I had short did nothing anyway :(

Sydney Ratings

Race 5

RENAISSANCE $1.7
PURE NIKKI $17.2
MISS INDEPENDENT $17.8
SILENT BUT DEADLY $22.7
NONCHALANCE $24.1

Race 6

NIWOT $3.5
FAIRYGEM (NZ) $3.5
NUCLEAR SKY $5.7
COME ON CUGAT $9.9
RISAYLA (IRE) $17.7

Race 7

ALLABOUTUS $2.9
ASSHEWAQUA $7.5
MARGHAM $7.9
VISA LISA $9.1
CLOTHING $14.9

Race 8

ULTIMATE RISK $2.2
CENTRE ARENA $6.1
FORTY DAYS $7.3
SHAGERZ $19.7
TOGNI $20.3

Race 9

YOBURG $2.7
THE TAKE $7.0
OURBILLYDAKID $10.7
MOTSPUR $16.0
BEOWOLF $18.9

Good Luck All

Well, here it is

2009-06-27T12:30:00.003+10:00

Hey All,

Sorry this is late, went out for a few drinks last night so didn't get started on the ratings until later this morning.

First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - it was another losing week, I'll get them up with the rest tomorrow.

I'm rating 10 races today - 5 in Melbourne and 5 in Sydney, so far I've only done the 5 in Melbourne so I still have a bit of work to do. The reason I'm doing 10 is to get to 200 overall - 200 is still only a very small sample but it will give me something to work with. I'll do some analysis on those races the next few days and see if I can find a way to make this thing pay. Most importantly though, I'm going to have a month off - I need a break so that I can come back fresh for the new season.

Ok anyways, here are the Melbourne races

Race 4

RAIN IN AFRICA $5.3
ALRESHAAD $5.3
BETWIXT (NZ) $5.3
BOOM 'N' ZOOM $5.8
THRILLPOWER $14.7

Race 5

RED BUTTONS $2.7
HE'S SOMETHING $5.2
RONALD JOHN $12.0
DETERMINATION $21.6
TESTA ROCCA $23.2

Race 6

WEALTHY LAD $3.9
TICTACS $3.9
STREET CLASSIC $7.6
FAMOUS ROMAN $22.3
THREEDEE $25.4

Race 7

SWIFT BAY (NZ) $2.8
ROCK HOME LATE $9.2
PLIERS $10.2
BUCKETS $10.2
CASCABEL $13.4

Race 8

ARINOS $2.5
ZUPAONE $4.6
GRAN SASSO $21.4
GRAND DUELS $22.7
FLUSHING MEADOWS $24.7

I'm really hoping I've got race 6 totally wrong and the mighty mare - Soul Diva - comes back in fine fashion and gets a win first up - GO YOU GOOD THING!!! :)

Back in a while with Sydney

Almost there

2009-06-20T10:31:00.003+10:00

Morning All,

Last week of the Ratings Challenge, I'm hoping for a big finish - fingers crossed. I've only rated the 4 races at Moonee Valley, so covers Melbourne and leaves me 10 races to rate next week to hit the 200 overall.

Here they are

Race 5

SALUTE THE STORM $3.5
RUN ROXY RUN $3.5
SWOOPER $4.6
NEVA RIVER (NZ) $21.6
LADARI $29.2

Race 6

SCENIC FIND $1.8
MIDARRI DAN $10.4
EUMERALLA MISS $18.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $19.2
SUPERZEEL $25.3

Race 7

SIR SOPRANO (NZ) $2.6
STARKRON $5.4
DAVCON $7.0
TORA TORA TORA $12.8
BONINDI $15.7

Race 8

PRODUCED (NZ) $2.3
ELECTRIC PUHA (NZ) $9.1
SHREWD RHYTHM $11.2
MAGICAL PEARL $13.7
RANSOM WILLY $15.0

Swans vs Pies tonight - I hate this game, they've beaten us the last 6 times but we really need a win so hoping we can turn it around this time - GO SWANNIES

RAIDERS threw it away last week but should beat Manly this week with the origin players out - GO RAIDERS

Good luck if you're having a bet :)

Exotics kicking goals

2009-06-14T18:31:00.002+10:00

Me again,

Yesterdays results - just the 4 races at Ipswich and I was a little unlucky with my top picks running 2nd in 3 of the 4 races. Found a nice trifecta in the Eyeline Stakes though which will turn a 26% LOT into a profit.

Just the 1 winner

Brisbane Race 6 Mitanni @ $22.60 (rated $10)

Note - any discrepancy is due to rounding

Yesterday

Out $232
In $225
Loss $8
Quinella profit $109
Exacta profit $487
Trifecta profit $4099

Overall

Out - $10465
In - $9604
Loss - $861 (LOT 8.23%)
Quinella profit $349 (POT 18.77%)
Exacta profit $1044 (POT 28.08%)
Trifecta profit $1242 (POT 11.13%)

No bets in Mellboure.

So it looks the way of the future is the exotics but we will wait and see.

Ratings Challenge I've fallen back further - well out of contention, it finishes up next week.

Ok, gotta bake some vegies

Have a great week :)

Results for last week

2009-06-14T18:18:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

Time to catch up these results - I'll do it in two posts, first up last week - well actually it's the week before Saturday the 6th.

Just one winner from the 8 races :(

Melbourne Race 8 - Bangerang Quikpic won @ $5.30 (rated $4.60)

Everywhere

Out $513
In $116
Loss $396
Quinella Won $11
Exacta Loss $6
Trifecta Loss $444

Melbourne Only

Out $249
In $116
Loss $133
Quinella won $28
Exacta won $35
Trifecta loss $204

Overall - Everywhere

Out - $10223
In - $9379
Loss - $853 (LOT 8.34%)
Quinella profit $240 (POT 13.20%)
Exacta profit $557 (POT 15.31%)
Trifecta loss $2857 (LOT 26.16%)

Overall - Melbourne Only

Out - $5862
In - $5535
Loss - $326 (LOT 5.56%)
Quinella profit $179 (POT 17.25%)
Exacta profit $241 (POT 11.56%)
Trifecta loss $246 (LOT 3.95%)

So the only bright spots remain the quinellas and exactas.

Yesterdays results in a minute

Motivation Meldown :(

2009-06-13T10:52:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

First up, apologies for not posting results for last week yet - was a losing week, although I haven't work out by how much yet. Ratings Challenge wise I've dropped to 3rd and right out of contention, if I was ever really in it.

Lots on today so I've just rated the 4 Challenge races at Ipswich in Queensland - here they are

Race 5

LADY SHOWHEART $4.8
ANNAMARIE $5.8
MORGALICIOUS (NZ)$6.7
KISANI $7.0
COOL EDITION $22.4

Race 6

MR HORNBLOWER $4.1
EL CAMBIO $8.1
MITANNI $10.0
VOICE COMMANDER $11.1
PYRAMIDS $11.1

Race 7

MACKNUCKLE $2.5
OBVIOUS CHOICE $7.3
CAPE BRETON (NZ) $10.7
OUR LUKAS (NZ) $19.4
JUJULIO $24.4

Race 8

DERIVATIVE RECEIPT $2.8
CANTERDOWN $8.4
BOMBER COMMAND $8.5
ANOTHER SPEIGHTS (NZ) $10.1
HUNKA BURNIN' LOVE $17.4

Why the loss in motivation - work has been crazy which has played a part but I guess the biggest thing is the up and down results, very annoying. What I think I'll do is post next week which is the last week of the Challenge and possibly the week after to get me through to the end of June. I'll look at the results in a bit more detail to see where I win and where I lose and see if I can find a way to make money out of this. I'm sure I can, even it's only taking that 10% POT on quinellas / exactas. Then, I'll do the smart thing, have a month off before coming back fresh in the new season from 1 August.

Big day today, bbq, drinks, Wallabies, drinks.... and tomorrow Raiders, drinks....

Should be fun :)

Have a great weekend

p.s. I will definitely have a little go at Macknuckle in the Ipswich Cup today, looks very well suited and I'll definitely get over my odds.

Winter warmers

2009-06-06T09:41:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

First weekend of winter for 2009 - it will be interesting to see how the ratings hold up over the colder, normally wetter, months. I think if I was full time at this, and doing well, I'd have this 12 weeks off each year :)

8 races rated today - Flemington which is my choice for Ratings Challenge venue + Randwick

Flemington first

Race 5

BEQUESTS (NZ) $2.6
CASCABEL $5.6
SWIFT BAY (NZ) $11.3
GLAM SLAM (NZ) $14.0
BOOGALOO $14.5

Race 6

FAMOUS ROMAN $3.6
DELAYEDREACTION (NZ) $6.7
GOLD SALUTE $10.7
ARENTI (NZ) $12.5
RUBIJON $14.5

Race 7

WHISKEY CRUYFF $2.3
SIR WALTER $5.3
DIGGERSANDDEALERS $12.4
PACINO $15.5
MAKEADREAMCOMETRUE (NZ) $21.7

Race 8

HIP HOP DANCER (NZ) $1.9
BANGERANG QUIKPIC $4.6
MOMENT IN TIME $17.5
HE'S SOMETHING $23.5
RHUMB LINE $25.5

And Randwick

Race 5

PENRICKSON (NZ)$1.7
JOKU $8.7
RAINBOW STYLING (NZ) $12.7
WITH A CHANCE $14.9
MY SWEET COOKIE $16.8

Race 6

WHITEHOUSEWHISPERS $2.6
RED LETTER DAZE $8.6
STARRY LIGHT (NZ) $11.1
VISA LISA $13.4
SPECTACULAR BIRD $17.9

Race 7

SHAKETHEGROUND $2.6
NATMANA (GB) $4.7
DOTHIS DOTHAT $8.2
GUNNA HAPPEN $13.7
HEXAMETER $18.2

Race 8

FANTENE $3.3
MISTER CELESTIAL $3.3
WELKOM GOLD $6.8
ASSHEWAQUA $18.6
KRONER (NZ) $22.1

Best of luck if you are having a punt :)

Exotically exotic

2009-05-31T10:32:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Managed to find a couple of value winners from the 4 rated races yesterday for a small profit as well as getting results for both the quinellas and exactas. They could definitely be the way to go into the future.

Winners were

Pillar in race 8 at $6.90 (rated at $6.60)
Intruder in race 9 at $4.50 (rated at $3.20)

Also had the other 2 winners in my top 5 but both were under my odds

Results Yesterday

Out - $233
In - $245
Profit - $13
Quinella profit - $47
Exacta profit - $99
Trifecta loss - $108

Results Overall

Out - $9720
In - $9263
Loss - $457 (LOT 4.70%)
Quinella profit $229 (POT 13.17%)
Exacta profit $563 (POT 16.19%)
Trifecta loss $2413 (LOT 23.11%)

Results Melbourne only

Out - $5613
In - $5419
Loss - $193 (LOT 3.44%)
Quinella profit $151 (POT 15.14%)
Exacta profit $206 (POT 10.28%)
Trifecta loss $42 (LOT 0.71%)

That's 100 races in Melbourne / Victoria now - so starting to build a decent sample size, will be very interesting to see how these figures stand up for the rest of the season. I'd love to see all the results in profit by the end of July but won't hold my breath.

Ratings Challenge results aren't out yet but Len hit a couple of winners and will kick further away from the field, I think I'll just hold onto second.

I've had a little bit of luck, skill? Probably a bit of both and managed to hit a very small percentage of yesterdays Big 6 - it's amazing to think that even though only one of the winners paid over $10 the Big 6 paid $130k. Like I said, I only got a very small percentage but I'm wrapped and it means the possibility of having a bank to start with come August 1 and the new season is MUCH higher :)

I'll be back in the next couple of days with updated scores from the ratings challenge.

Have a great day

I hate hangovers

2009-05-30T10:31:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Home at 3amish - I'm whacked. I've rated the Ratings Challenge venue of Bairnsdale but that's it for today I'm afraid, it's back to bed for me.

Bairnsdale is in Victoria though so the results will count as Melbourne only as well.

Race 6

HAMMERBLOW $3.4
SIR ALJAY $3.5
ABITOFUN (NZ) $9.4
KINGS AND ACES $13.1
JET TORQUE $20.9

Race 7

DANAMAN (NZ) $2.7
SOVEREIGN TOY $3.1
SARATOGA $12.7
FILOU SHOT $12.8
LEVANT $16.6

Race 8

LAGO BUOY $2.0
PILLAR $6.6
FLAMING GONZALES $17.5
GALAWAY GLOW $18.3
GUNBUSTER $19.8

Race 9

NADOBE $3.2
INTRUDER $3.2
KNIGHT IN TIGHTS $15.1
WARRIGAL TOM $15.6
SONIC HIT $19.1

Good luck if you are having a bet :)

One step forward, two steps back ....

2009-05-24T20:11:00.002+10:00

Evening All,

Another losing day yesterday with just the 2 winners, although if you shop for better prices there was a third there as well. It's frustrating but that's how punting is - I just need to find a little more consistency and a few more winners.

The winners yesterday were

Caulfield Race 5 - Driffield Gold @ $2.20 (rated $1.40)

Doomben Race 5 - Apache Cat @ $3.20 (rated at $2.80)

Great to see Apache Cat win another Group 1 race and crack the $4 million in prize money, a very popular horse.

Here are the summaries

Overall - yesterday

Out - $577
In - $274
Loss - $303
Quinella loss $3
Exacta Profit $48
Trifecta Loss $51

Melbourne Only - yesterday

Out - $257
In - $160
Loss - $97
Quinella Loss $1
Exacta Profit $9
Trifecta Loss $211

Overall

Out - $9487
In - $9018
Loss - $470 (LOT 4.95%)
Quinella Profit $182 (POT 10.72%)
Exacta Profit $464 (POT 13.66%)
Trifecta Loss $2305 (LOT 22.60%)

Overall - Melbourne Only

Out - $5380
In - $5174
Loss - $206 (LOT 3.83%)
Quinella Profit $104 (POT 10.88%)
Exacta Profit $107 (POT 5.55%)
Trifecta Profit $66 (POT 1.14%)

Some bright spots but lots of improvement needed as well.

In the ratings challenge I've held second spot but fallen a bit further behind. Luckily prices for the challenge are the best available so I hit one winner - Darth in race 6.

Table is

Len - $1062.45
Me - $707.21
Cabbie - $550.37

John L - ($496.98)
Ken - ($646.64)
John D - ($1520.51)

4 weeks to go so plenty of time - I need to find more winners!!!

Swans and Raiders both had wins today - GO YOU GOOD THINGS :)

Have a great week

Almost made double figures

2009-05-23T10:24:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

I've rated 9 races today - the quaddies at Caulfield and the Sunshine Coast (ratings challenge venue) and the Doomben 10000. Hoping to hit enough winners to get me in front overall, lets see if I can.

Here they are

Caulfield Race 5

DRIFFIELD GOLD $1.4
DIAMONDSONDINSIDE $11.1
OUR SMOKING JOE $19.4
POISED TO WIN $21.4
MOMENT IN TIME $31.0

Race 6

MACEDONIAN (NZ) $3.5
AIGLON $3.5
SARANAH GOLD $10.7
DANCE PARTNER $12.5
COCHON D'OR (NZ)$25.1

Race 7

JOHNNY FIASCO $3.1
TETSU GAMA $4.6
NUCLEAR ROO $8.7
UNCLE IVAN $9.7
ALLIED FORCE $12.2

Race 8

SWIFT BAY (NZ) $4.8
WOJCINSKI $4.8
THORN LAKE (NZ) $4.8
TEMPEST TOST $4.8
BURLY GRIFFEN $17.1

Sunshine Coast Race 5

MARG'S GOLD $1.7
MUDDY MILLIE $7.9
IMPENETRABLE $12.8
PRINCE VALLEN $19.3
DELTARARA $24.0

Race 6

HEZA GURU $3.2
MEGA MOUNTAIN $4.8
DAD'S BLUE BOY $11.2
DARTH $11.2
THREE GONGS $21.6

Race 7

TEEYORA $3.6
KELLINA'S SHADOW $3.6
MOUBASSIN $6.4
GOLD SOVEREIGN $7.0
BLACK SHEEP $23.3

Race 8

URASED A STAR $2.9
CANDYJESS $3.8
PRINCEOFTHEPLAZA $8.2
RAGING RASTUS $20.0
FREAKISH $22.8

Doomben 10000

APACHE CAT $2.8
SOMETHING ANYTHING $6.3
BANK ROBBER $9.8
DUPORTH $18.7
COURT COMMAND $20.1

Good luck if you are having a bet :)

Short but sweet

2009-05-17T08:40:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

It was only 4 races but when you find 3 value winners it makes it all worthwhile :)

Winners were

Mine in Time at $3.60 (Rated at $1.70)

Penrickson at $5.20 (Rated at $2.90)

Allervite at $15.30 (Rated at $13.30)

Losses on the exotics but closing in on a profit overall so I'm pretty happy - I won't update the Melbourne results today as there is no change.

Yesterday

Out - $252
In - $504
Profit - $252
Quinellas Lost $11
Exactas Lost $28
Trifectas Lost $240

Overall

Out - $8910
In - $8744
Loss - $167 (LOT 1.88%)
Quinellas Profit $185 (POT 11.50%)
Exactas Profit $416 (POT 12.93%)
Trifectas Loss $2254 (LOT 23.33%)

Down to a loss of less than 2% on tab prices, not too bad at all :)

Good news on the ratings challenge as well, I've only seen the unofficial results but don't expect them to change - here's the new table

Len - $1114.81
Me - $1014.15
Cabbie - $280.77

John L - ($148.32)
Ken - ($325.47)
John D - ($1636.93)

So second place and only $100 down with 5 weeks to go :)

Next week is the Sunshine Coast Cushion track - should be very interesting, will the ratings hold up on the artificial surface???

Anyways, happy days - with testing progressing well.

Have a great week All

Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

2009-05-16T08:55:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Bad news I'm afraid, just the 4 races rated (the Challenge races) because I need to go to work for a bit - I HATE working on a Saturday but hey, you've gotta do what you've gotta do.

So it's the quaddie legs at Canterbury

Race 5

MINE IN TIME $1.7
ANGEL'S BREATH $10.6
MARGHAM $13.9
ONTHELOOKOUT $14.7
BACK ON TOP $22.0

Race 6

PENRICKSON (NZ)$2.9
DERIVATIVE RECEIPT $4.1
PRINCE ARTHUR $10.8
JOKU $17.4
KEEPIN' THE DREAM (NZ) $25.1

Race 7

STARRING TO WIN (NZ) $3.2
MONTEREY ROAD $6.8
THE COSSACK $8.7
NOBLE EDICT $12.5
MARKWORTHY $13.5

Race 8

HUNTERS HOST $3.2
WELKOM GOLD $3.7
THE TAKE $13.3
ALLERVITE $13.3
GUMNUTS $21.8

Assuming Gumnuts is in Race 8 - as I write this it's still nominated for race 7 as well and I thought the scratchings were finalised - weird stuff.

Anyways, sorry again - better get ready

Good luck if you're having a bet

Better late then never :)

2009-05-13T23:19:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Sorry about the delays, I lost a lot of time the last few days looking at ways to automate my ratings more via excel and access, it's not easy but I am making progress.

Before I put up the results I need to confess that I just found a mistake in the Melbourne Only spreadsheet - I wasn't summing all the fields and as a result the profit on the quinellas and exactas has fallen away sorry about that - I will be more aware of it in the future. They are still in the black though :)

Ok, results - just the 3 winners but all at nice overs

Hawkesbury Race 7 - Testimonial Won at $18.30 (rated at $2.80)
Flemington Race 8 - Zupacool Won at $9.10 (rated at $2.50)
Belmont Race 5 - Ma Ma Machine Won at $3.40 (rated at $2.30)

Leading to ...

Overall for Saturday

Out - $728
In - $1179
Profit - $451
Quinella Lost $86
Exacta Lost $176
Trifecta Lost $675

Melbourne Only for Saturday

Out - $275
In - $386
Profit - $111
Quinella Loss $40
Exacta Loss $80
Trifecta Loss $240

Overall

Out - $8658
In - $8240
Loss - $419 (LOT 4.84%)
Quinella Profit $196 (POT 12.50%)
Exacta Profit $444 (POT 14.15%)
Trifecta Loss $2014 (LOT 21.38%)

Overall Melboure Only

Out - $5123
In - $5014
Loss - $109 (LOT 2.13%)
Quinella Profit $105 (POT 11.46%)
Exacta Profit $98 (POT 5.30%)
Trifecta Profit $277 (POT 5.01%)

Best thing about the weekend was that the LOT % on the ratings themselves came back a bit to less than 5% - when you consider that I can probably find 8 - 10% by getting best price instead of NSW Tab that's very encouraging.

As to the Ratings Challenge - I've fallen back a bit further behind Len and been passed by Cabbie who moves to second.

Here's the table at the half way point

1 - Len $926.25
2 - Cabbie $426.55
3 - Me $340.76

4 - John L ($95.48)
5 - Ken ($401.02)
6 - John D ($1334.51)

Well that's done, apologies again for the delays

Enjoy the rest of your week :)

Running late - keep waiting...

2009-05-12T00:02:00.003+10:00

Hey All,

Sorry about this, no results yet - I've been absorbed in the worlds of Excel and Access and trying to build a database, pretty painful stuff.

I did hit 3 value winners including a couple at good overs so there will be a profit - I'll try and do the update tomorrow.

Sorry again

Go West ....

2009-05-09T12:16:00.002+10:00

Afternoon All,

I've rated 12 races today including the quaddie legs for Flemington, Hawkesbury and the ratings challenge venue - Belmont (hence the title, and the fact I can't get the song out of my head!!!)

So here they are

Belmont

Race 5

MA MA MACHINE $2.3
RADIANT PRINCE $7.7
EMPIRE WEST $11.4
MCDRUMIN $11.6
VERSAINT $13.5

Race 6

TOP OF THE POPS $4.0
DANTES STAR $4.0
MONACO PRINCE $9.2
EXIHT $9.4
FLIRTSON $14.4

Race 7

CLASSIC LAD $4.2
GAMROY $4.2
INARTICULATE $5.1
LEXICON GOLD $14.5
LUCKY TRAINER $22.1

Race 8

BANNER STORM $2.4
MCLURCH $9.1
WESTERN FORCE $12.1
GEYSER PEAK $12.2
EUCLASSY THING $18.5

Flemington

Race 5

WE WONDER $3.0
OKAY OKY $3.0
SCENIC SCENE $23.4
RARE POPPI $25.4
MOCK $29.3

Race 6

PRINCE VITALITY $3.3
ELMORE $5.1
VINDICATING $9.3
KINDLY $11.3
FLYING MONTY $12.3

Race 7

RAVISHING REWARD $3.8
SHIBBOLETH $3.8
HIFALUTIN $10.5
AFTERBURN $14.8
TELL THE STORY $19.3

Race 8

ZUPACOOL $2.5
BLOOD DIAMOND $10.6
WASHINGTON (NZ) $13.3
DANCE PARTNER $18.9
KOBAN $19.8

Hawkesbury

Race 5

LYNCEAN ACADEMY$3.4
BELLAGIO WYNN $3.4
LOCKMAR $3.9
ARLINGTON $23.4
DANEHILL SMILE $32.6

Race 6

JIALE $2.5
HOTHAVANANIGHTS $6.4
ADMIRALS HONOUR $9.4
YESTERDAY $11.5
THE ASTRONOMER $18.8

Race 7

TESTIMONIAL $2.8
CHAIRMANOFTHEBOARD $5.0
MOUNT VERDE $12.2
GERGIS $15.0
THEOPHORUS $21.0

Race 8

AUSWORLD $2.6
CATACAOS $3.8
LUIGI THE BRAVE $17.1
BOLDTON $17.4
HUNDRED WATT $20.2

Fingers crossed for a winner or 12 :)

Good luck if you are having a bet

GO THE SWANNIES

Slipping and sliding but holding firm

2009-05-03T09:31:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Another losing day for the ratings on the primary, well what was meant to be the primary measure, of winners. Exotics went ok again though so the black figures remain black - maybe they are the way to make money from this thing down the track.

So just the one winner yesterday

Gold Coast Race 5 - Chakvetadze rated at $3.70 paid $5

And the rest of the figures

Yesterday Overall

Out - $393
In - $137
Loss - $257
Quinella Profit $46
Exacta Profit $54
Trifecta Profit $1386

Yesterday Melbourne Only

Out - $191
In - $0
Loss - $191
Quinella Loss $25
Exacata Loss $59
Trifecta Profit $62

Overall

Out - $7930
In - $7061
Loss - $870 (LOT 10.97%)
Quinella Profit $282 (POT 19.46%)
Exacta Profit $620 (POT 21.39%)
Trifecta Loss $1339 (LOT 15.39%)

Overall Melbourne Only

Out - $4848
In - $4628
Loss - $220 (LOT 4.54%)
Quinella Profit $271 (POT 30.84%)
Exacta Profit $413 (POT 23.44%)
Trifecta Profit $517 (POT 9.78%)

It was a tough day overall with roughies that I most didn't find winning 3 of the races so I'm not feeling too bad about it. The nice black figures around the quinella and exacta could be showing the way to go in the future - around 20% POT must be a money maker if the figures stand up.

Ratings Challenge results aren't out yet but I'll lose ground this week - Len hit the winner of the last to offset me hitting the first and also got a better price, I should still hold second place though. I'll post the results once they are through.

Have a great day All

p.s. go the Swannies

Hey it's May

2009-05-02T11:11:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Looks like May is here, how fast is the year going!!!

Before I start today I just wanted to say RIP Sunline - she was a real Champion, I watched her win a Cox Plate and Doncaster Handicap live and she was just awesome - racing needs more like her.

Now for today, I've just done the 8 races 4 at Caulfield and 4 at the Gold Coast which is the venue for the tipping challenge.

Caulfield first

Race 5

INSTRUCTOR $2.8
GOLD SALUTE $3.7
SOUND JOURNEY $12.9
COMMAND PRINCE $14.6
DELAYEDREACTION $17.3

Race 6

HAPPY GLEN $4.0
EGO'S DARE $4.0
HERE DE ANGELS $5.8
MRS WATERS$12.3
CAPE DANGER $24.0

Race 7

MOZAMBIQUE $5.6
CARNEGGAN DASHER $5.6
ROCK HOME LATE $5.6
MEMORISE $6.1
OKUMA $8.4

Race 8

RAVISHING REWARD $3.6
LALETTA $5.2
ROYAL CHARADES $5.9
NEW YEARS EVE $11.1
BRAZEN HUSSEY $15.9

And the Gold Coast

Race 5

CHAKVETADZE $3.7
FELINE FLYER $7.1
DOONBAH STAR $11.0
LEAPFROG $11.7
DESUETUDE $16.3

Race 6

IMVULA $3.3
THE SPORTSMAN (NZ) $3.3
SCENIC SHOT $6.5
MISSION CRITICAL $26.5
IZONIT (NZ) $35.0

Race 7

EL CAMBIO $3.5
MR SLICK (NZ)$3.5
RASMUSSEN $8.9
RIGHTFULLY YOURS $18.4
HEY ELVIS $30.5

Race 8

ZERO ROCK $3.3
BEAMING $10.3
COURT $11.0
DANCE GIRL DANCE $12.6
INSISTENCE $16.7

Fingers crossed for a few winners.

Good Luck if you're betting :)

One winner but ....

2009-04-26T10:21:00.003+10:00

Morning All,

Lucky I choose Sydney for the ratings challenge as the only value winner I found was in the last race there. So a loss for the day but luckily a small profit in Sydney to close the gap in the ratings challenge, I'll post the scores once they are confirmed.

It's frustrating not getting consistent results but I guess that's typical of punting - I'll push on and see where I'm at when the season winds up on 31 July

So just the 1 winner

Noble Edict rated @ $6.80 paid $18.10

Overall for yesterday

Out - $436
In - $265
Loss - $171
Quinella Loss $80
Exacta - Loss $160
Trifecta - Loss $480

Melbourne Only

Out - $206
In - $0
Loss - $206
Quinella loss $40
Exacta Loss $80
Trifecta Loss $240

Overall

Out - $7537
In - $6924
Loss - $613 (LOT 8.13%)
Quinella Profit $236 (POT 17.24%)
Exacta Profit $566 (POT 20.67%)
Trifecta Loss $2725 (LOT 33.15%

Overall Melbourne Only

Out - $4657
In - $4628
Loss - $29 (LOT 0.62%)
Quinella Profit $271 (POT 32.31%)
Exacta Profit $413 (POT 24.55%)
Trifecta Profit $455 (POT 9.02%)

So still some black figures + still worked out on NSW Tab prices so probably +5% or so if I can get the best odds available.

Swannies got beat with The Dockers being more desperate, a loss that could prove crucial later in the year :(

Raiders play today here in Canberra where it's very chilly, chilly enough for them to be good things I think :)

Yum Cha at noon so I best get ready

Have a great day All :)

ANZAC Day - Lest we forget

2009-04-25T09:05:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Special day here today, the day we remember those that have fallen and those that have fought to keep us free - thank you to you All

I actually have to go to work for a few hours which is a bit annoying but hey, you gotta do what you gotta do. So just the Sydney and Melbourne quaddie legs are rated - got up early to get them done.

Here they are

Flemington

Race 5

TARGET (NZ)$3.1
GRAN SASSO $4.6
IMASHADOW $11.6
LET LOUSHE $17.1
NOT A COPY $20.8

Race 6

BAKUP $5.3
PENTIRE POINT $5.3
BERLIOZ $6.1
VORENUS $6.4
BUFFETT $10.1

Race 7

MISSION CRITICAL $2.3
CHASM $4.8
READY TO LIFT $19.4
PLAYWRIGHT $25.5
AZTEC SMYTZER $26.4

Race 8

ABOUT READY $2.5
TAKE ALL OF ME $9.0
FLYING TESSIE $10.0
BERRYLAND $15.1
VICTORY MARCH $23.0

Randwick

Race 5

MISS MAREN (NZ)$3.7
METAL BENDER (NZ) $5.1
ROAD TO ROCK $10.7
WHOBEGOTYOU $13.8
SARRERA $17.3

Race 6

LANG (NZ)$4.6
MR TIPSY (NZ) $6.9
MASTER O'REILLY (NZ) $10.3
DANDAAD (NZ)$10.5
TWIN WING (NZ)$10.8

Race 7

HOT DANISH $3.1
ALL SILENT $5.9
ROYAL DISCRETION $10.2
RACING TO WIN $14.4
MR BARITONE (NZ)$18.0

Race 8

STARRING TO WIN (NZ)$3.4
OURBILLYDAKID $5.5
NOBLE EDICT $6.8
SCHMOO $9.8
ZEDI KNIGHT $14.4

My choice of venue for the ratings challenge today, went with Randwick so hopefully jumped the right way.

No footy bets this week - go the Swannies and the Raiders

Best of luck if you're having a bet

p.s. Head 'em Up :)

Ratings Challenge Update

2009-04-21T08:37:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

Just a quick update with the scores from the Ausrace Ratings Challenge - a good week for me and a bad week for the leader means that I've closed the gap a little. There's 9 weeks to go so plenty of time to catch him BUT he is still the one to beat - definitely not a two horse race though.

Ladder

Len $859.62
Me $407.85
John L $293.49
John D -$146.90
Ken -$186.42
Cabbie -$856.62

Have a great day All

Racing rules - footy flops

2009-04-19T11:28:00.003+10:00

Morning All,

Not too bad a day yesterday with a couple of good value winners from the 8 rated races and also a very nice quinella / exacta. Footy was a flop though with only one correct and more thinking to be done.

Yesterdays winners were

Rampant Lion at $24.60 rated at $7.30

and

Russeting at $10.40 rated at $7.90

And the figures - just overall as I didn't rate Melbourne (sorry again)

Out - $468
In - $644
Profit - $176 (POT 37.60%)
Quinella - Profit $279
Exacta - Profit $704
Trifecta - Loss $480

Overall

Out - $7101
In - $6659
Loss - $442 (LOT 6.23%)
Quinella - Profit $316 (POT 24.51%)
Exacta - Profit $726 (POT 28.16%)
Trifecta - Loss $2245 (LOT 29.01%)

So still losing overall but closed the gap a little and the quinellas and exactas are still going great.

Luckily both those winners were part of the ratings challenge, I'll post the update on it as soon as it's official.

Footy wise, well done Swannies - I should've backed them instead, they definitely have it all over Carlton. Alas, I picked the Hawks who lost to Port and the Lions who got beat by the Pies, both major upsets. My only winner in the AFL was the Cats who look very hard to beat at the moment. In the league, the Titans beat the Raiders by 6, I needed 8.5 and the Knights rolled the Dragons who led them and got run down.

Definitely need to rethink the footy bets.

Ok, better get some stuff done. Enjoy the rest of your weekend

Doncaster Day - part last

2009-04-18T13:55:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Little change of plan - just going to post the quaddie legs at Randwick today. There's a bit too much going on with the good racing and the Swans about to play, I'm not focused enough to rate the Melbourne quaddie - sorry about that.

Here's Randwick

Race 6

TAKEOVER TARGET $2.6
NICCONI $2.6
APACHE CAT $11.5
RACING TO WIN $19.0
BEL MER $23.4

Race 7

HOT DANISH $3.5
MUSKET $3.5
NEROLI $11.0
THESEO $24.4
SOLO FLYER $26.4 (I like this one but it's only around $14's)

Race 8

ABOVE PERFECTION $3.1
MISS DARCEY $4.0
IVORY PEGASUS $16.0
ALLEZ WONDER $23.7
GLOWLAMP $26.2

Race 9

FRENCH GAZE (NZ)$3.2
SHAKETHEGROUND $6.9
PRINCE BRAEMAN $10.4
JEDBURGH (NZ) $10.4
JEWELLED GATE $11.0

Fingers crossed for a few winners

Sports wise I'm none for 2 - The Lions got rolled and the Titans only won by 6 :(

Still a chance of a small collect though so hopefully.

Anyways, have a great day - I'm outta here

Doncaster Day - Running Late

2009-04-18T11:52:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Running way late today and have only done the races for the challenge so far, 4 races from Eagle Farm.

Race 5

ELEDA $4.0
NELLIE GOT THERE $4.0
IMVULA $6.6
DOUG'S MATE $7.4
HARD TO CATCH $20.5

Race 6

MR HORNBLOWER $3.2
RAMPANT LION $7.3
BAREENA $8.5
SCENIC RULE $13.0
SIMPLEST $17.1

Race 7

ON THE FRIDGE $3.1
RUSSETING $7.9
SECONDE $10.1
SEETHING DUCK $13.9
HURL $16.5

Race 8

ZERO ROCK $1.9
MEET GEORGE $19.4
SPANISH FLING $20.2
LITTLE RAPTOR $25.1
LOTS OF ALLURE $27.6

I'll try and just do the quaddie legs in Sydney and Melbourne as well - so last 4 races at each.

They'll be a while though

Good luck if you're punting

Back in a bit

Time for a little go at the footy

2009-04-17T08:06:00.002+10:00

Morning All,

With both the rugby league and Aussie rules seasons well underway now and the form starting to take a bit better shape I've decided to have a little bet. That's all it is though, just an interest bet in the hope of a result and the start of a bank being built.

I've gone a multiple that'll be all done after Saturday night so that I can hopefully reinvest the winnings on Sunday. So the bet, a Super Yankee - 5 legs made up of 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5 quartets and one 5 play - $26 outlay for 1 unit, any 2 winners get me a collect all 5 would turn my $26 into $172 or so.

I've gone with

Lions -10.5 vs Magpies
Hawks -23 vs Power
Cats -22 vs Crows

In the Aussie rules

Titans -8.5 vs Raiders (sorry Raiders)
Dragons -6 vs Knights

In the League

Fingers crossed for a collect.

Tomorrows ratings challenge is on Eagle Farm in Brisbane so away from my usual tracks again - will be interesting to see how I go.

Have a great day All, back tomorrow.

From the best day to the worst :(

2009-04-12T13:21:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Well that was a bit of a disaster - the ratings just couldn't get going yesterday. There a few that won that I had unders and a few that just missed at good odds running seconds and thirds. It's all very frustrating but hopefully it'll work out ok in the end.

Here's the results - just the 3 winners from 21 races :(

Oakbank Race 5 - Our Scene @ $3.10 (rated $3)

Caulfield Race 7 - Happy Glen @ $6.90 (rated $5.50)

Randwick Race 9 - Miss Darcy @ $5.50 (rated $3.10)

Yesterday Overall

Out - $1169
In - $402
Loss - $766
Quinella - Loss $144
Exacta - Loss $294
Trifecta - Loss $1195

Yesterday Melbourne Only

Out - $462
In - $125
Loss - $338
Quinella - Loss $56
Exacta - Loss $120
Trifecta - Loss $355

Overall

Out - $6633
In - $6015
Loss - $618 (LOT 9.32%)
Quinella - Profit $37 (POT 3.07%)
Exacta - Profit $22 (POT 0.93%)
Trifecta - Loss $1765 (LOT 24.31%)

Overall - Melbourne Only

Out - $4451
In - $4628
Profit - $177 (POT 3.98%)
Quinella - Profit $271 (33.93%)
Exacta - Profit $413 (POT 25.78%)
Trifecta - Profit $695 (POT 14.47%)

So there's still some black figures about which is a good thing. Luckily I won't have to rate Oakbank again, even though I did find the one winner in the race I didn't have to rate!!! My ratings should work on all tracks but were designed for Melbourne so that probably explains why they are doing better for now.

With the ratings challenge - wipeout for me :(

A few of the others managed a win thanks to finding the $30 winner in the last. Here's the table with 2 weeks down and 10 to go.

Len + $870.34
John L + $276.30
Me + $187.66
John D - $156.04
Ken - $431.51
Cabbie - $511.24

Long way to go but Len is clearly the one to beat - fingers crossed for a few good weeks

Raiders got a win last night, well done guys - Swans were terrible in the wet the same as usual, it's going to be a long year.

Big day of racing next Saturday with the Doncaster and the AJC Oaks, will be a ripper.

Have a great week All

AJC Derby Day - Part 3

2009-04-11T13:49:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Well that was frustrating - a bit like the results so far today, finding winners but not value :(

Hopefully that will change.

Here's the last 4 races

Caulfield Race 5

JUST LOOK $2.6
BLUTIGEROO $3.5
MISS MAREN (NZ)$12.8
RENEWABLE (NZ)$17.2
BRITOMART (7) $20.5

Race 6

CHASM $2.7
TINDAL $6.2
TEARS I CRY $16.4
OKAY OKY $16.4
JUNGLE RULER $17.4

Race 7

NOT A COPY $3.9
GRAN SASSO $5.3
HAPPY GLEN $5.5
DANCE ON AIR $14.6
AMERRYKING $14.6

Race 8

DARCY LORNA $3.4
EGATRICE $3.4
RAVISHING REWARD $11.7
BASHFUL GIRL $18.5
ORIGAMI MISS $21.2

Good luck to anyone having a bet

AJC Derby Day - Part 2

2009-04-11T12:36:00.003+10:00

Hey All,

Still more to do but here's a few more

Caulfield Race 2

FIRST COMMAND $3.5
PAPERCUT $3.5
TRUE TALES $6.2
GOLD IN DUBAI $8.9
CAT STORM $19.1

Race 3

TRULY ABLAZE $3.6
ELUSIVE PEAK $3.6
JAALIPPY $8.4
MY DELICIA $13.8
SOLCHOW $16.7

Race 4

ASTRO GAINS $2.6
BELLABACI(NZ)$4.2
THE ZEUSTAR $10.2
VINTAGE KING $16.0
HIGH KINGCZAR $17.1

Back in a bit with the rest

AJC Derby Day - Part 1

2009-04-11T11:19:00.003+10:00

Morning All,

Lots of good racing today and plenty of work still to do. So far I've rated the 4 races at Oakbank for the ratings challenge (plus race 5 by mistake) and the card at Randwick. I've still got 7 races to do from Caulfield, I won't rate the first as it's a 2yo - they will hopefully be done by before race 2 jumps.

Anyways, here's what I've done so far.

Randwick Race 1

NUCLEAR SKY $4.1
LYNCEAN ACADEMY $4.1
WALKING OR DANCING (NZ)$6.8
RABBUKA $7.7
PENRICKSON (NZ)$12.2

Race 2

TARGET (NZ)$4.2
COMEPSA (NZ)$5.1
SUPERIOR INSTINCT $5.3
OURBILLYDAKID $7.6
IMTOPS $20.0

Race 3

SILENTLY $2.9
VELOCITEA (NZ)$5.3
SERENISSIMA $11.3
MISS INDEPENDENT $17.0
BEAUCOUP $17.5

Race 4

RICH ENDOWMENT $3.4
EMOTIONAL OUTBURST $6.7
STANLEY'S DEED $8.5
ORCA $10.9
POLAWAY $14.7

Race 5

FEORLAN $4.8
BRAVE LANCER (NZ)$4.8
JOE BLOW $7.7
LANG (NZ)$10.6
COMMON OBJECTIVE $11.6

Race 6

LADY GAME $3.3
JUDGED $3.3
BEAMING $10.0
BELONG TO MANY $17.0
COURT $18.2

Race 7

SOUSA (NZ) $4.0
BIG COL $4.0
HARRIS TWEED (NZ) $12.9
PREDATORY PRICER $13.7
METAL BENDER (NZ) $22.2

Race 8

EL CAMBIO $4.3
KEEN COMMANDER $4.9
OLONANA $6.9
BLACK PRINCE $7.7
HAIRY $20.6

Race 9

MISS DARCEY $3.1
ABOVE PERFECTION $4.1
CELTIC COURAGE $11.8
LOGAN'S CHOICE $24.5
MY MY MAREE $25.9

Oakbank Race 5

OUR SCENE $3.0
EUREKA REIGN $4.2
ETON $10.7
RUN LAURIE RUN $14.6
AKHAMEELA $16.1

Race 6

BELLA VEDERA $3.6
REBUKE $4.7
CALL TO MIND $11.2
MISS RAZZLE DAZZLE $11.8
GIGGLING GIRL $13.2

Race 7 - guess work on the Steeple

SAND SWEEPER (NZ)$3.4
MEPHISTOPHELES $5.9
STOP THE TRAFFIC (NZ) $9.2
VIZ VITAE (NZ)$12.6
PENTACOLO (NZ)$14.3

Race 8

THE CHUNKSTER $3.7
BELLA LEAH $3.7
ARCH SYMBOL $4.1
GET SET $33.6
STARBIRD $34.9

Race 9

DISCO GOSSIP $2.5
FIGHTING FURY $3.8
HOTDEAL $15.8
TATSUHARA $19.8
EXALTED THOMAS $22.6

Back in a bit

Week one of the Ausrace Ratings Challenge

2009-04-06T23:17:00.002+10:00

Hey All,

Just wanted to drop in and update the scores for week 1 of the ratings challenge

Len +586.27
> Womble +435.64
> Whispering Cabbie +189.18
> John +54.51
> Ken -49.58
> John -359.20

So I'm off to a decent start :)

Will be interesting this Saturday as it looks like we'll be tipping at Oakbank - it's normally a track only raced on for a massive Easter carnival of jumps and flat racing and is over in South Australia.

I'll have to do a bit of extra work!!!

Anyways, time for bed - have fun All

p.s. Well done Raiders :)